Epidemiological models with quadratic equation for endemic equilibria—A bifurcation atlas

The existence and occurrence, especially by a backward bifurcation, of endemic equilibria is of utmost importance in determining the spread and persistence of a disease. In many epidemiological models, the equation for the endemic equilibria is quadratic, with the coefficients determined by the parameters of the model. Despite its apparent simplicity, such an equation can describe an amazing number of dynamical behaviors. In this paper, we shall provide a comprehensive survey of possible bifurcation patterns, deriving explicit conditions on the equation's parameters for the occurrence of each of them, and discuss illustrative examples.     

A benchmark of optimally folded protein structures using integer programming and the 3D-HP-SC model

The Protein Structure Prediction (PSP) problem comprises, among other issues, forecasting the three-dimensional native structure of proteins using only their primary structure information. Most computational studies in this area use synthetic data instead of real biological data. However, the closer to the real-world, the more the impact of results and their applicability. This work presents 17 real protein sequences extracted from the Protein Data Bank for a benchmark to the PSP problem using the tri-dimensional Hydrophobic-Polar with Side-Chains model (3D-HP-SC). The native structure of these proteins was found by maximizing the number of hydrophobic contacts between the side-chains of amino acids. The problem was treated as an optimization problem and solved by means of an Integer Programming approach. Although the method optimally solves the problem, the processing time has an exponential trend. Therefore, due to computational limitations, the method is a proof-of-concept and it is not applicable to large sequences. For unknown sequences, an upper bound of the number of hydrophobic contacts (using this model) can be found, due to a linear relationship with the number of hydrophobic residues. The comparison between the predicted and the biological structures showed that the highest similarity between them was found with distance thresholds around 5.2–8.2 Å. Both the dataset and the programs developed will be freely available to foster further research in the area.     

Co-hydrolysis and Seed-Induced Synthesis of Basic Mesoporous ZSM-5 Zeolites with Enhanced Catalytic Performance

For zeolite catalysts, the regulation of active site and pore structure plays an important role in the enhancement of their catalytic performance. In this work, a one-pot and organic template-free co-regulation route is proposed to straightforwardly synthesize basic mesoporous ZSM-5 zeolites with adjustable alkaline-earth metal species. The synthesis pathway combines two decisive strategies: 1) the seed-induced interface assembly growth method and 2) the acidic co-hydrolysis/condensation of aluminosilicate species and alkaline-earth metal (e.g., Mg, Ca, Sr, or Ba) sources. It is interesting that the mesoporous structure was self-evolved through particle-attached seed-interfacial crystallization without the assistance of any template. Meanwhile, the incorporation of alkaline-earth metals species is homogeneous and highly dispersed in the solid products during the whole crystallization process, and finally generate the superior basicity. Catalysis tests of the as-synthesized samples displayed their novel performance in the typical base reaction of Knoevenagel condensation, even for bulky substrates owing to the enhanced diffusion arising from the meso/microporous network. This finding opens new possibilities for facile, cost-effective, and environmentally friendly synthesis of mesoporous high-silica zeolites with tunable acid/base properties, and deepens our understanding of the particle-attached crystallization.     

Multistrain edge‐based compartmental model on networks

Multistrain diseases, which are infected through individual contacts, pose severe public health threat nowadays. In this paper, we build competitive and mutative two‐strain edge‐based compartmental models using probability generation function (PGF) and pair approximation (PA). Both of them are ordinary differential equations. Their basic reproduction numbers and final size formulas are explicitly derived. We show that the formula gives a unique positive final epidemic size when the reproduction number is larger than unity. We further consider competitive and mutative multistrain diseases spreading models and compute their basic reproduction numbers. We perform numerical simulations that show some dynamical properties of the competitive and mutative two‐strain models.     

基本养老保险缴费心理活动维度的实证研究:个人心理账户视角

本文从心理账户理论视角,通过问卷调查,运用非集计模型,对个人基本养老保险缴费心理活动维度进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,受教育程度、非常规的额外收入、经营性收入、安全型保障账户和风险型存储账户是影响缴费的关键性因素,进而提出引导设立特定缴费心理账户、增强缴费制度弹性,改变缴费者的选择框架, 提升缴费遵从度。     

Development and analysis of a malaria transmission mathematical model with seasonal mosquito life-history traits

In this paper, we develop and analyze a malaria model with seasonality of mosquito life-history traits: periodic-mosquitoes per capita birth rate, -mosquitoes death rate, -probability of mosquito to human disease transmission, -probability of human to mosquito disease transmission, and -mosquitoes biting rate. All these parameters are assumed to be time dependent leading to a nonautonomous differential equation system. We provide a global analysis of the model depending on two threshold parameters and (with ). When , then the disease-free stationary state is locally asymptotically stable. In the presence of the human disease-induced mortality, the global stability of the disease-free stationary state is guarantied when . On the contrary, if , the disease persists in the host population in the long term and the model admits at least one positive periodic solution. Moreover, by a numerical simulation, we show that a sub-critical (backward) bifurcation is possible at . Finally, the simulation results are in accordance with the seasonal variation of the reported cases of a malaria-epidemic region in Mpumalanga province in South Africa.