Incremental dynamic mode decomposition: A reduced-model learner operating at the low-data limit

The present work aims at proposing a new methodology for learning reduced models from a small amount of data. It is based on the fact that discrete models, or their transfer function counterparts, have a low rank and then they can be expressed very efficiently using few terms of a tensor decomposition. An efficient procedure is proposed as well as a way for extending it to nonlinear settings while keeping limited the impact of data noise. The proposed methodology is then validated by considering a nonlinear elastic problem and constructing the model relating tractions and displacements at the observation points.     

基于NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据的山西省GDP空间化模拟

选取山西省为研究对象，以美国国家极轨合作仪件-可见红外成像辐射计套件（NPP-VIIRS）夜间灯光数据、GDP统计数据等为数据源，构建GDP空间化拟合模型，建立山西省GDP密度图，据此研究山西省经济的空间差异性。通过对NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据的空间化处理，提取灯光指数，并将其与GDP进行回归拟合，建立最佳回归模型，得到GDP密度拟合图；利用县级GDP数据进行线性纠正，从而提高GDP的模拟精度。结果表明：（1）NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据与GDP的相关性较高，可用于山西省GDP模拟；（2）与GDP分区建模相比，GDP整体建模的精度更高；（3）山西省GDP的空间分布整体呈由城市中心逐渐向周边辐射的特点，构成GDP过渡带。     

PN结物理特性的开放式测量实验方法研究

开放式、综合性量测实验的设计与应用,在巩固基础理论知识的同时,能够有效培养学生的动手实践能力、数据处理及分析能力,一定程度代表着大学物理实验课程的教学模式改革方向。以PN结物理特性的测量实验为例,基于通用型仪器与元器件的积木式组合,设计出简单、适用的实验电路;t=17.95℃时所采集的原始实验数据经三种模式回归分析,比较验证了PN结扩散电流与电压间遵循的玻尔兹曼分布律;计算出的玻尔兹曼常数与FD-PN-4测定仪的量测值相比,其结果说明了开放式测量实验方法的有效性。     

大数据背景下水厂自动投矾模型研究

根据某市自来水有限责任公司第二水厂的历史矾耗数据，建立矾耗流量关于原水浊度、温度等的动态矾耗模型. 通过对数据进行处理得到10900个合格且净水效果高效的数据，将筛选出的数据分为训练样本集和测试样本集. 在回归拟合中，通过拟合R2的大小将原水浊度划分为“低浊”“中浊”“高浊”3个区间，利用泰勒展开公式的非线性变量代换分别对3个区间建立不同的多项式回归模型，得到预测正确率约为72%，总的矾耗流量值约减少了9.6%的结果；在随机森林模型中，使用10900个合格数据，利用训练样本集，以“原水浊度”“pH值”“原水流量”和“水温”为输入变量，建立包含2000棵决策树的随机森林模型，得到预测正确率约为44. 21%，总的矾耗流量值增加了0.04%的结果. 从模型对合格数据的拟合优度看，随机森林模型比非线性回归模型效果更好；在平均绝对误差、平均绝对偏差百分比等评价指标上，前者均优于后者；但从历史数据检验的结果，模型的可解读性，模型的操作难度和推广角度看，分段二元非线性回归模型的优势更为突出.     

中国出境旅游的外交效应

2000年以来，中国出境旅游高增长、高消费，影响力不断增大，成为国家外交战略的重要内容，外交效应逐渐显现。通过辨析中国出境旅游外交效应的概念、表现形式和结果，基于10个中国主要出境目的国的旅游互动数据，采用DIF-GMM计量经济模型，实证检验了中国出境旅游外交效应。结果表明，中国通过有序推进ADS协议、加强经济援助、举办“旅游年”活动、实施旅游“制裁”，并积极参与国际制度建设等旅游外交行为，促进了与世界各国的友好交往，维护了自身核心利益，提升了外交软实力和国际影响力。国际旅游反作用于国际关系，对国际关系具有显著的正向促进作用，不仅是国际关系的结果，而且是其重要动因之一。中国出境旅游与政治、经济、社会、文化等联动，多方面提升了中国的国际影响力。     

污染数据半参数回归模型中估计的相合性

利用最小二乘估计方法和权函数法给出了半参数模型Y=βX g(T) ε在某种污染方式下,,βg和污染系数的估计,并在适当条件下证明了它们具有相合性.     

低场核磁共振结合化学计量学方法快速检测掺假核桃油

以掺假核桃油样品为低场核磁共振检测对象,利用主成分分析法(PCA)和偏最小二乘回归法(PLSR)分析处理Carr-Purcell-Meiboom-Gill(CPMG)序列的核磁共振弛豫数据,旨在探求一种能快速检测核桃油品质的新方法。对几种常见掺假形式(掺入大豆油、玉米油、葵花油)的核桃油样品和纯核桃油样品进行检测和评价。实验结果表明:纯核桃油和掺入不同种类食用油的掺假核桃油在主成分得分图上可以得到很好的区分,且掺假样品随掺假比例在图中呈规律性分布;采用PLSR法对CPMG数据和实际掺假率进行回归,可实现对核桃油掺假水平的准确定量测定。方法快速、无损、准确,在食用油制品的品质控制及评价方面具有很大的应用潜力。     

Random forests for functional covariates

We propose a form of random forests that is especially suited for functional covariates. The method is based on partitioning the functions' domain in intervals and using the functions' mean values across those intervals as predictors in regression or classification trees. This approach appears to be more intuitive to applied researchers than usual methods for functional data, while also performing very well in terms of prediction accuracy. The intervals are obtained from randomly drawn, exponentially distributed waiting times. We apply our method to data from Raman spectra on boar meat as well as near‐infrared absorption spectra. The predictive performance of the proposed functional random forests is compared with commonly used parametric and nonparametric functional methods and with a nonfunctional random forest using the single measurements of the curve as covariates. Further, we present a functional variable importance measure, yielding information about the relevance of the different parts of the predictor curves. Our variable importance curve is much smoother and hence easier to interpret than the one obtained from nonfunctional random forests.     

Calibration transfer employing univariate correction and robust regression

This paper proposes a new method for calibration transfer, which was specifically designed to work with isolated variables, rather than the full spectrum or spectral windows. For this purpose, a univariate procedure is initially employed to correct the spectral measurements of the secondary instrument, given a set of transfer samples. A robust regression technique is then used to obtain a model with low sensitivity with respect to the univariate correction residuals. The proposed method is employed in two case studies involving near infrared spectrometric determination of specific mass, research octane number and naphthenes in gasoline, and moisture and oil in corn. In both cases, better calibration transfer results were obtained in comparison with piecewise direct standardization (PDS). The proposed method should be of a particular value for use with application-targeted instruments that monitor only a small set of spectral variables.