A Continuous-Time Random Walk Extension of the Gillis Model

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional non-homogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical literature as Gillis random walk. This modified stochastic process allows to significantly change local, non-local and transport properties in the presence of heavy-tailed waiting-time distributions lacking the first moment: we provide here exact results concerning hitting times, first-time events, survival probabilities, occupation times, the moments spectrum and the statistics of records. Specifically, normal diffusion gives way to subdiffusion and we are witnessing the breaking of ergodicity. Furthermore we also test our theoretical predictions with numerical simulations.     

基于CEEMD的重大事件对香港住宅价格影响的实证分析

应用互补集成经验模态分解（CEEMD）方法对香港1997―2018年的住宅价格月度数据进行了分解，将经过重构后的数据分成高频序列、低频序列与残差项。将BP多断点检测应用于低频序列，并结合样本时段内的重大事件进行实证分析。结果表明：1997年亚洲金融风暴对房价的影响大于2008年金融危机；外部经济体的救市政策间接地影响香港房价；在经济不景气的大环境下“孙九招”政策没有立即见效；资本投资者入境计划、住房供给调整与按揭贷款调整对房价的影响较为显著；税收调整对房价影响不显著、对交易量影响显著；SARS爆发使住宅价格下降约1%。     

阿拉尔垦区自然灾害对农业经济影响的研究

阿拉尔垦区是新疆重要的棉花、林果产业基地,然而频发的自然灾害给农业经济造成了极为严重的影响.自然灾害发生频率高、灾害地域分布不均衡以及带来的破坏效果大和损失严重等特点,引起了人们的广泛关注.采用层次分析法作为基础理论,通过专家打分法确定权重建立评价模型.阿拉尔垦区自然灾害对农业经济影响的研究是一个非常重要的理论和实践问题,它对于提高农民收入、促进农业可持续发展和社会稳定具有重要的意义.     

基于LSTM的浮选钼精矿品位软测量模型

战略性稀有金属钼矿品位低,组分复杂、嵌布粒度细等特点,其有价金属分离回收难。浮选作为微细粒钼矿分离回收的主要选矿方法之一,其浮选钼精矿品位一直是选厂的关键性产品指标。国内大多数选厂采取轮班制采样,人工化验得到精矿品位结果,但此方式严重滞后于浮选工艺,难以满足对生产过程进行实时监测和操作指导。LSTM是一种特殊的循环神经网络,引入门机制有效的传递或选择性遗忘长时间序列中的信息,解决RNN中的长期依赖、梯度消失和爆炸问题。本文分析整理东坡选厂中各平台源数据,结合选厂浮选工艺及机理,筛选出多个影响浮选钼精矿品位的变量作为模型输入;将输入变量进行异常值判定,缺失值填充和数据降噪等数据预处理,建立高质量浮选钼精矿品位数据库;软测量模型采用PyCharm软件编码,使用BatchNorm批量规范化处理样本数据,加入Dropout正则化防止过拟合,建立基于LSTM的浮选钼精矿品位软测量模型,通过前向传播算法更新神经网络结构参数,并于Linear模型和CNN模型的预测性能指标结果比较。结果表明：基于LSTM的浮选钼精矿品位软测量模型预测准确度高,样本数据误差波动平稳,浮动范围小,模型泛化能力强,模型平均绝对百分比误差MAPE为1.13%,均方根误差RMSE为0.7049%,决定系数R2为0.8763,实现了浮选钼精矿品位的在线预测。     

物理化学教学中安全工程教育的融合与内化实例*

如何强化安全工程教育是化学化工类专业高等教育的一个重要课题。通过对蒸汽锅炉爆炸、火灾爆燃事故以及锈蚀危害等3个实例的详细讲述,指出在物理化学的教学中,若适时融入相关的安全工程教育,可以使学生深刻理解安全事故发生及防范所依赖的物理化学原理,从而起到安全意识的内化作用。教学中现代教育技术的引入可以增强这一效果。     

