基于系统动力学的场外核应急洗消设备配置问题研究

洗消设备配置问题是场外核应急准备工作的重要环节之一,论文根据核辐射洗消过程运行特点,考虑系统内人群密度对洗消进程的影响关系,建立洗消系统系统动力学模型。在不同核辐射超标率场景中,设计不同设备配置方案,模拟并观察系统内等待人数和总洗消时间的变化。仿真结果表明,检测I设备与洗消设备的配置数量及比例,影响洗消进度;在综合考虑设备投入和洗消站占地面积的条件下,该方法可为场外核应急洗消设备配置提供决策依据。     

考虑合同保质期的快速失效药品的二级供应链库存策略研究

医院药品对保质期和服务水平有非常高的要求,同时,药品的库存空间在医药库存中也有重要影响。首先针对快速失效的医药药品考虑了医药库存的合同保质期以及库存空间约束,同时考虑医院库存以及制造商库存,基于经济订货批量模型和经济生产批量模型建立了二级供应链的医药库存模型,然后用MATLAB软件求解了模型最优解,并对一些重要参数进行了敏感性分析。研究发现,合同保质期对医院订购批量、制造商生产批量和总库存成本有一定的影响,其中对于制造商的生产批量以及医院的库存成本影响较大。如果不考虑合同保质期的约束,将会对总库存成本带来更大损失。     

基于Heston随机波动率模型和风险偏好视角的资产负债管理

本文研究基于Heston随机波动率模型的资产负债管理问题。假设金融市场由一个无风险资产和一个风险资产构成,投资者的目标是最大化其终端财富的期望效用。应用随机控制方法,得到了该问题最优资产配置策略的解析表达式和相应值函数的解析解,通过数值算例分析了Heston模型主要参数以及债务对最优资产配置策略的影响。结果表明:配置到风险资产的比例对Heston模型中的参数非常敏感;为了对冲债务风险,负债的引入使得配置到风险资产的比例比无负债情形下的高;在风险厌恶系数变大时,无论投资者是否有负债,其投资到风险资产的比例则越来越低。     

基于排队的两类顾客易逝品库存控制策略研究

本文采用排队理论在面向两类顾客需求的环境下讨论易逝品库存排队系统控制策略问题。首先刻画面向两类顾客服务且具有马尔科夫结构的易逝品库存系统排队模型,获得库存水平状态的稳态概率分布以及作为库存成本控制的系统稳态性能指标。接下来,构建库存控制成本函数及考虑服务水平约束的库存控制优化模型,设计了改进的遗传算法。最后,数值算例揭示出系统参数的敏感性和相应的管理启示。     

Inventory control with fixed cost and price optimization in continuous time

We continue to study the problem of inventory control, with simultaneous pricing optimization in continuous time. In our previous paper [8], we considered the case without set up cost, and established the optimality of the base stock-list price (BSLP) policy. In this paper we consider the situation of fixed price. We prove that the discrete time optimal strategy (see [11]), i.e., the (s, S, p) policy can be extended to the continuous time case using the framework of quasi-variational inequalities (QVIs) involving the value function. In the process we show that an associated second order, nonlinear two-point boundary value problem for the value function has a unique solution yielding the triplet (s, S, p). For application purposes the explicit knowledge of this solution is needed to specify the optimal inventory and pricing strategy. Se- lecting a particular demand function we are able to formulate and implement a numerical algorithm to obtain good approximations for the optimal strategy.     

Managing supply chain backorders under vendor managed inventory: An incentive approach and empirical analysis

This paper shows how a manufacturer may use an incentive contract with a distributor under a VMI arrangement to gain market share. The manufacturer promises a distributor lower inventory levels in exchange for efforts by the distributor to convert potential lost sales due to stockouts to backorders. Data gathered from a third party provider of information services are then used to illustrate that this incentive arrangement may, at least implicitly, be employed in industry. Our data estimations show that when a manufacturer and distributor are operating under a VMI arrangement, lower inventory at the distributor is associated with a higher conversion rate of lost sales stockouts to backorders.     

Integration of indifference-zone with multi-objective computing budget allocation

In this paper, we consider how to address the issues of having designs with close performance in the multi-objective ranking and selection (MORS) problem. To resolve this issue we propose integrating the indifference-zone (IZ) concept into the multi-objective computing budget allocation (MOCBA) framework. In particular, when IZ is introduced into the MOCBA framework, we address how to determine the probability of non-dominance, how to define the Pareto set, and how to derive allocation rules for the simulation replications. Empirical results show that the MOCBA framework with IZ can significantly save simulation budget when designs to be compared have close performance.     

An improvement to multiple criteria ABC inventory classification

In this paper we presented an extended version of the Ng-modelg [W.L. Ng, A simple classifier for multiple criteria ABC analysis, European Journal of Operational Research 177 (2007) 344–353] for multi-criteria inventory classification. The proposed model is a nonlinear programming model which determines a common set of weights for all the items. Our model not only incorporates multiple criteria for ABC classification, but also maintains the effects of weights in the final solution, an improvement over the model proposed by Ng. An illustrative example is presented to compare our model and the Ng-model.     

需求对时间和价格敏感产品的最优动态定价与订购策略

探讨了需求对时间和价格敏感产品的最优动态定价和订购策略,建立了使零售商利润最大化的库存模型.然后对模型的性质进行了分析,给出了一个寻找最优价格调整次数的算法和数值例子,得到一些有意义的管理经验.     

基于MAS协作机制的动态计算资源调度模型

针对网格环境的自治性、动态性、分布性和异构性等特征.提出基于多智能体系统(Mutil Agent System,MAS)博弈协作的资源动态分配和任务调度模型,建立了能够反映供求关系的网格资源调度模型和任务求解算法,证明了资源分配博弈中Nash均衡点的存在性、唯一性和Nash均衡解,该方法能够利用消费者agent的学习和协商能力,考虑和引入消费者的心理行为,使得消费者的资源申请和任务调度具有较高的合理性和有效性.实验结果表明,资源调度算法不但可以有效减少不必要的延迟,而且在响应时间的平滑性、吞吐率及资源利用率方面比传统算法要好,从而使得整个资源的供需合理、负载均衡.