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1.
光谱质量、样本个体差异、检测系统和建模算法等多种因素共同决定水果糖度检测模型的预测精度和稳定性。采用自主研发的短积分全透射近红外在线检测系统以5 ms积分时间和0.5 m·s-1运行速度在线获取了“富士”苹果全透射光谱信号。不同姿态获取的透射光谱强度差异明显,但曲线走势相近,均在920 nm波段具有最大的光谱强度,在850 nm波段存在波谷。采用移动平均平滑、标准正态变量变换和多元散射校正等预处理方法有效去除原始光谱的随机噪声和基线偏差,减小了样本检测姿态引起的光谱差异。为分析不同检测姿态对苹果整果糖度预测模型的影响,构建了单一姿态局限模型和多姿态通用模型,结果表明基于全位点平均透射光谱构建的单一姿态局限模型对检测姿态具有很大的局限性,而多姿态通用模型预测能力较单一检测姿态相当,但却对不同的检测姿态具有更强的适用能力。为进一步提高光谱信号质量,优化模型预测能力,采用信号强度阈值优选方法实现了苹果整果糖度预测模型优化,发现移除中央位点获取的透射光谱信号,有利于提高苹果整果糖度预测模型精度。多姿态通用信号强度优化模型综合考虑不同姿态获取的光谱信息有效性,有效提升了通用信号强度优化模型的预测能力和稳定性,当多姿态通用模型中信号强度阈值为5 000时,模型预测性能最佳,其预测参数Rp,RMSEP和RPD分别为0.79,0.84%和1.58。表明短积分全透射近红外在线检测系统用于不同姿态苹果糖度预测是可行的,多姿态通用模型的建立,扩大了模型在不同姿态的预测稳健性,短积分光谱采集方式结合信号强度阈值优选方法提升了光谱信号的质量和模型的预测能力。  相似文献   
2.
Zhong-Yu Li 《中国物理 B》2022,31(4):40502-040502
Accurate prediction of road traffic flow is a significant part in the intelligent transportation systems. Accurate prediction can alleviate traffic congestion, and reduce environmental pollution. For the management department, it can make effective use of road resources. For individuals, it can help people plan their own travel paths, avoid congestion, and save time. Owing to complex factors on the road, such as damage to the detector and disturbances from environment, the measured traffic volume can contain noise. Reducing the influence of noise on traffic flow prediction is a piece of very important work. Therefore, in this paper we propose a combination algorithm of denoising and BILSTM to effectively improve the performance of traffic flow prediction. At the same time, three denoising algorithms are compared to find the best combination mode. In this paper, the wavelet (WL) denoising scheme, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) denoising scheme, and the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) denoising scheme are all introduced to suppress outliers in traffic flow data. In addition, we combine the denoising schemes with bidirectional long short-term memory (BILSTM) network to predict the traffic flow. The data in this paper are cited from performance measurement system (PeMS). We choose three kinds of road data (mainline, off ramp, on ramp) to predict traffic flow. The results for mainline show that data denoising can improve prediction accuracy. Moreover, prediction accuracy of BILSTM+EEMD scheme is the highest in the three methods (BILSTM+WL, BILSTM+EMD, BILSTM+EEMD). The results for off ramp and on ramp show the same performance as the results for mainline. It is indicated that this model is suitable for different road sections and long-term prediction.  相似文献   
3.
本文提出了一种新的带有时间幂次项的灰色GM(1,1,k,k2)模型,给出了其灰微分方程和白化微分方程基本形式。基于最小二乘法获得了该模型参数估计值,并推导了该模型时间响应函数。鉴于GM(1,1,k,k2)模型灰微分方程与白化微分方程之间存在跳跃关系,首先对灰微分方程的背景值进行了优化,并推导了优化后的背景值计算公式。为了克服初始值的影响,根据误差平方和最小,进一步优化了GM(1,1,k,k2)模型时间响应函数。最后,该优化后的GM(1,1,k,k2)模型被应用于软土地基沉降预测,获得了较好的模拟预测效果,说明模型是可行的。  相似文献   
4.
5.
新冠肺炎疫情对广州港的货运发展产生了一定程度的影响,但目前仍然缺少相关的定量研究.基于灰色预测模型,利用港口货物吞吐量、外贸货物吞吐量、集装箱吞吐量三个货运指标,在新冠肺炎疫情没发生的这一假设下,推测2020年1-8月广州港的各货运发展指标值.基于预测值与实际值的比较,定量研究广州港的货运发展受新冠肺炎的影响值,反映新冠肺炎疫情对广州港货运增长的影响程度.实证结果显示:新冠肺炎疫情给广州港货运增长带来的总体影响比较大,对港口货物吞吐量的影响程度为-4.08%,外贸货物的影响-6.33%,集装箱货物的影响-5.79%.为了进一步探索如何减弱新冠肺炎疫情对广州港货运发展的影响,引入了灰色关联度模型,对广州港货运发展的关联因素进行研究.通过广州港货运发展关联因素研究,提出在后疫情时代,促进广州港货运发展的相关举措.  相似文献   
6.
