油砂开发经济性评价方法研究及应用

随着我国油企进入加拿大油砂行业,如何降低油砂开发项目的风险并提高决策的科学性变得愈发重要。油砂开采的经济性作为投资决策的重要着力点,研究相应的经济评价方法也就有了十分重要的意义。本文较为全面的分析了露天开发油砂及蒸汽辅助重力卸油技术(SAGD)开发油砂的技术特点;选择折现现金流理论作为理论基础分别构建了露天开发与SAGD开发油砂项目经济评价模型,并对模型中涉及的收入、投资、成本等参数的估算方法进行了系统的研究;通过对新疆某油砂试采区的实际评价,验证了方法的可行性。该方法作为油砂开发项目经济评价的初步探索,将为加拿大和我国油砂开发项目的经济评价工作提供一定的参考依据。     

基于投入产出分析的建筑节能经济-环境影响测算模型的研究和应用

将改进的投入产出局部闭模型和分析方法应用到建筑节能研究领域.结合数量经济方法,建立了建筑节能经济-环境影响测算投入产出模型,应用该模型测算了2002年不同比例的既有建筑实施50%的建筑节能标准后的直接经济影响,然后测算通过各个产业部门之间的相互影响和相互作用后,建筑节能对国民经济其他产业部门的关联影响、对本部门的完全影响和对以GDP衡量的整个国民经济系统的影响.最后测算不同比例的既有建筑实施50%的建筑节能标准后减少的二氧化碳和二氧化硫的排放量.     

Research on spatial economic structure for different economic sectors from a perspective of a complex network

The economy system is a complex system, and the complex network is a powerful tool to study its complexity. Here we calculate the economic distance matrices based on annual GDP of nine economic sectors from 1995–2010 in 31 Chinese provinces and autonomous regions,¹ then build several spatial economic networks through the threshold method and the Minimal Spanning Tree method. After the analysis on the structure of the networks and the influence of geographic distance, some conclusions are drawn. First, connectivity distribution of a spatial economic network does not follow the power law. Second, according to the network structure, nine economic sectors could be divided into two groups, and there is significant discrepancy of network structure between these two groups. Moreover, the influence of the geographic distance plays an important role on the structure of a spatial economic network, network parameters are changed with the influence of the geographic distance. At last, 2000 km is the critical value for geographic distance: for real estate and finance, the spearman’s rho with l<2000$l<2000$ is bigger than that with l>2000$l>2000$, and the case is opposite for other economic sectors.     

Conditions for optimality in the infinite-horizon portfolio-cum-saving problem with semimartingale investments

A model of optimal accumulation of capital and portfolio choice over an infinite horizon in continuous time is formulated in which the vector process representing returns to investments isa general semimartingale. Methods of stochastic calculus and calculus of variations are used to obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality involving martingale properties ofthe shadow price processes associated with alternative portfolio cum saving plans.The relationship between such conditions and portfolio equations is investigated.The results are appliedtospecial cases where the returns process has stationary independent increments and the utility function has the discounted relative risk aversion form     

组合评价模型在河南省主要城市综合经济实力评价中的应用

组合评价模型通过组合多个单一评价模型的评价结果,有效弥补单一方法的不足,提高评价的全面性和科学性.首先利用河南省2010年的相关数据,分别采用综合指数法、加权平均法、主成分分析法和因子分析法,对河南省的18个主要地区的综合经济实力进行了评价和排序;其次,建立基于模糊Borda法的组合评价模型,应用该模型对河南省的18个主要地区的综合经济实力进行了重新评价和排序,得到了更为可行的评价结果.     

辽宁省碳排放、能源消费与经济增长的实证研究

在环境库兹涅茨曲线的基础上,通过VAR分析方法,从实证的角度揭示了辽宁省1978-2009年碳排量、能源消耗同经济增长之间的动态关系,通过广义脉冲反应分析,得出不同于以往的"N"型EKC曲线.Granger因果检验表明,辽宁省持续提升的GDP不断刺激碳排放量和能源消耗量的增加,但环境变化却不是推动省内经济增长的重要变量.辽宁目前的环境质量正随着经济的增长而恶化,环境质量的提升问题亟待解决.     

质量经济效益及其模糊综合评判

在新时期质量与经济效益的再认识的基础上,提出了顾客价值链全过程最佳组合质量观念与满足顾客需求的质量经济效益观念,从生产者、消费者和社会三个方面考察质量经济效益并选择模糊综合评判法来定量地进行评价.取得了满意的结果.     

建设用地的扩张对我国非农经济增长贡献研究

土地要素对经济增长的贡献,由于其供给缺乏弹性而常被定量研究所忽略。文章通过分析土地要素对经济增长的作用,提出在定量研究土地要素的贡献时,应使用代表土地承载空间大小的建筑面积数据。文章构建了相对建筑面积估计模型,并使用资本和劳动力数据实际估算了我国建设用地相对建筑的面积,并利用超越对数生产函数形式实际估算了我国建设用地对非农经济增长的贡献。研究发现:我国28个省级单位建设用地面积扩大在2003-2008年对非农经济增长平均贡献率为2.88%,而代表土地利用强度的相对容积率的增长对经济增长的贡献率为8.79%。建设用地对非农经济增长的总贡献为11.81%。     

Stable coexistence mediated by specialist harvesting in a two zooplankton–phytoplankton system

This paper deals with a predator–prey model with specialist harvesting, representing a two predators (Zooplankton) and one resource (Phytoplankton) system. First, the existence and stability of equilibria is analyzed both from local and global point of view. Our results indicate that a specialist harvesting which is discriminate may mediate the coexistence of the two zooplankton species which competitively exclude each other in absence harvesting. Although in most cases increasing harvesting reduces the two zooplankton species numbers, when harvesting leads to coexistence, it may also lead to increase the two zooplankton species numbers. Furthermore, to protect fish population from over exploitation a control instrument tax is imposed. The problem of optimal taxation policy is then solved by using Pontryagin’s maximal principle. It is established that the zero discounting leads to the maximization of the net economic revenue to the society and an infinite discount rate leads to complete dissipation of the net economic revenue to the society. Finally, the impact of harvesting is mentioned along with numerical results to provide some support to the analytical findings.