Threshold dynamics in a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate

We discuss the dynamic of a stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate.The crucial threshold $\tilde{R}_0$ is identified and this will determine the extinction and persistence of the epidemic when the noise is small. We also discuss the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic model around the endemic equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic system. When the noise is large, we find that a large noise intensity has the effect of suppressing the epidemic, so that it dies out. Finally, these results are illustrated by computer simulations.     

Global analysis of an age-structured SEIR model with immigration of population and nonlinear incidence rate

Epidemic models with infection age of infectious individuals have been extensively studied, however, most of the existing works ignore the combined effects of immigration and nonlinear incidence. In this paper, we incorporate both the effects of immigration and nonlinear incidence, based on which we formulate an SEIR epidemic model. We give a rigorous mathematical analysis on some necessary technical materials. Then, by constructing a Lyapunov functional, we show that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations of an application are given to support our theoretical results.     

基于改进加权Poisson CUSUM控制图的发病率监控研究

现代社会医疗质量管理的重要性不言而喻,如何科学有效地开展发病率监控,具有重要的研究意义和实用价值。本文主要研究加权Poisson CUSUM控制图的改进及其在发病率监控上的应用。通过引入"标准化"处理思想,即将对数似然比统计量除以对应样本容量,本文提出"标准化"对数似然比加权Poisson CUSUM控制图,用以提高对发病率的监控水平。通过设定合适的人口模型,模拟计算验证了本文设计的模型能够有效提高监控效果,且对于不同人口模型和不同加权函数均有显著优势。最后,基于美国新墨西哥州男性甲状腺癌患病数据开展的实证检验也印证了以上结论。     

Bifurcation analysis of a delayed epidemic model

In this paper, Hopf bifurcation for a delayed SIS epidemic model with stage structure and nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. Through theoretical analysis, we show the positive equilibrium stability and the conditions that Hopf bifurcation occurs. Applying the normal form theory and the center manifold argument, we derive the explicit formulas determining the properties of the bifurcating periodic solutions. In addition, we also study the effect of the inhibition effect on the properties of the bifurcating periodic solutions. To illustrate our theoretical analysis, some numerical simulations are also included.     

Effects of passage of 200 MeV Ag9+ ions in indium phosphide at different depths

Indium phosphide sample was irradiated with 200?MeV Ag⁹⁺ ions for the fluence of 2?×?10¹³?ions?cm^?2. The sample was chemically etched down up to 240?nm depth to investigate the distribution of defects at different regions. Raman scattering and glancing incidence X-ray diffraction spectra were recorded at different depths. The stress estimated from Raman shift was found to increase with depth up to 160?nm and thereafter it decreased and at a depth of 224?nm sample did not show any stress. Phonon coherence length estimated from the Phonon Confinement Model was found to vary between 43 and 18?nm with respect to depth. Glancing incidence X-ray diffraction results revealed the decrease in crystallite size from 16.12 to 1.00?nm in different depth regions.     

The inverse electromagnetic scattering problem by a penetrable cylinder at oblique incidence

In this work, we consider the method of non-linear boundary integral equation for solving numerically the inverse scattering problem of obliquely incident electromagnetic waves by a penetrable homogeneous cylinder in three dimensions. We consider the indirect method and simple representations for the electric and the magnetic fields in order to derive a system of five integral equations, four on the boundary of the cylinder and one on the unit circle where we measure the far-field pattern of the scattered wave. We solve the system iteratively by linearizing only the far-field equation. Numerical results illustrate the feasibility of the proposed scheme.     

一种基于TOPSIS思想的改进灰色关联法及其在方案评估中的应用

提出了一种基于TOPSIS思想的改进灰色关联法,方法采用了TOPSIS思想,通过标准化处理,能够将灰色关联法给出的评估结果转换为,TOPSIS方法所要用到的与最优/最劣解的距离,从而给出一个稳定的评估结果,弥补了传统灰色关联法受全局极值影响大的缺点.经实例分析证明,方法可以应用于方案评估中,并能够得出可行、稳定、科学的评估结果.     

Contrast analysis of Shockley partial dislocations in 4H-SiC observed by synchrotron Berg–Barrett X-ray topography

Shockley partial dislocations in 4H-SiC were observed using monochromatic synchrotron X-ray topography with a grazing-incidence Bragg-case geometry, that is, Berg–Barrett topography. The contrast of partial dislocations at the edges of Shockley-type stacking faults is discussed in terms of whether they have C- or Si-core edge components, or screw components. The dissociated state of basal-plane dislocation is discussed on a basis of the stacking sequence for basal-planes in the 4H-SiC crystal structure. It is expected that the results obtained in this study will be useful for characterizing Shockley-type stacking faults in Berg–Barrett topography.     

Improving attosecond pulse reflection by large angle incidence for a periodic multilayer mirror in the extreme ultraviolet region

The improvement of attosecond pulse reflection by large angle incidence for a periodic multilayer mirror in the extreme ultraviolet region has been discussed. Numerical simulations of both spectral and temporal reflection characteristics of periodic multilayer mirrors under various incident angles have been analyzed and compared. It was found that the periodic multilayer mirror under a larger incidence angle can provide not only higher integrated reflectivity but also a broader reflection band with negligible dispersion, making it possible to obtain better a reflected pulse that has a higher pulse reflection efficiency and shorter pulse duration for attosecond pulse reflection. In addition, by increasing the incident angle, the promotion of attosecond pulse reflection capability has been proven for periodic multilayer mirrors with arbitrary layers.     

The effect of sample size on the grey system model

Some forecasting models have been developed, each has its own application condition. The grey model is used for small sample forecasting, but until now there is no reasonable explanation for the reason why it is not used for large sample. Therefore, in this paper, matrix perturbation theory is employed to explain the reason. The results of practical numerical examples from previous works demonstrate that the small sample usually has more accuracy than the large sample when establishing grey model in theory. Furthermore, we used the grey model with small samples to analyse the trend of syphilis incidence in China.