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状态概率的E-Bayes估计与多层Bayes估计
引用本文:韩明.状态概率的E-Bayes估计与多层Bayes估计[J].运筹与管理,2006,15(5):70-74.
作者姓名:韩明
作者单位:福建工程学院,数理系,福建,福州,350014
基金项目:福建省自然科学基金;福建工程学院校科研和教改项目
摘    要:在文献1]中提出了参数估计的一种方法--E-Bayes估计并给出了状态概率的E-Bayes估计的定义、E-Bayes估计公式、预测模型及其在证券投资中应用,本文在此基础上将给出状态概率的多层Bayes估计、状态概率的E-Bayes估计的性质--E-Bayes估计,多层Bayes估计的关系.最后,给出模拟算例.

关 键 词:运筹学  证券投资  状态概率  预测模型  E-Bayes估计  多层Bayes估计
文章编号:1007-3221(2006)05-0070-05
收稿时间:03 12 2006 12:00AM
修稿时间:2006年3月12日

E-Bayes Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Estate Probability
HAN Ming.E-Bayes Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Estate Probability[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2006,15(5):70-74.
Authors:HAN Ming
Institution:Department of Mathematics and Physics, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350014, China
Abstract:Paper 1 ], develops a new parameter estimation method, named E-Bayesian estimation, to estimate estate probability, and in security investment, the definition of E-Bayesian estimation of estate probability is provided, and the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation, forecast model and its applications are given. In this paper, on the basis, hierarchical Bayesian estimation of estate probability, property of the E-Bayesian estimation relation between the E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation are given. Finally, calculations are performed according to a simulation example.
Keywords:operations research  security investment  estate probability  forecast model  E-Bayesian estimation  hierarchical Bayesian estimation  
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