Some Results behind Dividend Problems

We consider the basic dividend problem of the compound Poisson model with constant barrierstrategy.Some results concealed behind the dividend problem are made explicit in the present work.Differentmethods and some of which are firstly given in this paper.All these results presented certain direct relationshipbetween some important actuary variables in classical risk theory is also revealed.     

Dynamic complexity of optimal paths and discount factors for strongly concave problems

We study the relationship between the dynamical complexity of optimal paths and the discount factor in general infinite-horizon discrete-time concave problems. Given a dynamic systemx _t+1=h(x _t ), defined on the state space, we find two discount factors 0 < ^{* **} < 1 having the following properties. For any fixed discount factor 0 < < ^*, the dynamic system is the solution to some concave problem. For any discount factor ^** < < 1, the dynamic system is not the solution to any strongly concave problem. We prove that the upper bound ^** is a decreasing function of the topological entropy of the dynamic system. Different upper bounds are also discussed.This research was partially supported by MURST, National Group on Nonlinear dynamics in Economics and Social Sciences. The author would like to thank two anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions.     

A New Strategy in Boosting Information Spread

Finding a seed set to propagate more information within a specific budget is defined as the influence maximization (IM) problem. The traditional IM model contains two cardinal aspects: (i) the influence propagation model and (ii) effective/efficient seed-seeking algorithms. However, most of models only consider one kind of node (i.e., influential nodes), ignoring the role of other nodes (e.g., boosting nodes) in the spreading process, which are irrational. Specifically, in the real-world propagation scenario, the boosting nodes always improve the spread of influence from the initial activated seeds, which is an efficient and cost-economic measure. In this paper, we consider the realistic budgeted influence maximization (RBIM) problem, which contains two kind of nodes to improve the diffusion of influence. Facing the newly modified objective function, we propose a novel B-degree discount algorithm to solve it. The novel B-degree discount algorithm which adopts the cost-economic boosting nodes to retweet the influence from the predecessor nodes can greatly reduce the cost, and performs better than other state-of-the-art algorithms in both effect and efficiency on RBIM problem solving.     

数量折扣契约下基于成本分担的供应链突发事件协调应对

突发事件会增加供应链成本,如何进行成本分担是决定供应链能否协调应对突发事件的重要因素.用参数分别描述市场需求剧增时增加的生产成本和市场需求剧减时发生的多余产品处理成本,在数量折扣契约基础上,研究突发事件发生后制造商的最优批发价格和零售商的最优订货量,分析其影响因素比较突发事件发生前后包括市场剧增与市场剧减两种情况下的差异,并给出了数值算例.结果表明,成本分担系数和市场需求分布及其变化都会影响最优批发价格和最优订货量,只要根据市场需求变化相应调整契约参数并合理分担由突发事件增加的成本,通过数量折扣契约供应链就能够协调应对突发事件.     

两货栈及延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的最优订货策略

已有的两货栈库存模型通常不考虑将延期支付和现金折扣相结合的情形,但实际上,供应商在给予销售商延期支付政策的同时,也会实施现金折扣策略以激励销售商尽快付款,加快资金周转,减少坏账损失。为此,本文建立了延期支付和现金折扣情形下变质产品的两货栈库存模型,并对模型的最优解进行理论分析,给出了最优解的求解步骤。最后通过数值算例对模型的可行性进行了验证,并分析了模型参数变化对最优订货策略和最优付款时间的影响。     

考虑预付定金和退货的SMPEs产品定价与优化策略

借鉴中小制造型企业(SMPEs)在线渠道预售模式,考虑市场中存在预付订金和不预付订金的顾客,并将其退货情况引入到生产商利润表达式中,构建确定性和随机性市场需求下的SMPEs产品销售利润最大化模型,推导生产商产品最优定价的解析解;对比两种销售模式的利润,得到了生产商选择不同销售策略的条件。进一步考虑预付定金的产品数量、预交定金比例、退货数量是关于价格折扣敏感的情况,采用拉格朗日乘子法对生产商产品定价及优化问题进行研究,分析求得生产商销售策略(产品定价和价格折扣)的近似最优解。最后,通过数值算例对研究结论进行了验证并给出经济学解释。     

时滞变质品供应链的数量折扣协调模型

在由单个批发商与单个零售商组成的两级时滞变质品供应链中,分别建立分散决策和集中决策下供应链系统的单位时间利润函数,通过比较得到集中决策优于分散决策的条件。引入数量折扣契约对时滞变质品供应链进行协调,促使整个供应链系统实现集中决策下的最优状态。设计收益共享合同来合理分配协调后的利润增量,保证批发商和零售商的单位时间利润都比协调前有所增加,从而实现供应链系统的帕累托改善。最后,通过数值算例演示了两种决策模式的单位时间利润情况,并分析了关键参数对供应链系统及各成员企业单位时间利润水平的影响。     

竞争环境下多个损失规避零售商的 预先订购折扣合约研究

在展望理论框架下,考虑由多个存在竞争的损失规避型零售商和一个风险中性的供应商组成的供应链预先订购折扣合约问题,研究了供应商和零售商在预先订购折扣合约下的决策行为,研究表明,供应商通过预先订购折扣合约可以协调整个供应链.最后通过算例,分别得到了供应商和零售商在预先订购折扣合约下的最优决策行为以及能使得供应链达到协调的供应商的决策行为.     

Nonparametric estimation and adaptive control in a class of finite Markov decision chains

We consider a class of Markov decision processes withfinite state and action spaces which, essentially, is determined by the following condition: The state space isirreducible under the action of any stationary policy. However, except by this restriction, the transition law iscompletely unknown to the controller. In this context, we find a set of policies under which thefrequency estimators of the transition law are strongly consistent and then, this result is applied to constructadaptive asymptotically discount-optimal policies.Dedicated to Professor Truman O. Lewis, on the occasion of his sixtieth birthdayThis research was supported in part by the Third World Academy of Sciences (TWAS) under Grant TWAS RG MP 898-152, and in part by the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACYT) under Grant A128CCOEO550 (MT-2).     

基于重复博弈的地方政府精准扶贫合作机制研究

精准扶贫是习近平总书记为彻底解决贫困问题而提出一项战略要求。精准扶贫是一项复杂性较高、涉及范畴较广的系统工作,其工作的展开需要由地方政府共同协作完成。地方政府合作周期长短对精准扶贫有着巨大的影响,基于博弈论的基本思想方法,针对地方政府精准扶贫合作机制进行研究。首先,针对精准扶贫过程中完全信息静态博弈的情况,构建地方政府合作与非合作的无限次重复博弈模型,并分析双方政府均采取冷酷战略时,彼此合作的临界贴现因子;然后,针对精准扶贫过程中地方政府合作周期长短对精准扶贫成效的问题,探讨了有限重复博弈模型的临界贴现因子与地方政府合作周期的关系。分析表明：在精准扶贫过程中,双方政府合作周期越长,临界贴现因子越小,精准扶贫合作的稳定性越强。最后,针对精准扶贫过程中地方政府合作周期和合作机制等提出对策和建议。