ACUTA: A novel method for eliciting additive value functions on the basis of holistic preference statements

In multiple criteria decision aiding, it is common to use methods that are capable of automatically extracting a decision or evaluation model from partial information provided by the decision maker about a preference structure. In general, there is more than one possible model, leading to an indetermination which is dealt with sometimes arbitrarily in existing methods. This paper aims at filling this theoretical gap: we present a novel method, based on the computation of the analytic center of a polyhedron, for the selection of additive value functions that are compatible with holistic assessments of preferences. We demonstrate the most important characteristics of this technique with an experimental and comparative study of several existing methods belonging to the UTA family.     

Strategic control and interests,its effects on decision outcomes

Application of the model to artificial data shows that actors with strong preferences in the center have more possibilities to realize good outcomes than other actors. On the basis of an empirical application it is shown that a Nash equilibrium does not always arise after a large number of iterations unless actors have learning capabilities or are severely restricted in their strategic behavior.

In political systems and large organizations, ultimate decision makers are usually just a small subset of all actors in the social system. To arrive at acceptable decisions, decision makers have to take into account the preferences of other actors in the system. Typically preferences of more interested and more powerful actors are weighted heavier than those of less interested and powerful actors. This implies that the total leverage of an actor on the decision is determined by the combination of his power (his potential) and his interest (his willingness to mobilize his power). As the exact level of an actor's leverage is difficult to estimate for the other actors in the system, an actor is able to optimize his effects on outcomes of decisions by providing strategic informatioa

In this paper, first an analytic solution is presented for the optimization of strategic leverage in collective decision making by one single actor. In this solution, the actor makes assumptions about the leverage other actors will show in decision making. Subsequently, the actor optimizes the outcomes of decisions by manipulating the distribution of his leverage over a set of issues.

The analytic solution can be theoretically interpreted by decomposing the solution into three terms, the expected external leverage of the other actors on the issue, the evaluation of the deviance of the expected from the preferred outcome of the issue, and the restrictions on the distribution of leverage over the issues. The higher the expectation of the leverages the other actors will allocate to the issue, the less an actor is inclined to allocate leverage to the issue. The higher the evaluation of the deviance, the more an actor is inclined to allocate leverage to the issue. This is restricted, however, by the required distribution of leverages over the issues. The researcher is able to manipulate these restrictions to investigate its consequences for the outcomes.

In the next step, we investigate whether we can find a Nash equilibrium if all actors optimize their leverage simultaneously. Under certain conditions, a Nash equilibrium can be found by an iterative process in which actors update their estimates oh each other's leverages on the basis of what the other actors have shown in previous iterations.     

Wealth optimization and dual problems for jump stock dynamics with stochastic factor

An incomplete financial market is considered with a risky asset and a bond. The risky asset price is a pure jump process whose dynamics depends on a jump-diffusion stochastic factor describing the activity of other markets, macroeconomics factors or microstructure rules that drive the market. With a stochastic control approach, maximization of the expected utility of terminal wealth is discussed for utility functions of constant relative risk aversion type. Under suitable assumptions, closed form solutions for the value functions and for the optimal strategy are provided and verification results are discussed. Moreover, the solution to the dual problems associated with the utility maximization problems is derived.     

Asymptotic analysis for Merton's problem with transaction costs in power utility case

We revisit the optimal investment and consumption problem with proportional transaction costs. We prove that both the value function and the slopes of the lines demarcating the no-trading region are analytic functions of cube root of the transaction cost parameter. Also, we can explicitly calculate the coefficients of the fractional power series expansions of the value function and the no-trading region.     

Orderings and Probability Functionals Consistent with Preferences

This paper unifies the classical theory of stochastic dominance and investor preferences with the recent literature on risk measures applied to the choice problem faced by investors. First, we summarize the main stochastic dominance rules used in the finance literature. Then we discuss the connection with the theory of integral stochastic orders and we introduce orderings consistent with investors' preferences. Thus, we classify them, distinguishing several categories of orderings associated with different classes of investors. Finally, we show how we can use risk measures and orderings consistent with some preferences to determine the investors' optimal choices.     

Dual Representation of the Cost of Designing a Portfolio Satisfying Multiple Risk Constraints

ABSTRACT

We consider, within a Markovian complete financial market, the problem of finding the least expensive portfolio process meeting, at each payment date, three different types of risk criterion. Two of them encompass an expected utility-based measure and a quantile hedging constraint imposed at inception on all the future payment dates, while the other one is a quantile hedging constraint set at each payment date over the next one. The quantile risk measures are defined with respect to a stochastic benchmark and the expected utility-based constraint is applied to random payment dates. We explicit the Legendre-Fenchel transform of the pricing function. We also provide, for each quantile hedging problem, a backward dual algorithm allowing to compute their associated value function by backward recursion. The algorithms are illustrated with a numerical example.     

EQUIVALENCIES IN THE FISHERY

Abstract We consider the management of a resource by a sole owner whose utility depends on income and leisure. Income is generated from time spent harvesting the resource and time spent working for a wage in the nonfishing sector. Our analysis produces two results. (i) The sole owner maximizing discounted utility will seek to achieve the same steady‐state optimum as a manager seeking to maximize discounted net revenue. (ii) The approach paths to the common steady‐state optimum will be the same if the utility function is linear in income and separable in income and leisure. These equivalencies are illustrated in a numerical example.     

Option pricing in incomplete markets

Expected utility maximization is a very useful approach for pricing options in an incomplete market. The results from this approach contain many important features observed by practitioners. However, under this approach, the option prices are determined by a set of coupled nonlinear partial differential equations in high dimensions. Thus, it represents numerous significant difficulties in both theoretical analysis and numerical computations. In this paper, we present accurate approximate solutions for this set of equations.     

Theory of Economic Equilibrium

Abstract

New concepts of economics such as an average demand matrix of society, strategy of a firm and consumer behaviour, and others are introduced. We give sufficient conditions for technological mapping under which there exist both the Walras equlibrium state and optimal Walras equilibrium one. We obtain the set of equations which equilibrium price vector solves. The theory of interindustry economic equilibrium is developed. The model of economy with regular interests of consumers is proposed.