山西省农民家庭消费水平和结构分析

本文利用统计计量学方法对山西省农民家庭消费水平和消费结构的变化及原因进行了实证分析。建立了山西省农民人均消费的消费函数和山西省农民总消费支出与食品、衣着、住房、日用品、燃料及文化生活服务支出的关系模型，并通过模型分析解释了农民的消费结构，也为决策者提供一些有效的参考资料。     

Multiscale Spectral Analysis on Lysozyme Aqueous Solutions in the Presence of PolyEthyleneGlycol

Infrared spectroscopy measurements were performed on Lysozyme aqueous solutions also in the presence of PolyEthylene Glycol (PEG 400) as a function of an increasing temperature from T = 27 °C to 90 °C, and, successively in sequence, by decreasing temperatures from T = 90 °C to 27 °C. Data were analyzed by evaluating the spectral difference with respect to the initial spectrum collected at 27 °C. This procedure allows to quantitatively evaluate the thermal restraint related to the thermal scan from T = 27 °C to 90 °C, as well as to introduce a spectral resilience concerning the entire increasing and decreasing thermal paths which allow to highlight the bioprotectant effectiveness of low molecular weight PEG. In particular, the main purpose of the present work is to highlight the effects of a thermal treatment on a mixture of Lysozyme/water and of Lysozyme/water/PEG 400 during an increasing temperature scan, and then after a successive decreasing temperature scan, in order to highlight the bioprotectant role of PEG 400. On that score, an evaluation of the spectral distances of the registered spectra as a function of increasing and decreasing temperatures has been performed and analyzed.     

国家关键基础设施电磁恢复力

随着国家关键基础设施建设规模和信息化水平的提升,其在高空电磁脉冲、有意电磁干扰和地磁暴等强电磁环境下的电磁安全逐渐受到了国内外的关注。强电磁环境属于小概率、高风险事件,其影响机理和评估方法与雷电、系统内过电压等常规电磁事件有较大不同,采用期望风险指标的常规可靠性分析方法难以有效评估管理强电磁环境相关风险。从电磁恢复力视角出发,提出了关键基础设施电磁安全的三棱锥模型,并重点以电网为例,探讨关键基础设施电磁恢复力的内涵和外延,并对开展电磁恢复力研究提出建议。     

Socio-Economic Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S.

This paper proposes a dynamic cascade model to investigate the systemic risk posed by sector-level industries within the U.S. inter-industry network. We then use this model to study the effect of the disruptions presented by Covid-19 on the U.S. economy. We construct a weighted digraph G = (V,E,W) using the industry-by-industry total requirements table for 2018, provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). We impose an initial shock that disrupts the production capacity of one or more industries, and we calculate the propagation of production shortages with a modified Cobb–Douglas production function. For the Covid-19 case, we model the initial shock based on the loss of labor between March and April 2020 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The industries within the network are assigned a resilience that determines the ability of an industry to absorb input losses, such that if the rate of input loss exceeds the resilience, the industry fails, and its outputs go to zero. We observed a critical resilience, such that, below this critical value, the network experienced a catastrophic cascade resulting in total network collapse. Lastly, we model the economic recovery from June 2020 through March 2021 using BLS data.     

Effects of the Synergy of Hardness and Resilience on the Akron Abrasion Properties of SBR Vulcanizates

The hardness (H) and resilience (R) of rubber vulcanizates were combined together in this paper, named as hardness–resilience product (H⁴R), and its relationship with the Akron abrasion loss was investigated using various styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) vulcanizates possessing specific hardness and resilience characteristics as samples. For the unfilled SBR vulcanizates with different chain microstructure, possessing high elastic resilience and low hardness, the results showed that their Akron abrasion loss had a good linear relationship with the log(H⁴100R). This linear relationship also occurred when these SBRs were filled with 50 phr carbon black. For two particular types of SBR, after being filled with different fractions of carbon black and aged for different times, all their Akron abrasion losses (including unaged, aged for 24 h, and aged for 48 h) also had a good linear relationship with the log(H⁴100R). However, this linear relationship weakened for one of the SBRs after being aged for 48 h. In the high H⁴R region (the carbon black fractions being 60 and 70 phr), the data obviously deviated from the fitting curve due to the high hardness of the aged vulcanizates. However, after being filled with 50 phr of various kinds of carbon blacks, the relationships between abrasion loss and log(H⁴100R) were also approximately linear, with the correlation coefficient of the fitting curves being 0.99966 and 0.99878, respectively, for the two types of SBR.     

MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF DROUGHT RESILIENCE IN AGRICULTURE

Abstract. Ensuring drought resilience for farmers is an important policy concern. Yet, a quantitative treatment of the concept of drought resilience has been lacking in the literature. This paper designs a mathematical model of drought resilience to assess farmers’ survival strategies when faced with the prospect of repeated droughts. A key distinction is being made here between consecutive droughts and one‐off droughts, as it is the former, which is of most concern to farmers as well as policy makers. The mathematical model is generalized to incorporate the possibility of more than one set of a certain number of consecutive droughts occurring in the future. Findings indicate varying implications for groundwater sustainability when resilience outcomes are directly linked to the length of a farmer's drought planning horizon as well as to the planned minimum consumption during drought years.     

Split Orthogonal Arrays and Maximum Independent Resilient Systems of Functions

A system of (Boolean) functions in variables is called randomized if the functions preserve the property of their variables to be independent and uniformly distributed random variables. Such a system is referred to as -resilient if for any substitution of constants for any variables, where 0 i t, the derived system of functions in variables will be also randomized. We investigate the problem of finding the maximum number of functions in variables of which any form a -resilient system. This problem is reduced to the minimization of the size of certain combinatorial designs, which we call split orthogonal arrays. We extend some results of design and coding theory, in particular, a duality in bounding the optimal sizes of codes and designs, in order to obtain upper and lower bounds on . In some cases, these bounds turn out to be very tight. In particular, for some infinite subsequences of integers they allow us to prove that , , , , . We also find a connection of the problem considered with the construction of unequal-error-protection codes and superimposed codes for multiple access in the Hamming channel.     

浙江省城市韧性及其时空变化分析

我国城市化进程高速发展,城市面临的风险趋向多元化、复杂化.从城市韧性的角度出发,构建了“规模-密度-形态-基础设施”四位一体城市韧性描述体系,分析了浙江省2000年至2020年间城市韧性的时空变化,并对城市发展方向提出了建议.结果表明:在研究期间,浙江省城市韧性整体呈下降趋势,其中城市规模韧性逐年下降,存在着城市规模安全的隐患;城市密度韧性呈下降趋势,全省常年处于生态赤字风险之中;城市形态韧性整体上有所下降,但降幅较缓;城市基础设施韧性呈螺旋上升趋势,且各城市间差距逐渐缩小.浙江省的城市韧性呈现出“西高东低”梯度化的空间格局,相同韧性类型的城市也有集中分布的空间特征.根据城市韧性描述体系的研究结果,将浙江省各城市划分为高韧性城市、中韧性城市和低韧性城市三类,并分别给出城市发展方向的建议.     

局部载荷作用简支板屈曲分析

根据能量原理,引入大挠度Von-Karman方程,求解了应力不连续简支板的屈曲问题,得到了临界载荷和临界应力计算系数.