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1.
We study the regularity of the stochastic representation of the solution of a class of initial–boundary value problems related to a regime-switching diffusion. This representation is related to the value function of a finite-horizon optimal stopping problem such as the price of an American-style option in finance. We show continuity and smoothness of the value function using coupling and time-change techniques. As an application, we find the minimal payoff scenario for the holder of an American-style option in the presence of regime-switching uncertainty under the assumption that the transition rates are known to lie within level-dependent compact sets.  相似文献   
2.
In this paper, we present a host-parasitoid model with correlated events. We apply a block-structured state-dependent (BSDE) approach that provides a methodological tool to model state-dependent Markovian transitions operating in the presence of phases. A particularly appealing feature of the resulting BSDE host-parasitoid model is that it allows us to deal with non-exponential distributional assumptions on a host birth, a parasitoid death, and parasitism, but keeping the dimensionality of the underlying block-structured Markov chain tractable. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effects of the correlation structure on the expected extinction times and the extinction probabilities.  相似文献   
3.
In this paper, we extend the previous Markov-modulated reflected Brownian motion model discussed in [1] to a Markov-modulated reflected jump diffusion process, where the jump component is described as a Markov-modulated compound Poisson process. We compute the joint stationary distribution of the bivariate Markov jump process. An abstract example with two states is given to illustrate how the stationary equation described as a system of ordinary integro-differential equations is solved by choosing appropriate boundary conditions. As a special case, we also give the sationary distribution for this Markov jump process but without Markovian regime-switching.  相似文献   
4.
孙歆  段誉  方世祖 《经济数学》2012,(1):100-105
考虑了一类具有马氏调制的带干扰连续时间风险模型,得到了该模型下其条件Gerber-Shiu折现罚金函数所满足的积分方程,Laplace变换及渐近解.在两状态情形下,当索赔额的分布为有理数情况时得到了条件Gerber-Shiu折现罚金函数的具体表达式并给出了数值例子  相似文献   
5.
基于保险公司在首次破产后仍能继续运转的情形,讨论并得到了Markovmodulated风险模型中盈余过程零点数的分布.  相似文献   
6.
Aimed at better modeling insurance claims in an economic environment driven by business cycles, a new Markov-modulated Poisson process model is proposed, and an algorithm is derived to estimate the hidden Markov process by using the observed information. Our method differs from existing ones in the following ways: the new hidden process can model more efficiently the cyclic state of the economic environment; our theory is based on a variation of the law of large numbers and is easy to understand; the Fourier expansion-based parameter estimation algorithm is flexible and can be more easily implemented than other algorithms. Simulation results not only demonstrate the practicality of our model and algorithm, but also show the efficiency and robustness of the estimation algorithm.  相似文献   
7.
We establish the optimality of structured replacement policies for a periodically inspected system that fails silently whenever the cumulative number of shocks, or the magnitude of a single shock it has received, exceeds a corresponding threshold. Shocks arrive according to a Markov-modulated Poisson process which represents the (controllable or uncontrollable) environment.  相似文献   
8.
This work provides a Markov-modulated stochastic approximation based approach for pricing American put options under a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion market model. The solutions of pricing American options may be characterized by certain threshold values. Here, a class of Markov-modulated stochastic approximation (SA) algorithms is developed to determine the optimal threshold levels. For option pricing in a finite horizon, a SA procedure is carried out for a fixed time T. As T varies, the optimal threshold values obtained via SA trace out a curve, called the threshold frontier. Numerical experiments are reported to demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach. Our approach provides us with a viable computational tool and has advantage in terms of the reduced computational complexity compared with the variational or quasivariational inequality methods for optimal stopping.Communicated by C. T. LeondesThis research was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under Grant DMS-0304928, and in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 60574069.  相似文献   
9.
Yixin Zhu  Huan Li 《Queueing Systems》1993,14(1-2):125-134
Consider a Markov-modulated G/G/1 queueing system in which the arrival and the service mechanisms are controlled by an underlying Markov chain. The classical approaches to the waiting time of this type of queueing system have severe computational difficulties. In this paper, we develop a numerical algorithm to calculate the moments of the waiting time based on Gong and Hu's idea. Our numerical results show that the algorithm is powerful. A matrix recursive equation for the moments of the waiting time is also given under certain conditions.  相似文献   
10.
这篇文章主要研究一类马氏环境中的连续型传染病模型,即假设疾病传染率和病人减少(死亡或治愈)的发生频率及数目都受一外在马氏过程的影响.在这些假设下,我们得出初始状态为i时疾病的灭绝概率满足的积分方程,并通过Laplace-变换的方法,给出了积分方程的解.进一步,当外在马氏环境为两个状态,并且每次病人减少的数目都服从指数分布时,给出了灭绝概率Laplace-变换的明确表达式.  相似文献   
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