累积Logistic回归模型结构变点的序贯检验

分类时间序列在生物医学、社会学和遗传学等领域有着广泛的应用,累积Logistic回归模型是分类时间序列建模的一类重要模型.本文基于偏似然得分过程(Partial likelihood score process)提出一种变点序贯检验方法,监测累积Logistic回归模型的结构是否发生变化.原假设下推导检验统计量的极限分布,备择假设下证明其一致性.模拟试验和实例分析说明了方法的有效性.     

Highly Effective Detection of Amitraz in Honey by Using Surface-Enhanced Raman Scattering Spectroscopy Coupled with Chemometric Methods

As an effective and universal acaricide, amitraz is widely used on beehives against varroasis caused by the mite Varroa jacobsoni. Its residues in honey pose a great danger to human health. In this study, a sensitive, rapid, and environmentally friendly surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy method (SERS) was developed for the determination of trace amount of amitraz in honey with the use of silver nanorod (AgNR) array substrate. The AgNR array substrate fabricated by an oblique angle deposition technique exhibited an excellent SERS activity with an enhancement factor of ∽10⁷. Density function theory was employed to assign the characteristic peak of amitraz. The detection of amitraz was further explored and amitraz in honey at concentrations as low as 0.08 mg/kg can be identified. Specifically, partial least square regression analysis was employed to correlate the SERS spectra in full-wavelength with C_amitraz to afford a multiple-quantitative amitraz predicting model. Preliminary results show that the predicted concentrations of amitraz in honey samples are in good agreement with their real concentrations. Compared with the conventional univariate quantitative model based on single peak’s intensity, the proposed multiple-quantitative predicting model integrates all the characteristic peaks of amitraz, thus offering an improved detecting accuracy and anti-interference ability.     

Optimal time delays in a class of reaction-diffusion equations

ABSTRACT

A class of semilinear parabolic reaction diffusion equations with multiple time delays is considered. These time delays and corresponding weights are to be optimized such that the associated solution of the delay equation is the best approximation of a desired state function. The differentiability of the mapping is proved that associates the solution of the delay equation to the vector of weights and delays. Based on an adjoint calculus, first-order necessary optimality conditions are derived. Numerical test examples show the applicability of the concept of optimizing time delays.     

高光谱成像的土壤剖面水分含量反演及制图

传统土壤水分的获取方法仅可获得离散的土壤水分点位数据，难以获得剖面上精细且连续的水分含量分布图。研究了野外条件下利用近红外高光谱（882～1 709 nm）成像反演剖面土壤水分含量（SMC），并实现精细制图的可行性。研究剖面位于江苏省东台市，我们利用近红外高光谱成像仪对剖面进行了5天原位连续观测，共采集了280个土样用于烘干法测定SMC。原始高光谱图像经数字量化值（DN）校正、黑白校正、拼接、几何校正、剪切和掩膜等一系列预处理后，提取各采样点的平均光谱反射率。提取光谱（Raw）经吸光度[LOG₁₀(1/R)]，Savitzky-Golay平滑（SG）、一阶微分（FD）、二阶微分（SD）、多元散射校正（MSC）和标准正态变量（SNV）转换后，采用偏最小二乘回归（PLSR）和最小二乘支持向量机（LS-SVM）方法建立SMC预测模型，并对比分析不同光谱预处理方法与建模方法组合条件下SMC的预测精度。结果表明，光谱反射率随SMC增加逐渐降低，不同光谱预处理方法的预测精度有所差异，除MSC方法外，同一光谱预处理方法的LS-SVM模型预测精度均高于PLSR模型，并且基于LOG₁₀(1/R)光谱的LS-SVM模型对SMC预测精度最高，其建模集的决定系数（R2_c）和均方根误差（RMSE_c）分别为0.96和0.65%，预测集的决定系数（R2_p）、均方根误差（RMSE_p）和相对分析误差（RPD_p）分别为0.88，1.05%和2.88。利用最优模型进行剖面SMC的高空间分辨率精细制图，通过比较SMC反演图中提取的预测值与实测值关系发现预测精度较高（R2: 0.85～0.95, RMSE: 0.94%～1.02%），且两者在剖面中的变化趋势基本一致，说明SMC反演图不仅能很好地反映出土壤水分在整个剖面中毫米级的含量分布信息，也可反映出同一位置处不同天数间的含量差异。因此，利用近红外高光谱成像结合优化的预测模型，能够实现土壤剖面SMC的定量预测及精细制图，有助于快速、有效监测田间剖面土壤水分状况。     

