灰色动态模型及其在人口预测中的应用

一个国家人口的数量直接影响着其经济、社会的发展和资源的利用 ,中国是世界上人口的第一大国 ,人口问题一直是制约中国发展的第一因素 .本文应用灰色系统等维灰数递补动态预测模型 ,对中国未来5 0年的人口数量进行了动态预测 ,通过检验表明 ,该模型合理、方法简便可行、结果符合实际 ,为中国经济和社会发展的决策和研究提供了科学依据  

对牛顿迭代法的一个重要修改

对解非线性和超越方程ｆ（ｘ）＝０的牛顿迭代法作了重要的改进·利用动力系统的李雅普诺夫方法，构造了新的“牛顿类”方法·这些新的迭代方法保持了牛顿法的收敛速率和计算效能，摒弃了强加于ｆ（ｘ）的单调性要求ｆ′（ｘ）≠０·  

我国居民消费与GDP的误差修正模型研究

本文从协整理论出发 ,对我国居民消费与GDP建立了误差修正模型 ,深入探索经济变量数据间的内在关系 ,发现两者间存在动态均衡关系 ,比传统计量经济模型更能充分利用社会信息 ,形成有效预期  

横观各向同性饱和弹性多孔介质非轴对称动力响应

应用Fourier展开和Hankel变换求解了简谐激励下横观各向同性饱和弹性多孔介质的非轴对称Biot波动方程，得到了一般解。用一般解给出了多孔介质总应力分量的表达式。最后对求解横观各向同性饱和弹性多孔介质非轴对称动力响应边值的问题的方法作了系统说明，并且给出了数值分析特例。  

具有参数的不带有导数的平方收敛的迭代法

1.引 言 考虑数值求解非线性方程 f(x)=0, (1)其中实值函数f(x)在实零点x*的某邻域U(x*)内连续可微且f'(x)≠0. 牛顿法是科学与工程计算中数值求解(1)的常用数值方法.虽然它一般至少是二阶收敛的,但它需要调用导数值,这使其应用受到限制.我们修改牛顿法,用割线代替切线可得不带  

一类求解分片延迟微分方程的线性多步法的散逸性

本文研究分片延迟微分方程本身及数值方法的散逸性问题．给出了一个关于此类问题本身散逸性的充分条件,同时得到了一类求解此类问题的线性多步法的数值散逸性结果,此结果表明所考虑的数值方法继承了方程本身的散逸性．数值试验进一步验证了理论结果的正确性．  

Dissipativity of Runge-Kutta methods for dynamical systems with delays

This paper is concerned with the numerical solution of dissipativeinitial value problems with delays by Runge-Kutta methods. Asufficient condition for the dissipativity of the systems isgiven. The concepts of D(l)-dissipativity and GD(l)-dissipativityare introduced. We investigate the dissipativity propertiesof (k,l)-algebraically stable Runge-Kutta methods with piecewiseconstant or linear interpolation procedures for finite-dimensionaland infinite-dimensional dynamical systems with delays.  

Optimal nonlinear feedback control of quasi-Hamiltonian systems

An innovative strategy for optimal nonlinear feedback control of linear or nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems is proposed based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi-Hamiltonian systems and stochastic dynamic programming principle. Feedback control forces of a system are divided into conservative parts and dissipative parts. The conservative parts are so selected that the energy distribution in the controlled system is as requested as possible. Then the response of the system with known conservative control forces is reduced to a controlled diffusion process by using the stochastic averaging method. The dissipative parts of control forces are obtained from solving the stochastic dynamic programming equation. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 19672054) and Cao Guangbiao High Science and Technology Development Foundation of Zhejiang University.  

Convergence properties of ordinal comparison in the simulation of discrete event dynamic systems

Recent research has demonstrated that ordinal comparison has fast convergence despite the possible presence of large estimation noise in the design of discrete event dynamic systems. In this paper, we address the fundamental problem of characterizing the convergence of ordinal comparison. To achieve this goal, an indicator process is formulated and its properties are examined. For several performance measures frequently used in simulation, the rate of convergence for the indicator process is proven to be exponential for regenerative simulations. Therefore, the fast convergence of ordinal comparison is supported and explained in a rigorous framework. Many performance measures of averaging type have asymptotic normal distributions. The results of this paper show that ordinal comparison converges monotonically in the case of averaging normal random variables. Such monotonicity is useful in simulation planning.The author would like to thank C. G. Cassandras, X. Chao, S. G. Strickland, X. Xie, and the reviewers for their helpful suggestions.  

一类种群系统的适定性及最优收获问题

本文研究了一类非线性时变种群扩散系统的适定性及最优收获问题.利用压缩不 动点原理讨论了该种群系统的解的存在唯一性.证明了最优收获控制的存在性,并且获 得了最优控制的唯一性和所满足的必要条件.