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1.
本文研究泊松逆高斯回归模型的贝叶斯统计推断.基于应用Gibbs抽样,Metropolis-Hastings算法以及Multiple-Try Metropolis算法等MCMC统计方法计算模型未知参数和潜变量的联合贝叶斯估计,并引入两个拟合优度统计量来评价提出的泊松逆高斯回归模型的合理性.若干模拟研究与一个实证分析说明方法的可行性.  相似文献   
2.
Semens of Astragali Complanati own anti-erectile dysfunction effect; however, the components which contribute to the anti-erectile dysfunction effect remain unclear. This work raised a strategy that integrates liquid chromatography coupled mass spectrometry-based quantitative analysis, anti-erectile dysfunction assessment on impotent rats, and their relationship analysis for pinpointing anti-erectile dysfunction components from semens of Astragali Complanati. For simultaneous quantification of seven major components in raw and salt-processed semens of Astragali Complanati, an accurate and reliable liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry method was developed under multiple reaction monitoring mode. Of note, chloramphenicol was employed as the internal standard. The method showed good linearity and repeatability, where the recovery rates of each component ranged from 98.1 to 104.7%, and the precisions of intra- and interday were all within 3.4%. The method has been used for quantification of the seven major components in 10 batches of raw and salt-processed semens of Astragali Complanati. Then, the anti-erectile dysfunction effects of raw and salt-processed semens of Astragali Complanati were evaluated on impotent rats. Gray relationship analysis and partial least squares regression were combined for elucidating the relationship. As a result, complanatuside, astragalin, complanatoside B, and kaempferol were found to be responsible for anti-erectile dysfunction effect of Astragali Complanati.  相似文献   
3.
周晓剑  肖丹  付裕 《运筹与管理》2022,31(8):137-142
传统的面向支持向量回归的一次性建模算法中样本增加时,均需从头开始学习,而增量式算法可以充分利用上一阶段的学习成果。SVR的增量算法通常基于ε-不敏感损失函数,该损失函数对大的异常值比较敏感,而Huber损失函数对异常值敏感度低。所以在有噪声的情况下,Huber损失函数是比ε-不敏感损失函数更好的选择,在现实情况当中。基于此,本文提出了一种基于Huber损失函数的增量式Huber-SVR算法,该算法能够持续地将新样本信息集成到已经构建好的模型中,而不是重新建模。与增量式ε-SVR算法和增量式RBF算法相比,在对真实数据进行预测建模时,增量式Huber-SVR算法具有更高的预测精度。  相似文献   
4.
The variants of randomized Kaczmarz and randomized Gauss-Seidel algorithms are two effective stochastic iterative methods for solving ridge regression problems. For solving ordinary least squares regression problems, the greedy randomized Gauss-Seidel (GRGS) algorithm always performs better than the randomized Gauss-Seidel algorithm (RGS) when the system is overdetermined. In this paper, inspired by the greedy modification technique of the GRGS algorithm, we extend the variant of the randomized Gauss-Seidel algorithm, obtaining a variant of greedy randomized Gauss-Seidel (VGRGS) algorithm for solving ridge regression problems. In addition, we propose a relaxed VGRGS algorithm and the corresponding convergence theorem is established. Numerical experiments show that our algorithms outperform the VRK-type and the VRGS algorithms when $m > n$.  相似文献   
5.
构建了基于二阶段异质随机森林的汽油辛烷值预测模型.首先利用样本-位点信息表知识约简模型,筛选出对汽油辛烷值影响大的位点数据作为第一阶段;然后,利用集成学习思想集成支持向量回归和动态时间序列神经网络,构建异质随机森林预测模型作为第二阶段.利用十折交叉法验证模型精度,结果表明该集成学习算法具有有效性和高精度.  相似文献   
6.
The importance of variable selection and regularization procedures in multiple regression analysis cannot be overemphasized. These procedures are adversely affected by predictor space data aberrations as well as outliers in the response space. To counter the latter, robust statistical procedures such as quantile regression which generalizes the well-known least absolute deviation procedure to all quantile levels have been proposed in the literature. Quantile regression is robust to response variable outliers but very susceptible to outliers in the predictor space (high leverage points) which may alter the eigen-structure of the predictor matrix. High leverage points that alter the eigen-structure of the predictor matrix by creating or hiding collinearity are referred to as collinearity influential points. In this paper, we suggest generalizing the penalized weighted least absolute deviation to all quantile levels, i.e., to penalized weighted quantile regression using the RIDGE, LASSO, and elastic net penalties as a remedy against collinearity influential points and high leverage points in general. To maintain robustness, we make use of very robust weights based on the computationally intensive high breakdown minimum covariance determinant. Simulations and applications to well-known data sets from the literature show an improvement in variable selection and regularization due to the robust weighting formulation.  相似文献   
7.
ABSTRACT

Here we report a new predictive model for autoignition temperature (AIT), an important physical parameter widely used to assess potential safety hazards of combustible materials. Available structure-AIT data extracted from different sources were critically analysed. Support vector regression (SVR) models on different data subsets were built in order to identify a reliable compound set on which a realistic model could be built. This led to a selection of the dataset containing 875 compounds annotated with AIT values. The thereupon-based SVR model performs reasonably well in cross-validation with the determination coefficient r 2 = 0.77 and mean absolute error MAE = 37.8°C. External validation on 20 industrial compounds missing in the training set confirmed its good predictive power (MAE = 28.7°C).  相似文献   
8.
刘笑佟  任爽 《运筹与管理》2020,29(3):135-141
合理预测铁路货运需求是铁路管理部门建设、运营等决策基础。为应对铁路货运需求的复杂变化,基于Pearson相关性分析方法筛选出铁路货运需求的七个具有关键影响的因素,并结合不确定理论建立不确定多元线性回归模型,相应的铁路货运预测结果由传统单一值变成可能的需求区间范围,更加符合处于不确定环境下的铁路货运需求实际情况。选取国家统计局2004~2016年相关数据进实证研究,并与回归模型以及BP模型的预测结果对比分析,实验表明不确定多元线性回归的预测结果更加精确。  相似文献   
9.
10.
The main goal of this work is to adapt a Physics problem to the Machine Learning (ML) domain and to compare several techniques to solve it. The problem consists of how to perform muon count from the signal registered by particle detectors which record a mix of electromagnetic and muonic signals. Finding a good solution could be a building block on future experiments. After proposing an approach to solve the problem, the experiments show a performance comparison of some popular ML models using two different hadronic models for the test data. The results show that the problem is suitable to be solved using ML as well as how critical the feature selection stage is regarding precision and model complexity.  相似文献   
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