基于时变Copula模型的 基金收益率相依关系的应用研究

基于时变Copula模型,获得预测方差,确定单个基金收益率序列的边缘分布.利用常见的静态Copula和时变Copula模型对基金收益率序列间两两相依关系进行建模并进行对比分析.应用研究表明,基于MCMC方法的时变Copula模型能更有效地度量基金收益率序列的风险.     

Optimal time delays in a class of reaction-diffusion equations

ABSTRACT

A class of semilinear parabolic reaction diffusion equations with multiple time delays is considered. These time delays and corresponding weights are to be optimized such that the associated solution of the delay equation is the best approximation of a desired state function. The differentiability of the mapping is proved that associates the solution of the delay equation to the vector of weights and delays. Based on an adjoint calculus, first-order necessary optimality conditions are derived. Numerical test examples show the applicability of the concept of optimizing time delays.     

含分布时滞的时滞微分系统多步龙格-库塔方法的时滞相关稳定性

本文研究了一类含分布时滞的时滞微分系统的多步龙格-库塔方法的稳定性.基于辐角原理，本文给出了多步龙格-库塔方法弱时滞相关稳定性的充分条件，并通过数值算例验证了理论结果的有效性.     

Stability analysis of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays

In this paper we investigated the stability of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays. Based on Lyapunov theory and applying bounded techniques of fractional calculation, sufficient criterion are established to guarantee the stability. Hybrid feedback control is applied to derive the proposed results. Finally, numerical examples with simulation results are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Global dynamics of a Vector‐Borne disease model with two delays and nonlinear transmission rate

In this paper, we investigate a Vector‐Borne disease model with nonlinear incidence rate and 2 delays: One is the incubation period in the vectors and the other is the incubation period in the host. Under the biologically motivated assumptions, we show that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number R₀. The disease‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R₀≤1; when R₀>1, the system is uniformly persistent, and there exists a unique endemic equilibrium that is globally asymptotically. Numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate the theoretical results.     

基于时变SJC-Copula对商品期货市场间风险传染的探究

分别选取WIND商品指数和CRB指数作为衡量我国商品期货市场及国际商品期货市场综合价格的指标,利用时变SJC-Copula模型构建两者之间的动态相依结构,通过动态的尾部相关系数来探究我国商品期货市场与国际市场间的尾部相关性.实证结果表明,我国商品期货市场与国际市场间的上尾相关性要强于下尾相关性,即当商品期货价格上涨时,两个市场间更易发生风险传染.     

碳税政策下时变需求依赖库存与价格的供应链协调模型

研究由一个供应商和一个零售组成的二级供应链系统在碳税政策下的协调问题.对于市场需求率为时变函数且依赖于当前库存水平和销售价格的情形,建立分散式和集中式供应链决策模型.比较两种模型得出供应商和零售商合作能够提高供应链的整体利润但是也会产生更多的碳排放.分别利用批发价格契约和两部收费契约协调分散式决策模型得出供应链协调的条件.最后通过数值算例验证理论结果并分析碳税单价对供应链在两部收费契约下实现协调的影响.     

Resilient dissipative dynamic output feedback control for uncertain Markov jump Lur’e systems with time-varying delays

The resilient dissipative dynamic output feedback control problem for a class of uncertain Markov jump Lur’e systems with piecewise homogeneous transition probabilities and time-varying delays in the discrete-time domain are examined in this study. The designed controller can tolerate additive uncertainties in the controller gain matrix, which result from controller implementations. The time-varying delays are also supposed to be mode-dependent with lower and upper bounds known a priori. By constructing a Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional candidate, the sufficient conditions regarding the existence of desired resilient dissipative controllers are obtained in terms of linear matrix inequalities, thereby ensuring that the resulting closed-loop system is stochastically stable and strictly dissipative. Two numerical examples were established to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed theoretical results.     

Exponential stability and applications of switched positive linear impulsive systems with time-varying delays and all unstable subsystems

The global uniform exponential stability of switched positive linear impulsive systems with time-varying delays and all unstable subsystems is studied in this paper, which includes two types of distributed time-varying delays and discrete time-varying delays. Switching behaviors dominating the switched systems can be either stabilizing and destabilizing in the new designed switching sequence. We design new linear programming algorithm process to find the feasible ratio of stabilizing switching behaviors, which can be compensated by unstable subsystems, destabilizing switching behaviors, and impulses. Specically, we add a kind of nonnegative impulses which is consistent with the switching behaviors for the systems. Employing a multiple co-positive Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, we present several new sufficient stability criteria and design new switching sequence. Then, we apply the obtained stability criteria to the exponential consensus of linear delayed multi-agent systems, and obtain the new exponential consensus criteria. Three simulations are provided to demonstrate the proposed stability criteria.