广义加权损失函数下准备金的分位信度估计

由于聚合数据是个体数据的加总,会失去一些有用信息.针对个体数据模型,分位回归模型可以直接求取未决赔款准备金的分位数,并且对数据中存在的异常值的敏感度不高.在程纪(2020)模型基础上,将分位回归模型与信度理论相结合,将多个流量三角形的增量赔款数据看成是相同日历年下的重复性多次观测,体现样本数据的分层结构,克服经典信度模型中只有一条回归线的弊端,在广义加权损失函数下得到准备金的信度估计,并给出参数估计.     

小孔流速实验中的排水时间和流量系数的研究

本文以水作为理想流体,考虑到水头损失和孔口缩流效应,对小孔流速实验涉及的容器排水问题进行了系统的理论和实验研究.从理论上推导得出了圆柱形容器排水时间的解析解,分析了排水时间和自由液面速度、流量系数之间的规律,提出了排水时间的等效性.实验上,加工了底部开有不同小孔的大型圆柱形容器,测量了容器排水时间随液面高度的变化关系,借助实验结果计算了流量系数值,验证了容器排水时间的等效性关系,实验结果与理论计算符合较好.     

HIRFL–CSR加速器中束流与真空中剩余气体的碰撞损失

研究了重离子加速器中束流与真空中剩余气体的碰撞损失过程和碰撞截面,在依据大量实验数据的基础上,提出了一组计算离子一原子的电荷交换截面的经验公式.以兰州重离子加速器HDRFL及冷却储存环CSR为例,给出了依据碰撞截面的公式计算束流在加速器真空中的传输效率的方法,并计算了在不同真空度下HIRFL的ECR源轴向注入束运线、注入器SFC、前束运线、主加速器SSC和后束运线等不同加速阶段及CSR的传输效率,并提出合理的真空度要求.HIRFL的真空分布测量和束流的损失测量证明了该计算方法的可靠性.     

国际次声监测研讨会

全面核禁试条约第三届全球次声监测工作研讨会于1997年8月25至28日在美国新墨西哥州西班牙式的古城圣菲举行．会议云集了中国、美国、法国、俄罗斯、阿根廷、澳大利亚等5大洲12个国家61位活跃在次声学科领域的研究人员、政府官员以及联合国临时技术秘书等要员，围绕着全球次声监测中的7个专题进行报告和讨论，它们依次为：欢声阵的设计和信号处理，次声阵性能和减噪设备；法国欢声监测系统，国际次声监测系统60个站网的能力模型，对流层风对长距离次声传播的影响，高空风对次声同性能的影响，渗透管的特性以及对次声监测的减噪作用，欢声减噪器；爆炸检测，声遥感技术对爆炸源能量的估计，小当量地下，地面和近地面爆炸远距离声传     

左手介质椭圆光波导基模传播特性

在椭圆柱坐标系中，采用分离变量方法，得出了左手介质椭圆光波导本征方程的近似解，通过数值计算，分析了椭圆波导偏心率、左手介质的电容率、磁导率对椭圆光波导基模传播特性的影响，并将左介质光波导与右手介质光波导基模特性进行对比，得出左手介质光波导的基模特性与右手介质光波导基模特性差别不大的结论.     

Multi-path propagation of acoustical wave and time reversal field in a solid plate

The multi-path effect of the acoustical wave in a solid plate is studied. The multireflection and wave conversion of the cylindrical compressional and shear waves, which are excited by an infinite strip on a free surface of the solid plate, are analyzed thoroughly by the far-field approximation method. The concise analytical representations of the cylindrical waves are obtained. The time reversal processing is then applied to the propagation of the cylindrical waves and analyzed theoretically and experimentally. It is shown that the waves coming from different array elements and different paths all arrive at the original place after the time reversal operation. It indicates that the time reversal can compensate automatically the wave aberration caused by the multi-path effect. The self-adaptive focusing of the time reversal field is also analyzed quantificationally by the focusing gain and the ratio of the principal to the second lobe. The effects of the focus position and the aperture of the transducer array on the focused field are also investigated. It shows that theoretical and experimental results are consistent to each other very well.     

矩阵损失下回归系数的线性估计的可容许性

针对广义的Gauss-Markoff模型Y=Xβ+θ,E(θ)=0,Cov(θ)=σ2V,其中X和V＞0是已知的n×p和n×n矩阵;β∈Rp和σ2＞0是未知参数,给出了矩阵损失条件下,Sβ的估计LY+a在非齐次线性估计类中可容许的充要条件.     

Temporal Skewness of Electromagnetic Pulsed Waves Propagating Through Random Media with Ebedded Irregularity slab

Electromagnetic pulsed waves can be distorted in the propagation through random media,and their energy distributions change along the leading and trailing edge of the waveform,which can be presented by the temporal skewness.The skewness presents asymmetry and is treated by the third-order temporal moment,in which an analytic solution for the two-frequency mutual coherence function is obtained recently.Then,transionospheric pulses are discussed in details,Both theoretical analysis and numerical computation indicate that the contributions from scattering and dispersion of irregularities dominate over those of background,so the latter can be neglected in most cases.Also,the temporal skewness of a transionopheric pulse is negative and energy is shifted to the leading edge.     

Dependence of Quark Effective Mass on Gluon Propagators

Based on Dyson Schwinger Equations （DSEs） in the “rainbow” approximation, the dependence of quark effective mass on gluon propagator is investigated by use of three different phenomenological gluon propagators with two parameters, the strength parameter x and range parameter △. Our theoretical calculations for the quark effective mass Mf（p^2）, defined by the self-energy functions Af（p^2） and Bi（p%2） of the DSEs, show that the dynamically running quark effective mass is strongly dependent on gluon propagator. Therefore, because gluon propagator is completely unknown, the quark effective mass cannot be exactly determined theoretically.