The transfer of retention times based on thermodynamic models between columns can aid in separation optimization and compound identification in gas chromatography. Although earlier investigations have been reported, this problem remains unsuccessfully addressed. One barrier is poor predictive accuracy when moving from a reference column or system to a new target column or system. This is attributed to challenges associated with the accurate determination of the effective geometric parameters of the columns. To overcome this, we designed least squares‐based models that account for geometric parameters of the columns and thermodynamic parameters of compounds as they partition between mobile and stationary phases. Quasi‐Newton‐based algorithms were then used to perform the numerical optimization. In this first of three parts, the model used to determine the geometric parameters of the reference column and the thermodynamic parameters of compounds subjected to separation is introduced. As will be shown, the overall approach significantly improves the predictive accuracy and transferability of thermodynamic data (and retention times) between columns of the same stationary phase chemistry. The data required for the determination of the thermodynamic parameters and retention time prediction are obtained from fast and simple experiments. The proposed model and optimization algorithms were tested and validated using simulated and experimental data.  相似文献   
7.
Structure determination of functional organic compounds remains a formidable challenge when the sample exists as a powder. Nuclear magnetic resonance crystallography approaches based on the comparison of experimental and Density Functional Theory (DFT)-computed 1H chemical shifts have already demonstrated great potential for structure determination of organic powders, but limitations still persist. In this study, we discuss the possibility of using 13C-13C dipolar couplings quantified on powdered theophylline at natural isotopic abundance with the help of dynamic nuclear polarization, to realize a DFT-free, rapid screening of a pool of structures predicted by ab initio random structure search. We show that although 13C-13C dipolar couplings can identify structures possessing long range structural motifs and unit cell parameters close to those of the true structure, it must be complemented with other data to recover information about the presence and the chemical nature of the supramolecular interactions.  相似文献   
8.
The trend prediction of the stock is a main challenge. Accidental factors often lead to short-term sharp fluctuations in stock markets, deviating from the original normal trend. The short-term fluctuation of stock price has high noise, which is not conducive to the prediction of stock trends. Therefore, we used discrete wavelet transform (DWT)-based denoising to denoise stock data. Denoising the stock data assisted us to eliminate the influences of short-term random events on the continuous trend of the stock. The denoised data showed more stable trend characteristics and smoothness. Extreme learning machine (ELM) is one of the effective training algorithms for fully connected single-hidden-layer feedforward neural networks (SLFNs), which possesses the advantages of fast convergence, unique results, and it does not converge to a local minimum. Therefore, this paper proposed a combination of ELM- and DWT-based denoising to predict the trend of stocks. The proposed method was used to predict the trend of 400 stocks in China. The prediction results of the proposed method are a good proof of the efficacy of DWT-based denoising for stock trends, and showed an excellent performance compared to 12 machine learning algorithms (e.g., recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM)).  相似文献   
9.
Active inference is a physics of life process theory of perception, action and learning that is applicable to natural and artificial agents. In this paper, active inference theory is related to different types of practice in social organization. Here, the term social organization is used to clarify that this paper does not encompass organization in biological systems. Rather, the paper addresses active inference in social organization that utilizes industrial engineering, quality management, and artificial intelligence alongside human intelligence. Social organization referred to in this paper can be in private companies, public institutions, other for-profit or not-for-profit organizations, and any combination of them. The relevance of active inference theory is explained in terms of variational free energy, prediction errors, generative models, and Markov blankets. Active inference theory is most relevant to the social organization of work that is highly repetitive. By contrast, there are more challenges involved in applying active inference theory for social organization of less repetitive endeavors such as one-of-a-kind projects. These challenges need to be addressed in order for active inference to provide a unifying framework for different types of social organization employing human and artificial intelligence.  相似文献   
10.
本文基于粒子群优化算法的结构预测方法结合第一性原理计算,研究了LiYH4,Li2YH5和Li3YH6在0—300 GPa压力范围内的晶体结构、电子结构、热力学和动力学稳定性.研究结果表明LiYH4-P4/nmm,Li2YH5-I4/mmm和Li3YH6-P4/nmm结构可分别在169—221 GPa,141—300 GPa和166—300 GPa压力范围内由LiH和YH3按一定配比加压合成.富氢化合物的超导电性研究成为近年来高温超导体研究领域的热点,该研究结果有希望为Li-Y-H三元体系氢化物的超导电性研究及实验合成提供数据支撑.  相似文献   
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