Optimal investment strategies and risk-sharing arrangements for a hybrid pension plan

A continuous time stochastic model is used to study a hybrid pension plan, where both the contribution and benefit levels are adjusted depending on the performance of the plan, with risk sharing between different generations. The pension fund is invested in a risk-free asset and multiple risky assets. The objective is to seek an optimal investment strategy and optimal risk-sharing arrangements for plan trustees and participants so that this proposed hybrid pension system provides adequate and stable income to retirees while adjusting contributions effectively, as well as keeping its sustainability in the long run. These goals are achieved by minimizing the expected discount disutility of intermediate adjustment for both benefits and contributions and that of terminal wealth in finite time horizon. Using the stochastic optimal control approach, closed-form solutions are derived under quadratic loss function and exponential loss function. Numerical analysis is presented to illustrate the sensitivity of the optimal strategies to parameters of the financial market and how the optimal benefit changes with respect to different risk aversions. Through numerical analysis, we find that the optimal strategies do adjust the contributions and retirement benefits according to fund performance and model objectives so the intergenerational risk sharing seem effectively achieved for this collective hybrid pension plan.     

Enterprise security economics: A self‐defense versus cyber‐insurance dilemma

We propose a model that optimizes enterprise investments in cybersecurity using expected utility theory. The model allows computing (a) investment in self‐defense to reduce the risk of security breaches, (b) investment in cyber insurance to transfer the residual risk to insurance companies, and (c) investment in forensic readiness to make the insured firms capable of generating provable insurance claims about security breaches. A three‐phase–based model of vulnerability rate evolution over time is proposed and used to estimate the different planned security expenditures throughout the investment horizon. At the starting time of investment, a decision maker invests to cover the existing risk of breach and periodically spends to cover the additional risk observed due to the release of new vulnerabilities. In this work, the intermediate tranches are determined while considering three different attitudes of decision makers, namely, optimistic, pessimistic, and realistic. An analysis is conducted to assess the performance of the proposed models.     

跳-扩散风险模型的最优投资策略和破产概率研究

对盈余投资于金融市场的跳-扩散风险模型的最优投资策略和破产概率进行了研究,得到最优投资策略和最小破产概率的显示解,发现破产概率满足Lundberg等式．最后通过数值计算,得到最小破产概率与无风险利率,投资和相关系数之间的关系,以及无风险利率和相关系数对最优投资策略的影响．     

人民币汇率变动对我国开放经济中外资流人影响的研究

就人民币汇率变动对我国开放经济外资流入的传导机制进行理论分析,并以高开放地区和行业为代表,结合实际数据利用面板模型进行实证研究,结果表明:人民币汇率与我国开放经济中外资流入呈现反向变动.由于外资对我国开放经济稳定健康发展具有重大意义和影响.因此,我国需保持人民币汇率在中长期稳定,从而避免对外资流入产生大的冲击.     

Optimal life-insurance selection and purchase within a market of several life-insurance providers

We consider the problem faced by a wage-earner with an uncertain lifetime having to reach decisions concerning consumption and life-insurance purchase, while investing his savings in a financial market comprised of one risk-free security and an arbitrary number of risky securities whose prices are determined by diffusive linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that life-insurance is continuously available for the wage-earner to buy from a market composed of a fixed number of life-insurance companies offering pairwise distinct life-insurance contracts. We characterize the optimal consumption, investment and life-insurance selection and purchase strategies for the wage-earner with an uncertain lifetime and whose goal is to maximize the expected utility obtained from his family consumption, from the size of the estate in the event of premature death, and from the size of the estate at the time of retirement. We use dynamic programming techniques to obtain an explicit solution in the case of discounted constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility functions.     

Minimizing lifetime poverty with a penalty for bankruptcy

We provide investment advice for an individual who wishes to minimize her lifetime poverty, with a penalty for bankruptcy or ruin. We measure poverty via a non-negative, non-increasing function of (running) wealth. Thus, the lower wealth falls and the longer wealth stays low, the greater the penalty. This paper generalizes the problems of minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin and minimizing expected lifetime occupation, with the poverty function serving as a bridge between the two. To illustrate our model, we compute the optimal investment strategies for a specific poverty function and two consumption functions, and we prove some interesting properties of those investment strategies.     

Exponential utility maximization for an insurer with time-inconsistent preferences

This paper studies the optimal consumption–investment–reinsurance problem for an insurer with a general discount function and exponential utility function in a non-Markovian model. The appreciation rate and volatility of the stock, the premium rate and volatility of the risk process of the insurer are assumed to be adapted stochastic processes, while the interest rate is assumed to be deterministic. The object is to maximize the utility of intertemporal consumption and terminal wealth. By the method of multi-person differential game, we show that the time-consistent equilibrium strategy and the corresponding equilibrium value function can be characterized by the unique solutions of a BSDE and an integral equation. Under appropriate conditions, we show that this integral equation admits a unique solution. Furthermore, we compare the time-consistent equilibrium strategies with the optimal strategy for exponential discount function, and with the strategies for naive insurers in two special cases.     

基于最小交易量和交易费用的多阶段模糊投资组合

考虑了在摩擦市场下的多阶段模糊投资组合模型,基于半绝对方差风险函数,建立了带有最小交易量和交易费用限制的收益最大化多阶段模糊投资组合模型.利用绝对值函数的性质,将模型转化为混合整数线性规划形式,并通过实例验证了模型的可行性,最后对模型与基于可能性均值和可能性方差的多阶段模糊投资组合模型进行了对比,分析了模型的优越性,并验证了模型的可行性.     

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This paper considers a dividend strategy with investment in Omega model. If at a potential dividend-payment time the surplus is above, part of the excess are paid as dividends directly, the other part are used as dynamic investment capital, at a particular time, the sum of profits and investment capital will be paid as another dividend. Under this dividend policy, we get the optimal dividend strategy and the optimal portfolio policy.