Dynamic models of pest propagation and pest control

This paper proposes a pest propagation model to investigate the evolution behaviours of pest aggregates. A pest aggregate grows by self-monomer birth, and it may fragment into two smaller ones. The kinetic evolution behaviours of pest aggregates are investigated by the rate equation approach based on the mean-field theory. For a system with a self-birth rate kernel I(k)=Ik and a fragmentation rate kernel L(i,j)=L, we find that the total number M₀^A(t) and the total mass of the pest aggregates M₁^A(t) both increase exponentially with time if L ≠ 0. Furthermore, we introduce two catalysis-driven monomer death mechanisms for the former pest propagation model to study the evolution behaviours of pest aggregates under pesticide and natural enemy controlled pest propagation. In the pesticide controlled model with a catalyzed monomer death rate kernel J₁(k)=J₁k, it is found that only when I<J₁B₀ (B₀ is the concentration of catalyst aggregates) can the pests be killed off. Otherwise, the pest aggregates can survive. In the model of pest control with a natural enemy, a pest aggregate loses one of its individuals and the number of natural enemies increases by one. For this system, we find that no matter how many natural enemies there are at the beginning, pests will be eliminated by them eventually.     

药物防治害虫的动力学行为

在农业生产中,农作物往往遭到虫灾的破坏,人们经常采用喷洒农药的方式来消灭害虫.在这里提出药物杀虫模型来研究害虫的动力学演化行为.在这个模型中害虫集团通过单体出生来增大,同时由于害虫的扩散行为,害虫集团会发生分解.害虫集团还会由于药物的作用而减小.在平均场理论的基础上通过解主方程的方法来研究害虫的动力学演化行为.结果发现:只有当初始药物量B0大于或者等于一定值Bc时,害虫才会以指数递减形式被完全消灭,否则害虫将会以指数递增形式增长,药物最终被消耗掉.