带ARMA(1,1)条件异方差相关的随机波动模型的MCMC算法

我们首先提出了一个带ARMA(1,1)条件异方差相关的随机波动模型,它是基本的随机波动模型的一个自然的推广.进一步,对于这一新模型,我们给出了一个马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(M CM C)算法.最后,利用该模型的模拟数据,展示了M CM C算法在这种模型中的应用.     

多维随机变量序列的最大值和最小值的渐近独立性

设{X_n=(X_(1n),X_(2n),…,X_(mn),≥1}是i.i.d.的m维随机向量序列,Z_(in)=max{X_(i1),X_(i2),…,X_(in)},W_(in)=min{X_(i1),X_(i2),…,X_(in)},1≤i≤m,Z_n=(Z_(1n),Z_(2n),…,Z_(mn)),W_n=(W_(1n),W_(2n)…,W_(mn)).本文得出了W_n与Z_n渐近独立的充分必要条件.     

Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Model

1 IlltroductionThe concept of ARCH, which stands for autoregressit,e conditional heteroscedasticity wasfrist introduced by EngelI1J to handIe time series with a changing conditional tariance.Bollersle.I2] extended the ARCH model into the sChcalled generalized autoregressive con-ditional heteroscedastic model(GARCH). This class of models has important applitalions,particularly in finance and economics(see, e.g., [3], [4]). Lingl5] found some simple sufficientconditions fOr the strict st…     

多维广义自回归条件异方差模型

In this paper,by making use of the Hadamard product of matrices,a natural and reasonable generalization of the univariate GARCH(Generalized Autoregressive Conditional heteroscedastic)process introduced by Bollerslev(J.Econometrics 31(1986),307-327)to the multivariate case is proposed.The conditions for the existence of strictly stationary and ergodic solutions and the existence of higher order moments for this class of parametric models are derived.     

方差Gamma过程与期权定价

研究了几何Levy过程中，具有代表性的一类过程-方差Gamma过程下的等价鞅测度类问题，并且讨论了其具有的分析性质．进一步，我们也考虑了基于该过程的普通期权的定价．     

非对称稳定幂GARCH的严平稳性与解的唯一性

平稳性是研究时间序列的重要条件，本讨论一个扰动项为非对称稳定幂GARCH过程的模型的严平稳性与解的唯一性，并给出严平稳性与解存在的充要条件。