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1.
Taking flood catastrophe risk in China as the research background, aiming at the characteristics of flood loss ``low frequency and high loss', Bayesian inference method is used to fit the loss distribution, and Bayesian inference is used to obtain the loss frequency distribution and loss quota distribution of flood in China. On this basis, Monte Carlo simulation method is used to calculate the probability distribution of annual flood loss in China under different trigger conditions, and then CAPM is used to study the pricing of flood catastrophe bonds in China. It is concluded that under different trigger conditions, as the trigger value increases gradually, the corresponding trigger is triggered. Comparing the three types of bonds, it can be found that the price of bonds decreases with the decrease of principal guarantee ratio and the increase of principal loss ratio, that is, the investment risk is directly proportional to the return, which provides reference for issuing flood catastrophe bonds in China.  相似文献   
2.
系统可靠性建模分析是开展可靠性分配、预计、故障树分析及可靠性优化设计的基础。介绍了一种光电系统可靠性建模分析方法,针对光电系统中部分分系统具有多种失效模式且各失效模式均服从指数分布的特点,依据齐次马尔科夫理论,采用马尔科夫状态转移图方法建立了产品的可靠性模型,并给出解析表达式、数值计算方法和Monte Carlo仿真方法。最后,将其应用于某机载光电系统供电回路的实例分析中。采用两种计算方法及Monte Carlo仿真方法分别进行计算,并将结果进行对比分析,证明了该方法的正确性及可行性。  相似文献   
3.
《Discrete Mathematics》2022,345(4):112767
Let R be a finite commutative chain ring, D2n be the dihedral group of size 2n and R[D2n] be the dihedral group ring. In this paper, we completely characterize left ideals of R[D2n] (called left D2n-codes) when gcd(char(R),n)=1. In this way, we explore the structure of some skew-cyclic codes of length 2 over R and also over R×S, where S is an isomorphic copy of R. As a particular result, we give the structure of cyclic codes of length 2 over R. In the case where R=Fpm is a Galois field, we give a classification for left D2N-codes over Fpm, for any positive integer N. In both cases we determine dual codes and identify self-dual ones.  相似文献   
4.
In this study, the impact of ultrasound irradiation on the structural characteristics and antioxidant properties of yellow tea polysaccharides with different molecular weights (Mw) were investigated. Native yellow tea polysaccharide containing YTPS-3N, YTPS-5N and YTPS-7N were prepared through precipitation with ethanol at various concentrations of 30%, 50%, and 70%, respectively, and irradiated with high intensity ultrasound (20 kHz) for 55 min to yield yellow tea polysaccharide including YTPS-3U, YTPS-5U and YTPS-7U. The molecular weight (Mw) of YTPS-3N (from 37.7 to 15.1 kDa) and YTPS-5N (from 14.6 to 5.2 kDa) sharply decreased upon ultrasound irradiation, coincidentally particle size (Zavg) was also significantly reduced for YTPS-3N (40%), YTPS-5N (48%) and YTPS-7N (54%). The high-performance liquid chromatography and Fourier transform-infrared spectroscopy analysis revealed a partial degradation of native yellow tea polysaccharide treated with ultrasound, though the monosaccharide composition was not altered. Furthermore, changes in morphology and the breakdown of native yellow tea polysaccharide upon irradiation was confirmed with the circular dichroism spectrum, atomic force and scanning electron microscopy. As a consequence, irradiation of yellow tea polysaccharide increased free radical scavenging activity with YTPS-7U exhibiting the highest levels of 2, 2-diphenyl-1-picrylhydrazyl free radical, superoxide and hydroxyl radicals scavenging activity. These results suggest that the alteration of the spatial structure of yellow tea polysaccharide can enhance its antioxidant activity which is an important property for functional foods or medicines.  相似文献   
5.
PPP项目中, 国有企业时常利用控制权优势和信息不对称实施隧道行为, 加大了民营资本进入PPP项目的阻力, 损害了项目整体利益, 不利于PPP模式的健康可持续发展。本文在分析PPP项目中国企隧道行为表现形式和形成机理的基础上, 分别通过博弈论和投资组合模型构建了隧道行为实施条件和发生概率模型。研究结果表明, 国企实施隧道行为需具备基于控制权的先决条件, 挖掘成本相对项目利益的比重越大, 所需控制权越高; 而隧道行为的发生概率随着挖掘成本的降低和控制权的增加而增加。通过蒙特卡洛模拟对河北承德市双峰寺水库PPP项目进行案例分析, 验证了国企隧道行为实施条件和概率模型的可行性和适用性。最终, 分别从提高民企的谈判能力, 增加PPP项目信息透明度, 加强政府监管, 并使国企和项目整体产生利益协同四个方面提出隧道行为治理机制, 保障PPP模式的可持续发展。  相似文献   
6.
7.
张颂  魏彪  刘易鑫  毛本将  钱易坤  黄宇晨  冯鹏 《强激光与粒子束》2020,32(5):056001-1-056001-7
研究用于校准场所中子剂量监测仪表的241Am-Be中子参考辐射场计量特性。采用蒙特卡罗方法模拟了空气自由中子参考辐射(FRNR),GB/T 14055规定的最小尺寸中子参考辐射(SRNR)和实际中子参考辐射(ARNR)中不同检验点处中子周围剂量当量率、散射中子占比和能谱分布特征。研究结果表明,空气对FRNR中的剂量率和能谱分布影响小,近似为理想中子参考辐射;采用5%含硼聚乙烯作屏蔽的最小尺寸SRNR可减少热中子,降低散射中子占比,影锥法不适用于小尺寸中子参考辐射中对散射中子的修正;ARNR中的散射中子更少、占比更低,影锥法所得散射中子占比与理论值基本一致。  相似文献   
8.
分析外加均匀磁场对于碳离子笔形束剂量分布的影响,并考虑修正这种影响,为磁共振成像引导碳离子放射治疗的临床应用提供指导。本文利用蒙特卡罗方法模拟计算了不同能量碳离子笔形束在不同强度磁场下的剂量分布情况,发现垂直于碳离子束入射方向的均匀磁场对于碳离子笔形束射程缩短的影响很小,磁场对碳离子束的主要影响是引起束流横向偏转,特别是碳离子束布拉格峰位置的横向侧移。横向侧移程度与碳离子束的能量和磁场强度相关,根据模拟结果,得到了一个计算碳离子束布拉格峰在磁场中相对横向偏转的方程,并提出一种校正外加磁场引起的碳离子束布拉格峰横移的角度修正方法。这些结果可用于指导磁共振图像引导碳离子放射治疗计划系统的研发。  相似文献   
9.
We have developed a simple assessment method for the overlap between spheroidal particles, which neither requires the complex manipulation of vectors and matrices that is indispensable in the ordinary methods, nor is based on a model potential. Moreover, we have developed an evaluation method for the interaction energy arising from the overlap of the steric layer coating spheroidal particles. This is based on a sphere-connected particle model, but some modifications are introduced in order to express an appropriate repulsive interaction energy at the deepest overlapping position. We have investigated the phase change in a magnetic spheroidal particle suspension for a two-dimensional system by means of Monte Carlo simulations. In the case of no external magnetic field, if the magnetic particle-particle interaction is sufficiently strong to favour cluster formation, long raft-like clusters tend to be formed in a dilute situation. With decreasing values of area fraction, a chain-like structure in a dense situation transforms into a raft-like structure within a narrow range of the particle area fraction. Similarly, the raft-like clusters are preferred in a weak applied magnetic field, but an increase in the field strength induces a phase change from a raft-like into a chain-like structure.

