固定设计下计算机模型L2校准的渐近性质

计算机仿真模型广泛应用于工业工程等领域,借助真实的物理观测对计算机模型的校准参数进行估计,可以提高计算机模型的仿真精度.已有文献指出,当物理试验的试验点独立同分布于均匀分布时,计算机模型校准参数的L2估计半参数有效.然而真实的物理试验点往往不满足独立同分布于均匀分布这一条件,文章证明了在固定的试验点下,较准参数L2估计的相合性和渐近正态性,并通过数值模拟验证了L2估计的收敛速度.     

Inference for thinned point processes, with application to Cox processes

Given i.i.d. point processes N₁, N₂,…, let the observations be p-thinnings N′₁, N′₂,…, where p is a function from the underlying space E (a compact metric space) to [0, 1], whose interpretation is that a point of N_i at x is retained with probability p(x) and deleted with probability 1−p(x). Strongly consistent estimators of the thinning function p and the Laplace functional L_N(f) = E[e^−N(f)] of the N_i are constructed; associated “central limit” properties are given. Tests are presented, for the case when the N_i and N′_i are both observable, of the hypothesis that the N′_i are p-thinnings of the N_i. State estimation techniques are developed for the case where the N_i are Cox processes directed by unobservable random measures M_i; these techniques yield minimum mean-squared error estimators, based on observation of only the thinned processes N′_i of the N_i and the directing measures M_i. Limit theorems for empirical Laplace functionals of point processes are given.     

Estimation of partial linear error-in-response models with validation data

In this paper, an estimation theory in partial linear model is developed when there is measurement error in the response and when validation data are available. A semiparametric method with the primary data is used to define two estimators for both the regression parameter and the nonparametric part using the least squares criterion with the help of validation data. The proposed estimators of the parameter are proved to be strongly consistent and asymptotically normaal, and the estimators of the nonparametric part are also proved to be strongly consistent and weakly consistent with an optimal convergent rate. Then, the two estimators of the parameter are compared based on their empirical performances. Supported by NNSF of China (No. 10231030, No. 10241001) and a grant to the author for his excellent Ph.D. dissertation work in China.     

Parameter Estimation for Stochastic Parabolic Equations: Asymptotic Properties of a Two-Dimensional Projection-Based Estimator

A two-dimensional parameter is estimated from the observations of a random field defined on a compact manifold by a stochastic parabolic equation. Unlike the previous works on the subject, the equation is not necessarily diagonalizable, and no assumptions are made about the eigenfunctions of the operators in the equation. The estimator is based on certain finite-dimensional projections of the observed random field, and the asymptotic properties of the estimator are studied as the dimension of the projection is increased while the observation time is fixed. Simple conditions are found for the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator. An application to a problem in oceanography is discussed.     

广义线性回归拟似然估计的渐近正态性

研究了形如n∑i=1xi(yi-μ(xi′β))=0拟似然方程,在一定的条件下证明了拟似然估计βn的渐近正态性;并进一步证明了可用于β0大样本统计推断的渐近正态性结果．     

变系数混合效应模型

本文研究了下列变系数混合效应模型: $y_{ij}=z_{ij}^{\tau}b_i+x_{ij}^{\tau}\beta(w_{ij}) +\xe_{ij},\;i=1,\cdots,m;\;j=1,\cdots,n_i$, 其中$b_i$为i.i.d.期望为$\xt$, 协方差阵为$\xs^2_bI_q$的随机效应向量, $\xe_{ij}$是i.i.d.期望为零, 具有有限方差的随机误差. 文中我们不仅给出了函数系数向量$\xb(\cdot)$的局部多项式估计, 同时给出了随机效应期望、方差和随机误差方差的估计, 并给出了这些估计量的渐进正态性和相合性, 研究结果表明了这些估计量的可靠性.     

线性约束下部分线性模型中估计的渐近性质

考虑回归模型yi=x′iβ+ g(ti) + ei, 0 ≤i ≤nr=Rβ其中(xi,ti)是固定非随机设计点列,xi=(xi1,…,xip)′,β=(β1,…,βp)′(p 1) ,g是定义在[0 ,1]上的未知函数,β是未知待估参数,0≤ ti≤1i,ei 是i.i.d随机误差,且Eei=0 ,Ee2i=σ2 <∞.r是一个J维向量,R是一个J* p列满秩矩阵,基于g的估计取一个非参数权估计,本文讨论了在线性约束下β的最小二乘估计的相合性及渐近正态性.     

Parametric estimation for simple branching diffusion processes, II

Consider a simple branching diffusion process, which is a branching process in which the individuals move and live and die in space. The offspring distribution has finite moments of all orders. A parametric estimation theory is presented, using time slice data. This involves the use of third order cumulant spectra to identify and estimate the parameters.     

Estimation and Bootstrap with Censored Data in Fixed Design Nonparametric Regression

We study Beran's extension of the Kaplan-Meier estimator for thesituation of right censored observations at fixed covariate values. Thisestimator for the conditional distribution function at a given value of thecovariate involves smoothing with Gasser-Müller weights. We establishan almost sure asymptotic representation which provides a key tool forobtaining central limit results. To avoid complicated estimation ofasymptotic bias and variance parameters, we propose a resampling methodwhich takes the covariate information into account. An asymptoticrepresentation for the bootstrapped estimator is proved and the strongconsistency of the bootstrap approximation to the conditional distributionfunction is obtained.     

Testing the Gumbel Hypothesis Via the Pot-Method

We consider an i.i.d. sample, generated by some distribution function, which belongs to the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution with unknown shape and scale parameters. We treat the scale parameter as a nuisance parameter and establish for the hypothesis of Gumbel domain of attraction an asymptotically optimal test based on those observations among the sample, which exceed a given threshold sequence. Asymptotic optimality is achieved along certain contiguous extreme value alternatives within the concept of local asymptotic normality (LAN). Adaptive test procedures exist under restrictive assumptions. The finite sample size behavior of the proposed test is studied by simulations and it is compared to that of a test based on the sample coefficient of variation.