原木随机存贮策略的最优化问题

本主要介绍原木经销商在周期内原木变价销售情况下的最佳期初贮存量的决策方法，在建立期望机会成本的数学模型基础上，探讨原木随机存贮策略的最优化问题。     

油价波动对国民经济影响模型构建与应用

为了科学构建原油价格波动与国民经济发展的关系,在借鉴国内外专家学者相关模型基础上,考虑不同国民经济指标对油价波动的时滞反馈等因素,构建油价波动对国民经济影响模型.利用原油价格波动对国民经济发展的动态模型,对模型的各部分关系系数进行确定,最后根据所得到的模型对国民经济影响进行实际分析与预测,并得出规避油价波动影响风险的措施.     

应用加权列联表分析预测汛期（4─9月）洪涝趋势

本文根据汉寿县１９６０─１９８８年洪涝灾害资料，应用加权列联表分析法，与前期气候因子建立洪涝趋势预测模式。最后对１９８９─１９９０年洪涝试报，取得了满意的效果。     

燃煤循环流化床燃烧脱硫的模型预测

燃煤循环流化床燃烧脱硫的模型预测池涌，岑可法，倪明江Ｐ·Ｂａｓｕ（浙江大学能源系杭州３１００２７）关键词：循环流化床，燃烧，脱硫，模型预测一、引言循环流化床锅炉在过去十几年中得到了广泛的应用，但与此同时由于循环流化床内流体动力特性的高度复杂使得数学模...     

Numerical treatment of an asset price model with non-stochastic uncertainty

In contrast to stochastic differential equation models used for the calculation of the term structure of interest rates, we develop an approach based on linear dynamical systems under non-stochastic uncertainty with perturbations. The uncertainty is described in terms of known feasible sets of varying parameters. Observations are used in order to estimate these parameters by minimizing the maximum of the absolute value of measurement errors, which leads to a linear or nonlinear semi-infinite programming problem. A regularized logarithmic barrier method for solving (ill-posed) convex semi-infinite programming problems is suggested. In this method a multi-step proximal regularization is coupled with an adaptive discretization strategy in the framework of an interior point approach. A special deleting rule permits one to use only a part of the constraints of the discretized problems. Convergence of the method and its stability with respect to data perturbations in the cone of convexC ¹-functions are studied. On the basis of the solutions of the semi-infinite programming problems a technical trading system for future contracts of the German DAX is suggested and developed. Supported by the Stiftung Rheinland/Pfalz für Innovation, No. 8312-386261/307.     

一种基于预测分类的小波图像编码

对于小波较像编码，如何有效地组织小波域系数是提高图像压缩效果的关键。本文在研究小波域系数统计特性的基础上，提出一种用于图像压缩的预测分类模式，与基于零树结构的编码不同的是它充分利用了小波域中“重要”系数的各种相关性，并通过结合提出的种子膨胀算法实现系数的分类输出，实验结果表明该方法所取得的压缩效果要优于基于零树结构的图像编码，同时又具有较强的鲁棒性。     

基于免疫算法的组合预测方法

利用免疫算法搜索全局最优解能力,提出了一种其于免疫算法的组合预测权系数确定的新方法,并给出了具体算法.仿真实验结果表明了免疫算法在组合预测方面具有很好的可行性和有效性.     

Stability of Markovian structure observed in high frequency foreign exchange data

Contrary to the common sense in economics and financial engineering, price fluctuations at very fine level of motion exhibit various evidences against the efficient market hypothesis. We attempt to investigate this issue by studying extensive amount of foreign currency exchange data for over five years at the finest level of resolution. We specifically focus on the proposed stability in binomial conditional probabilities originally found in much smaller examples of financial time series. In order to handle very large data, we have written an efficient program in C that automatically generates those conditional probabilities. It is found that the stability is maintained for extremely large time duration that covers almost the entire period. Based on the length of conditions for which the conditional probabilities are distinguishable each other, we identify the length of memory being less than 3 movements.     

BP人工神经网络用于除草剂活性预测

采用AMI方法研究了10种新型的磺酰脲类除草剂的电子结构，并以原子的Mulliken净电荷和除草剂在不同浓度(100，10mg／L)下对油菜、稗草两种作物的根、茎部位的抑制率为训练样本集。构造并训练得到具有活性预测能力的BP神经网络．结果表明，该BP网络不仅能对训练样本很好拟合。亦能对未知化合物的活性作出很好的预测．     

Zur Synthese und Struktur von K3N

Synthesis and Structure of K₃N Two phases in the binary system K/N have been obtained via co‐deposition of potassium and nitrogen onto polished sapphire at 77 K and subsequent heating to room temperature. The powder diffraction pattern of one of these phases can be satisfactorily interpreted by assuming the composition K₃N, and the anti‐TiI₃ structure‐type, which is also adopted by Cs₃O. The resulting hexagonal lattice constants are: a = 779.8(2), c = 759.2(9) pm, Z = 2, P6₃/mcm. Comparison with possible structures of K₃N generated by computational methods and refined at Hartree‐Fock‐ and DFT level, reveals that the energetically most favoured structure has not formed (presumable Li₃P‐type), but instead one of those with very low density. In this respect, the findings for K₃N are analogous to the results on Na₃N. The thermal evolution of the deposited starting mixture has been investigated. Hexagonal K₃N transforms to another K/N phase at 233 K. Its XRD can be fully indexed resulting in an orthorhombic cell a = 1163, b = 596, c = 718 pm. Decomposition leaving elemental potassium as the only residue occurs at 263 K.