Highlights of the present paper:
  1. A simple assessment method has been proposed for the overlap between two spheroidal particles.

  2. The particle overlap assessment is free from a complex mathematical manipulation regarding vectors and matrices.

  3. A modified sphere-connected model has been proposed in order to more accurately evaluate a repulsive interaction due to the overlap of the steric layers coating spheroidal particles.

  4. 2D Monte Carlo simulations have been performed to elucidate the phenomenon of a phase change by magnetic spheroidal particles on a material plane surface.

  5. A phase change between a raft-like and a chain-like aggregate structure is able to be controlled by the area fraction of particles and an external magnetic field.

  相似文献   
10.
A novel approach using Monte Carlo method applied to simulation of low‐density polyethylene (LDPE) polymerization in tubular reactor showing topological characteristics, and the comprehensive kinetic mechanism has been taken into consideration. The results show the precise details of the structure of a chain in the three levels of the backbone, the main branches, and branches on branch. The chain types include dead polymer, dead polymer with unsaturated end, and live polymer with primary radical, secondary radical, and tertiary radical. In this work, the branches on branch were identified in terms of number, length, and position of the branch. Sixty percent of branches on branch are 1 to 5 carbons long, and the longest branch on branch is about 50 carbons. Thus, this study provides a tool for more accurately mapping the polymer chains architecture, superior to determine the number, and position of long‐ and short‐chain branches in past researches. Finally, this approach will advance the prediction of microstructure‐related properties of polymer one step further.  相似文献   
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