基于VEC模型的江苏省对外贸易与经济增长的实证分析

利用江苏省1985年到2012年的经济数据,通过对江苏省的进出口贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验.发现进口、出口和经济增长之间具有长期协整关系,进口是GDP的格兰杰原因,而出口不是GDP的格兰杰原因.通过建立VEC模型,得到了较好的拟合结果.最后给出了几个政策建议.     

基于聚类分析和Cobb-Douglas函数的我国人才经济贡献率测算

建立人才环境综合评价指标体系,对指标体系进行因子分析,根据各个主因子得分,通过聚类将中国(除港澳台以外的)31个省(市、自治区)划分为若干类别;对于每一类别,分别构建物质资本、人才资本、一般人力资本等到经济产出之间的改进柯布道格拉斯生产函数模型,得到不同类别地区人才对经济增长的贡献率,进而计算全国人才对经济增长贡献率的总体水平.研究表明:2001-2010年期间,31个地区按照人才环境可分为3类.第一类地区包括北京、上海、天津,人才环境发展水平最高,人才经济贡献率为27.13%;第二类地区包括广东、浙江等东部沿海6个省份,人才环境发展水平居中,人才经济贡献率为24.91%;第三类地区为其余22各省份,人才环境发展水平偏低,人才经济贡献率为18.78%.全国人才经济贡献率总体水平为22.68%.     

气候政策的经济环境效应分析与比较—基于碳税、许可交易和总量控制的动态微分博弈

基于产品差别化假设,建立双寡头动态微分博弈模型,比较碳税和许可交易以及总量控制3种气候政策的经济环境效应.研究发现,不同气候政策对两国的经济效应不同.进一步研究还发现,在企业产品差别化竞争时,从碳排放流量来看,碳税政策和许可交易政策与总量控制政策之间没有严格的优劣之分;碳排放存量对碳税政策最敏感.从碳存量对政策的边际影响来看,许可交易政策与总量控制政策是相同的,而碳税政策与之相反.当两国生产的产品完全同质时,从均衡碳排放流量和碳排放存量来看,许可交易政策最优,总量控制政策次之,碳税政策最差.若政府单纯以控制碳排放量为目的,许可交易政策是最佳选择.     

两种不同系统因素影响下完全检验的最优设计

本文研究了两种不同系统因素影响下完全检验的质量最优问题 ,采用有两种不同控制界限的控制图来控制生产过程 ,并根据完全检验的特点 ,提出了一种新的最优模型。 Hui(1 991 )提出的最优模型是本文的最优模型的特殊情况 ,并且本文建立的最优模型还可推广到两种以上不同的系统因素下影响的情况     

Cloister and society: Analyzing the public benefit of monastic and mendicant institutions

It has long been thought that religious orders, by their very existence (apart from any direct service such as teaching or nursing), enhance the secular social welfare. This paper reports theoretical predictions, derived from the postulates of comparison theory, concerning the existence of this public benefit of the cloister and the determinants of its magnitude, including the effects of economic inequality and of the societal valued goods. The basic predictions suggest further implications for the rates of vocations and defections, for state sympathies toward religious orders, and for the rise and development of monastic and mendicant institutions.     

A sensitive, rapid ferricyanide-mediated toxicity bioassay developed using Escherichia coli

A need for rapid toxicity techniques has seen recent research into developing new microbiological assays and characterising their toxicity responses using a range of substances. A microbiological bioassay that determines changes in ferricyanide-mediated respiration for toxicity measurement (FM-TOX) shows particular promise. The development and optimisation of an improved FM-TOX method, incorporating novel features, is described using Escherichia coli as the biocatalyst. Omission of an exogenous carbon source, used in previously described FM-TOX assays, substantially improves the assay sensitivity. In addition, the development of a two-step procedure (toxicant exposure followed by determination of microbial respiratory activity) was found to enhance the inhibition of E. coli by 3,5-dichlorophenol and four other toxicants, compared to single-step procedures. Other assay parameters, such as the ferricyanide concentration, exposure times and optical density of the biocatalyst were also optimised, sometimes based on practical aspects. Toxicity tests were carried out using the adopted technique on both organic and inorganic toxicants, with classic sigmoid-shaped dose-response curves observed, as well as some non-standard responses. IC₅₀ data is presented for a number of common toxicants. The optimised assay provides a good foundation for further toxicity testing using E. coli, as well as the potential for expanding the technique to utilise other bacteria with complementary toxicity responses, thereby allowing use of the assay in a range of applications.     

Economic Characterization of Reciprocal Isoperimetric Control Problems Revisited

Theorem 2.1 of Caputo (Ref. 1) linking the optimal solution functions and optimal value functions of reciprocal pairs of isoperimetric control problems is correct, but requires stronger assumptions than those used explicitly to establish its veracity. One such set of stronger assumptions is provided in this note.     

On fuzzy multi-valued functions, part 4: Fuzzy economic models

An application to fuzzy economic systems of the fuzzy multi-valued functions theory elaborated by both of us in our previous papers is presented. First, stationary and dynamic fuzzy economic models are defined. Next the optimality of fuzzy trajectories of these models is introduced and investigated.     

城市生态系统,城市生态经济系统与城市建设

城市生态系统和自然生态系统一样，也是由环境系统和生物系统组成。城市生态系统注意的是生态效益，而城市经济系统则重视经济效益，从而出现了二者相结合的城市生态经济系统的概念。城市的规划和管理要重视生态经济原则。在城市建设中，要使生态环境建设和经济建设同步进行。我国城市化的具体道路和途径是严格控制大城市，合理发展中等城市，积极建设和发展小城市。     

最小偏差分析法在经济周期分析中的应用

利用最小偏差分析法,分析了我国GDP增长率的周期性特征,并对我国今后几年的GDP增长率进行了预测.分析的结果是:从1953—2006年,我国GDP增长率存在着7年左右的小周期,15年左右的中周期,19年左右的中长周期和28年左右的大周期,而且随着时间的推移,经济周期的波动幅度逐渐趋小,反映出经济增长的稳定性增强.预测的结果是:今后几年(2年或更长一段时间)我国GDP增长率应该保持在10%左右,波动的区间为[9%,11%].