Enhanced conformational sampling method for proteins based on the TaBoo SeArch algorithm: Application to the folding of a mini‐protein,chignolin

The conformational samplings are indispensible for obtaining reliable canonical ensembles, which provide statistical averages of physical quantities such as free energies. However, the samplings of vast conformational space of biomacromolecules by conventional molecular dynamics (MD) simulations might be insufficient, due to their inadequate accessible time‐scales for investigating biological functions. Therefore, the development of methodologies for enhancing the conformational sampling of biomacromolecules still remains as a challenging issue in computational biology. To tackle this problem, we newly propose an efficient conformational search method, which is referred as TaBoo SeArch (TBSA) algorithm. In TBSA, an inverse energy histogram is used to select seeds for the conformational resampling so that states with high frequencies are inhibited, while states with low frequencies are efficiently sampled to explore the unvisited conformational space. As a demonstration, TBSA was applied to the folding of a mini‐protein, chignolin, and automatically sampled the native structure (C_α root mean square deviation < 1.0 Å) with nanosecond order computational costs started from a completely extended structure, although a long‐time 1‐µs normal MD simulation failed to sample the native structure. Furthermore, a multiscale free energy landscape method based on the conformational sampling of TBSA were quantitatively evaluated through free energy calculations with both implicit and explicit solvent models, which enable us to find several metastable states on the folding landscape. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

中国活动构造与环境灾害研究中的若干重大问题

活动构造与环境灾害是密切相关的。活动构造可以直接引起地质灾害,构造活动引发的地震又可以派生出一系列地质灾害,人类不恰当的工程活动还可以恶化地质构造环境而加剧地质灾害。在活动构造与环境灾害相关性研究方面,我国急待启动四大科学问题的研究工作:基于现代大陆动力学的中国大陆区域地壳稳定性分区评价研究;青藏高原隆升与地质灾害;活动断裂的工程危害及其防治;地质灾害的内外动力耦合成因机理。     

Materials Sensitive to the Type of Process

Several effects associated with the sensitivity of materials to various processes have been long known. Among such processes are: tension or compression; torsion in different directions; various stress combinations, etc. (sensitivity to the type of loading); stretching or compression, etc. (sensitivity to the type of deformation); creep or relaxation, processes with different strain rates, etc. (sensitivity to the type of rheological processes). There are many successful propositions as to how to model these types of sensitivity for every particular case. This presentation proposes a new approach to generalize all these events using a unified model. The model is based on introducing an extended space of events, including stress and strain subspaces, and time scale (or the well-known internal time scale). Some subspaces with single-type processes ought to be identified. In every single-type process, a subspace of one material model is preferable. Of special importance is the transition from one subspace to another. Under various experimentally examined conditions, it is possible to introduce some simplified quadratic surfaces of constant stress and strain states (measured from their intensities at fixed time points). This approach is applied to various characteristic cases. The important issue of solving the system of equations that describes the behavior of a material in case of complex multi-type processes is discussed     

吹吸扰动对壁湍流相干结构的影响

采用热线风速仪测量受吹吸扰动的壁湍流边界层的流向速度，用傅里叶变换和子波变换研究 吹吸扰动对壁湍流能谱的影响，结果显示施加的低频扰动使边界层内层大尺度结构的能量减 少，小尺度结构的能量有所增强，远离壁面时扰动强度逐步衰减直到在外层中消失；通过VITA 法和子波变换法检测猝发事件，表明该扰动降低了猝发强度，使猝发周期延长，条件平均速 度波形的幅值降低、持续时间变短，说明扰动明显抑制了相干结构的猝发过程. 利用子波变 换可以实现湍谱分析，能有效检测猝发中的湍流结构，是一种客观的分析工具.     

Singular hyperbolicity of star flows on surfaces

In this paper, we prove that every star flow on the closed surface has finitely many chain recurrent classes. Furthermore, it is singular hyperbolic if every non-trivial singular chain component is a graph. As a consequence, every star flow on the 2-sphere or the projective plane is singular hyperbolic.