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Robust optimization and portfolio selection: The cost of robustness
Authors:Christine Gregory  Ken Darby-DowmanGautam Mitra
Institution:a CARISMA: The Centre for the Analysis of Risk and Optimisation Modelling, Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, UK
b Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, UK
Abstract:Robust optimization is a tractable alternative to stochastic programming particularly suited for problems in which parameter values are unknown, variable and their distributions are uncertain. We evaluate the cost of robustness for the robust counterpart to the maximum return portfolio optimization problem. The uncertainty of asset returns is modelled by polyhedral uncertainty sets as opposed to the earlier proposed ellipsoidal sets. We derive the robust model from a min-regret perspective and examine the properties of robust models with respect to portfolio composition. We investigate the effect of different definitions of the bounds on the uncertainty sets and show that robust models yield well diversified portfolios, in terms of the number of assets and asset weights.
Keywords:Uncertainty modelling  Robust optimization  Portfolio selection
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