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Worst-Case Scenario Portfolio Optimization: a New Stochastic Control Approach
Authors:Ralf Korn  Olaf Menkens
Affiliation:(1) Fachbereich Mathematik, Universität Kaiserslautern, 67663 Kaiserslautern, Germany;(2) CCFEA/Department of Economics, University of EssexWivenhoe Park, Colchester, CO4 3SQ, United Kingdom
Abstract:
We consider the determination of portfolio processes yielding the highest worst-case bound for the expected utility from final wealth if the stock price may have uncertain (down) jumps. The optimal portfolios are derived as solutions of non-linear differential equations which itself are consequences of a Bellman principle for worst-case bounds. A particular application of our setting is to model crash scenarios where both the number and the height of the crash are uncertain but bounded. Also the situation of changing market coefficients after a possible crash is analyzed.
Keywords:Optimal portfolios  crash modelling  Bellman principle  equilibrium strategies  worst-case scenario  changing market coefficients
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