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1.
本文研究泊松逆高斯回归模型的贝叶斯统计推断.基于应用Gibbs抽样,Metropolis-Hastings算法以及Multiple-Try Metropolis算法等MCMC统计方法计算模型未知参数和潜变量的联合贝叶斯估计,并引入两个拟合优度统计量来评价提出的泊松逆高斯回归模型的合理性.若干模拟研究与一个实证分析说明方法的可行性.  相似文献   
2.
刘治平 《运筹学学报》2021,25(3):173-182
随着高通量技术的发展,越来越多的生物医学组学数据亟需处理与分析,基于运筹优化的生物信息学方法是有效解析高维生物医学数据的重要途径之一。综述了近年来在基因调控网络推断方面的研究进展。针对不同类型的转录组学数据和研究目的,分别建立了相应的基因调控网络推断方法,主要包括先验基因调控网络数据库的建立、基于条件互信息的因果网络推断、基于微分方程的动态基因调控网络推断、转录调控和转录后调控协同作用的网络推断以及基因调控网络活性评价等,并展望了基因调控网络推断的重要研究方向。  相似文献   
3.
The 3D modelling of indoor environments and the generation of process simulations play an important role in factory and assembly planning. In brownfield planning cases, existing data are often outdated and incomplete especially for older plants, which were mostly planned in 2D. Thus, current environment models cannot be generated directly on the basis of existing data and a holistic approach on how to build such a factory model in a highly automated fashion is mostly non-existent. Major steps in generating an environment model of a production plant include data collection, data pre-processing and object identification as well as pose estimation. In this work, we elaborate on a methodical modelling approach, which starts with the digitalization of large-scale indoor environments and ends with the generation of a static environment or simulation model. The object identification step is realized using a Bayesian neural network capable of point cloud segmentation. We elaborate on the impact of the uncertainty information estimated by a Bayesian segmentation framework on the accuracy of the generated environment model. The steps of data collection and point cloud segmentation as well as the resulting model accuracy are evaluated on a real-world data set collected at the assembly line of a large-scale automotive production plant. The Bayesian segmentation network clearly surpasses the performance of the frequentist baseline and allows us to considerably increase the accuracy of the model placement in a simulation scene.  相似文献   
4.
Active inference is a physics of life process theory of perception, action and learning that is applicable to natural and artificial agents. In this paper, active inference theory is related to different types of practice in social organization. Here, the term social organization is used to clarify that this paper does not encompass organization in biological systems. Rather, the paper addresses active inference in social organization that utilizes industrial engineering, quality management, and artificial intelligence alongside human intelligence. Social organization referred to in this paper can be in private companies, public institutions, other for-profit or not-for-profit organizations, and any combination of them. The relevance of active inference theory is explained in terms of variational free energy, prediction errors, generative models, and Markov blankets. Active inference theory is most relevant to the social organization of work that is highly repetitive. By contrast, there are more challenges involved in applying active inference theory for social organization of less repetitive endeavors such as one-of-a-kind projects. These challenges need to be addressed in order for active inference to provide a unifying framework for different types of social organization employing human and artificial intelligence.  相似文献   
5.
单指标面板模型已广泛应用于各学科领域的研究中,其估计方法较为丰富,然而鲜有估计方法将个体内的相关性考虑在内.基于此,本文研究了一类个体内存在相关性的固定效应部分线性单指标面板模型,采用惩罚二次推断函数法和LSDV法相结合的方法对模型进行估计,证明了所得估计量的一致性和渐近正态性.Monte Carlo模拟结果显示其具有优良的有限样本表现,并将该估计技术应用于实际数据分析中.  相似文献   
6.
Geometry of affine immersions is the study of hypersurfaces that are invariant under affine transformations. As with the hypersurface theory on the Euclidean space, an affine immersion can induce a torsion-free affine connection and a (pseudo)-Riemannian metric on the hypersurface. Moreover, an affine immersion can induce a statistical manifold, which plays a central role in information geometry. Recently, a statistical manifold with a complex structure is actively studied since it connects information geometry and Kähler geometry. However, a holomorphic complex affine immersion cannot induce such a statistical manifold with a Kähler structure. In this paper, we introduce complex affine distributions, which are non-integrable generalizations of complex affine immersions. We then present the fundamental theorem for a complex affine distribution, and show that a complex affine distribution can induce a statistical manifold with a Kähler structure.  相似文献   
7.

