指数族半参数非线性模型的统计诊断和影响分析

本文研究了指数族半参数非线性模型的统计诊断和影响分析方法,得到了一系列识别异常点和强影响点的诊断统计量．数值例子验证了本文给出的诊断方法的有效性．  

Influence Diagnostics in the Common Canonical Variates Model

As a generalization of the canonical correlation analysis to k random vectors, the common canonical variates model was recently proposed based on the assumption that the canonical variates have the same coefficients in all k sets of variables, and is applicable to many cases. In this article, we apply the local influence method in this model to study the impact of minor perturbations of data. The method is non-standard because of the restrictions imposed on the coefficients. Besides investigating the joint local influence of the observations, we also obtain the elliptical norm of the empirical influence function as a special case of local influence diagnostics. Based on the proposed diagnostics, we find that the results of common canonical variates analysis for the female water striders data set is largely affected by omitting just one single observation.  

Bayesian Influence Assessment in the Growth Curve Model with Unstructured Covariance

From a Bayesian point of view, in this paper we discuss the influence of a subset of observations on the posterior distributions of parameters in a growth curve model with unstructured covariance. The measure used to assess the influence is based on a Bayesian entropy, namely Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD). Several new properties of the Bayesian entropy are studied, and analytically closed forms of the KLD measurement both for the matrix-variate normal distribution and the Wishart distribution are established. In the growth curve model, the KLD measurements for all combinations of the parameters are also studied. For illustration, a practical data set is analyzed using the proposed approach, which shows that the diagnostics measurements are useful in practice.  

Multiple outlier detection in growth curve model with unstructured covariance matrix

Under a normal assumption, Liski (1991,Biometrics,47, 659–668) gave some measurements for assessing influential observations in a Growth Curve Model (GCM) with a known covariance. For the GCM with an arbitrary (p.d.) covariance structure, known as unstructured covariance matrix (UCM), the problems of detecting multiple outliers are discussed in this paper. When a multivariate normal error is assumed, the MLEs of the parameters in the Multiple-Individual-Deletion model (MIDM) and the Mean-Shift-Regression model (MSRM) are derived, respectively. In order to detect multiple outliers in the GCM with UCM, the likelihood ratio testing statistic in MSRM is established and its null distribution is derived. For illustration, two numerical examples are discussed, which shows that the criteria presented in this paper are useful in practice.Supported partially by the WAI TAK Investment and Loan Company Ltd. Research Scholarship of Hong Kong for 1992–93.Supported partially by the Hong Kong UPGC Grant.  

ZI数据的统计分析综述

ZI (zero-inflated)数据就是含零过多的数据.从上世纪90年代以来, ZI数据在各个研究领域受到越来越广泛的重视,现在仍然是数据分析的热点问题之一.本文首先通过2个实例说明ZI数据的实际意义,然后介绍ZI数据分析的研究概况和最新进展.另外文章还系统介绍了各种ZI数据模型、ZI纵向数据模型及其参数估计方法,同时也介绍了ZI数据的统计诊断等问题, 其中包括作者近年来的一些工作.最后, 本文列出了若干有待进一步研究的问题.  

基于主成分回归的杭州市PM2.5含量的综合分析

为探究杭州市PM2.5含量与其他指标之间的关系，搜集杭州市2019年的AQI指数和AQI 6项指标进行分析.首先通过相关分析揭示PM2.5与其余5项指标的相关性，发现各指标与PM2.5均呈线性关系，又因为其余5项指标之间存在显著的线性相关性，故自变量之间存在多重共线性.为了消除多重共线性的影响，对这5项指标提取主成分，再基于主成分分析做回归分析.最后对模型进行统计诊断，按照一定标准筛选出原始数据中的强影响点，删除强影响点后得到最终模型.  

Sensitivity analysis in functional principal component analysis

Summary  In the present paper empirical influence functions (EIFs) are derived for eigenvalues and eigenfunctions in functional principal component analysis in both cases where the smoothing parameter is fixed and unfixed. Based on the derived influence functions a sensitivity analysis procedure is proposed for detecting jointly as well as singly influential observations. A numerical example is given to show the usefulness of the proposed procedure. In dealing with the influence on the eigenfunctions two different kinds of influence statistics are introduced. One is based on the EIF for the coefficient vectors of the basis function expansion, and the other is based on the sampled vectors of the functional EIF. Under a certain condition it can be proved both kinds of statistics provide essentially equivalent results.  

广义线性模型中一类推广的拟似然估计与异方差性诊断检验

本文考虑了随机设计情形下一类普通的异方差回归模型，在这个模型中，假定回归函数与方差函数之间的关系服从推广的广义非线性模型，该模型在实际中很常见，广义线性模型便是其特例，首先，我们导出了均值函数的局部加权拟似然估计，然后，用它来得到方差函数的估计，并且证明了这些估计有较好的性质，最后，建立了异方差检验统计量，文中的方法很吸引人。