改进的PNC方法及其在非线性偏微分方程多解问题中的应用

2017年，李昭祥等提出了一种偏牛顿-校正法（Partial Newton-Correction Method，简记为PNC方法），并利用它成功地计算出了三类非线性偏微分方程的多重不稳定解.本文在PNC方法的基础上，提出并发展了一种改进的PNC方法.首先，利用Nehari流形$\mathcal{N}$与零平凡解的可分离性，建立并证明了$\mathcal{N}$的某特殊子流形$\mathcal{M}$上的全局分离定理及其推广（即局部分离定理）.全局分离定理只跟非线性偏微分算子或相应的非线性泛函本身有关，而与具体的计算方法无关.对一些典型的非线性偏微分方程多解问题（比如，Henon方程问题），该全局分离定理的分离条件，经验证是成立的.另一个方面，通过修改或补充原辅助变换的定义，去掉了原辅助变换的奇异性；接着建立并证明了某些非线性偏微分方程问题的新未知解与该非线性偏微分算子零核空间的密切关系；在证明中，去掉了在原奇异变换下所需的标准收敛（standard convergence）假设.最后，计算实例与数值结果验证了改进的PNC方法的可行性和有效性；同时表明子流形$\mathcal{M}$与已知解的可分离性是PNC方法和本文新方法能成功找到多解的关键.     

Phosphine‐Stabilized Diiododiborenes: Isolable Diborenes with Six Labile Bonds

The lability of B=B, B?P, and B–halide bonds is combined in the syntheses of the first diiododiborenes. In a series of reactivity tests, these diiododiborenes undergo cleavage of all six of their central bonds in different ways, leading to products of B=B hydrogenation and dihalogenation as well as halide exchange.     

Ultimate Charge Extraction of Monolayer PbS Quantum Dot for Observation of Multiple Exciton Generation

Multiple exciton generation (MEG) has great potential to improve the Shockley-Queisser (S-Q) efficiency limitation for colloidal quantum dot (CQD) solar cells. However, MEG has rarely been observed in CQD solar cells because of the loss of carriers through the transport mechanism between adjacent QDs. Herein, we demonstrate that excess charge carriers produced via MEG can be efficiently extracted using monolayer PbS QDs. The monolayer PbS QDs solar cells exhibit α=1 in the light intensity dependence of the short-circuit current density J_sc (J_sc∝I^α) and an internal quantum efficiency (IQE) value of 100 % at 2.95 eV because of their very short charge extraction path. In addition, the measured MEG threshold is 2.23 times the bandgap energy (E_g), which is the lowest value in PbS QD solar cells. We believe that this approach can provide a simple method to find suitable CQD materials and design interface engineering for MEG.     

Incremental dynamic mode decomposition: A reduced-model learner operating at the low-data limit

The present work aims at proposing a new methodology for learning reduced models from a small amount of data. It is based on the fact that discrete models, or their transfer function counterparts, have a low rank and then they can be expressed very efficiently using few terms of a tensor decomposition. An efficient procedure is proposed as well as a way for extending it to nonlinear settings while keeping limited the impact of data noise. The proposed methodology is then validated by considering a nonlinear elastic problem and constructing the model relating tractions and displacements at the observation points.     

基于NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据的山西省GDP空间化模拟

选取山西省为研究对象，以美国国家极轨合作仪件-可见红外成像辐射计套件（NPP-VIIRS）夜间灯光数据、GDP统计数据等为数据源，构建GDP空间化拟合模型，建立山西省GDP密度图，据此研究山西省经济的空间差异性。通过对NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据的空间化处理，提取灯光指数，并将其与GDP进行回归拟合，建立最佳回归模型，得到GDP密度拟合图；利用县级GDP数据进行线性纠正，从而提高GDP的模拟精度。结果表明：（1）NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据与GDP的相关性较高，可用于山西省GDP模拟；（2）与GDP分区建模相比，GDP整体建模的精度更高；（3）山西省GDP的空间分布整体呈由城市中心逐渐向周边辐射的特点，构成GDP过渡带。     

A modified model for isothermal homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions in the boundary-layer flow of a nanofluid

The homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions in the boundary-layer of a flat surface are considered. The autocatalysts are assumed to be of regular sizes, while the solution is a dilute nanofluid. The heat release due to the chemical reactions is taken into account. The Buongiorno's model is used to describe the behaviors of this reaction system. This configuration makes the current model be different from all previous publications. Multiple solutions are given numerically to the rescaled nonlinear system, whose stability is verified. The results show that the strength coefficients of the homogeneous and heterogeneous reactions are key factors to cause the appearance of the multiple solutions in the distribution of the chemical reactions. Nanofluids enhance the diffusion of heat and help maintain the stability of chemical reactions.