A storage model with self-similar input

A storage model with self-similar input process is studied. A relation coupling together the storage requirement, the achievable utilization and the output rate is derived. A lower bound for the complementary distribution function of the storage level is given.  

Stochastic Analysis of the Fractional Brownian Motion

Since the fractional Brownian motion is not a semi-martingale, the usual Ito calculus cannot be used to define a full stochastic calculus. However, in this work, we obtain the Itô formula, the Itô–Clark representation formula and the Girsanov theorem for the functionals of a fractional Brownian motion using the stochastic calculus of variations.  

分数布朗运动环境中标的资产有红利支付的欧式期权定价

本文在标的资产或基础股票的价格服从几何分数布朗运动模型假设下 ,分别在无风险利率 r和股价波动率 σ为常数和为时间 t的非随机函数的情况下 ,求出了有红利支付的欧式期权的定价公式 .  

股票价格遵循几何分式Brown运动的期权定价

讨论了股票价格过程遵循几何分式B row n运动的欧式期权定价.由于该过程存在套利机会使得传统的期权定价方法(如资本资产定价模型(CAPM),套利定价模型(APT),动态均衡定价理论(DEPT))不可能对该期权定价.利用保险精算定价法,在对市场无其它任何假设条件下,获得了欧式期权的定价公式.并讨论了在有效期内股票支付已知红利和红利率的推广公式.  

多元$t$分布数据的局部影响分析

对于多元$t$分布数据, 直接应用其概率密度进行影响分析是困难的\bd 本文通过引入服从Gamma分布的权重, 将其表示为特定多元正态分布的混合\bd 在此基础上, 进而将权重视为缺失数据, 引入EM算法; 从而利用基于完全数据似然函数的条件期望进行局部影响分析\bd 本文进一步系统研究了加权扰动模型下的局部影响分析, 得到了相应的诊断统计量; 并通过两个实例说明了这种方法的有效性.  

分数布朗运动环境下的期权定价与测度变换

研究分数B-S市场中的期权定价问题.通过选取不同的资产作为计价单位及相应的测度变换,将经典模型中的计价单位变换方法推广到分数布朗运动市场环境,既丰富了分数期权定价的拟鞅方法,也得到了分数期权定价公式的新的推导方法.  

Statistical Inference with Fractional Brownian Motion

We give a test between two complex hypothesis; namely we test whether a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has a linear trend against a certain non-linear trend. We study some related questions, like goodness-of-fit test and volatility estimation in these models.  

Arbitrage Opportunities for a Class of Gladyshev Processes

Geometric versions of a class of Gaussian processes are investigated as possible models for stock prices. Arbitrage opportunities are constructed for these processes showing that option pricing is not possible with these models. Accepted 30 March 1999  

Heavy traffic analysis of a storage model with long range dependent On/Off sources

We consider a fluid queueing system with infinite storage capacity and constant output rate offered a superposition ofN identical On/Off sources, where the ratio of input to output rate is small. The On and/or Off periods have heavy tailed distributions with infinite variance, giving rise to Long Range Dependence in the arrival process. In the limit of a large number of sources and high load, it is shown that the tail of the stationary queue content distribution is Weibullian, implying much larger queue contents than in the classical case of exponential tails. Noting that similar results were recently found by I. Norros for a storage system input by a Fractional Brownian Motion, we then show how the two models are related, thus providing a further physical motivation for the Fractional Brownian Motion model.  

分数跳-扩散环境下欧式期权定价的Ornstein-Uhlenbeck模型

假设股票价格遵循分数布朗运动和复合泊松过程驱动的随机微分方程，建立分数跳-扩散Ornstein-Uhlenbeck模型，利用价格过程的实际概率测度和公平保费原理，得到欧式看涨期权定价的解析表达式。推广了关于欧式期权定价的结论。