The machining process is primarily used to remove material using cutting tools. Any variation in tool state affects the quality of a finished job and causes disturbances. So, a tool monitoring scheme (TMS) for categorization and supervision of failures has become the utmost priority. To respond, traditional TMS followed by the machine learning (ML) analysis is advocated in this paper. Classification in ML is supervised based learning method wherein the ML algorithm learn from the training data input fed to it and then employ this model to categorize the new datasets for precise prediction of a class and observation. In the current study, investigation on the single point cutting tool is carried out while turning a stainless steel (SS) workpeice on the manual lathe trainer. The vibrations developed during this activity are examined for failure-free and various failure states of a tool. The statistical modeling is then incorporated to trace vital signs from vibration signals. The multiple-binary-rule-based model for categorization is designed using the decision tree. Lastly, various tree-based algorithms are used for the categorization of tool conditions. The Random Forest offered the highest classification accuracy, i.e., 92.6%.

  相似文献   
8.
We determine the proton affinity (PA) and gas-phase basicity (GB) of amino acid α-alanine at a chemically accurate level by performing explicitly-correlated CCSD(T)-F12b/aug-cc-pVDZ geometry optimizations and normal mode vibrational frequency calculations as well as CCSD(T)-F12b/aug-cc-pVTZ energy computations at the possible neutral and protonated geometries. Temperature effects at 298.15 K considering translational, rotational, and vibrational enthalpy and entropy corrections are obtained via standard statistical mechanics utilizing the molecular geometries and the harmonic vibrational energy levels. Both the amino nitrogen (N) and the carbonyl oxygen (O) atoms are proven to be potential protonation sites and a systematic conformational search reveals 3 N- and 9 O-protonated conformers in the 0.00–7.88 and 25.43–30.43 kcal/mol energy ranges at 0 K, respectively. The final computed PA and GB values at (0)298.15 K in case of N-protonation are (214.47)216.80 and 207.07 kcal/mol, respectively, whereas the corresponding values for O-protonation are (189.04)190.63 and 182.31 kcal/mol. The results of the benchmark high-level coupled-cluster computations are utilized to assess the accuracy of several lower-level cost-effective methods such as MP2 and density functional theory with various functionals (SOGGA11-X, M06-2X, PBE0, B3LYP, M06, TPSS).  相似文献   
9.
As a representative of traditionally fermented Chinese medicine, Massa Medicata Fermentata (MMF) shows the functions of invigorating the spleen and stomach and promoting digestion, which plays an important role in the treatment of gastrointestinal diseases. The fermentation mechanism and the key factors that affect the quality of MMF have not been revealed yet, which has become an urgent issue that limits its clinical application. This article aims to systematically and comprehensively reveal the transformation of physical properties and the dynamic trend of chemical components including substrate components, volatile components, and lactic acid as anaerobic fermentation product during MMF fermentation. Along with obvious hyphae growth observed for MMF, the weight of MMF decreased, and the moisture and temperature increased. Through the quantified 14 components from substrate, ferulic acid increased from 45.53 ± 6.94 to 141.89 ± 78.40 μg/g, while glycosides and phenolic acids declined except caffeic acid. Also, within the 66 volatile components analyzed, alcohols and acids increased, while aldehydes and ketones decreased. Lactic acid was not detected in the fermentation substrate, but an apparent increase in lactic acid content was observed along with the increased fermentation days, resulting in 2.54 ± 0.15 mg/g on day 8. Based on the tested components, the fermentation process of MMF was discriminated into three distinct stages by principal component analysis, and an optimal fermentation time of four days was proposed. The results of this study will be of great significance to clarify the characteristics of fermentation and conduce to improving quality standards of MMF.  相似文献   
10.
Taking flood catastrophe risk in China as the research background, aiming at the characteristics of flood loss ``low frequency and high loss', Bayesian inference method is used to fit the loss distribution, and Bayesian inference is used to obtain the loss frequency distribution and loss quota distribution of flood in China. On this basis, Monte Carlo simulation method is used to calculate the probability distribution of annual flood loss in China under different trigger conditions, and then CAPM is used to study the pricing of flood catastrophe bonds in China. It is concluded that under different trigger conditions, as the trigger value increases gradually, the corresponding trigger is triggered. Comparing the three types of bonds, it can be found that the price of bonds decreases with the decrease of principal guarantee ratio and the increase of principal loss ratio, that is, the investment risk is directly proportional to the return, which provides reference for issuing flood catastrophe bonds in China.  相似文献   
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