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881.
Recent evidence by Campbell et al. [J.Y. Campbell, M. Lettau B.G. Malkiel, Y. Xu, Have individual stocks become more volatile? An empirical exploration of idiosyncratic risk, The Journal of Finance (February) (2001)] shows an increase in firm-level volatility and a decline of the correlation among stock returns in the US. In relation to the Euro-Area stock markets, we find that both aggregate firm-level volatility and average stock market correlation have trended upwards.We estimate a linear model of the market risk–return relationship nested in an EGARCH(1, 1)-M model for conditional second moments. We then show that traditional estimates of the conditional risk–return relationship, that use ex-post excess-returns as the conditioning information set, lead to joint tests of the theoretical model (usually the ICAPM) and of the Efficient Market Hypothesis in its strong form.To overcome this problem we propose alternative measures of expected market risk based on implied volatility extracted from traded option prices and we discuss the conditions under which implied volatility depends solely on expected risk. We then regress market excess-returns on lagged market implied variance computed from implied market volatility to estimate the relationship between expected market excess-returns and expected market risk.We investigate whether, as predicted by the ICAPM, the expected market risk is the main factor in explaining the market risk premium and the latter is independent of aggregate idiosyncratic risk. 相似文献
882.
Oliver Grothe 《Physica A》2010,389(7):1455-2045
Student’s t-distributions are widely used in financial studies as heavy-tailed alternatives to normal distributions. As these distributions are not closed under convolution, there exist no Lévy processes with Student’s t-marginals at all points in time. In this article we show that a Student’s t-approximation of these marginals is still suitable, while not exact. Using this approximation, we are able to describe the scaling behavior of such Lévy-Student processes and the parameters of its marginal distributions by a simple analytical scaling law. This scaling law drastically simplifies the use of Lévy-Student processes as a general diffusion process in various interdisciplinary applications. We explicitly provide an application in the context of modelling high-frequency price returns. 相似文献
883.
The consequences of irreversibility on optimal intertemporal emission policies under uncertainty 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper investigates how irreversibility affects optimal intertemporal emission policies when negative stock externalities exist. In particular it discusses the effect of irreversible emission, i.e., it concerns the physical issue whether it is possible to recollect pollutants that have been emitted or not. We depict our analysis with the greenhouse effect as a topical example and model the uncertainty with respect to the future evolution of the world’s temperature (i.e., the uncertain factor that determines the costs) as Itô-process with the drift provided by current carbon-dioxide emissions. We show analytically that irreversibility affects the optimal emission policy only if the future impact of today’s emissions is uncertain. Under uncertainty, irreversibility leads to a conservationist policy such that emissions are reduced at any level of environmental concentration of the pollutant. The level where stopping emissions is optimal decreases in the presence of irreversibility. Furthermore, the expected duration of fossil fuel use is derived. A numerical example which is calibrated to roughly reflect the global CO2 problem illustrates the analytical findings. 相似文献
884.
在双碳目标的驱动下,碳排放权愈发成为重要的地区发展权,在县域层面落实落位碳额分配是我国深入减碳的焦点,浙江省将在“十四五”时期进入局部率先达峰的二级减碳阶段。为分解落实我国自主减碳目标,采用熵权法构建以公平性、效率性、可持续性为原则的碳排放权分配模型,基于碳排放空间与减碳潜力测算方法,得到2017—2030年浙江省89个县(市、区)的碳排放权分配、碳排放空间分类和减碳潜力分级。结果表明,碳排放权分配在县域层级存在空间差异性,在省域层级存在空间平衡性;碳排放空间分类呈“南余北赤”模式;减碳潜力分级表现为“东高西低”的空间格局。鉴于对县(市、区)不同碳排机理的归纳与解析,提出了逐级修正的减碳路径与策略。 相似文献
886.
Allocation of tasks in IoT is an integral and critical approach to finding a perfect match between scheduled tasks of a particular application and Edge-based processing devices for instant response and efficient utilization of resources to make them renewable. We need a protocol to help optimize the problem of allocating processing devices to the tasks, as task allocation is considered an NP-hard problem to prevent problems with energy consumption and response time problems. For this, a hybrid bio-inspired Swarm-based approach will improve the solution to optimize the matching of a task to a particular device. This paper proposed a Meta-heuristic algorithm to optimize Energy and Time-delay for allocating tasks to the edge-based Processing device in IoT. The proposed algorithm called the Hybrid Artificial Bee Colony whales Optimization algorithm (HAWO) is formulated by integrating Artificial Bee Colony with the Whales Optimization algorithm to overcome the search process of an Artificial Bee Colony, which converges too soon due to the local search of Employee Bee phase and Onlooker Bee phase causing the problem of looping. From the simulation results conducted in Matlab, it is observed that the integrated HAWO method shows promising results in terms of Energy and Time Delay when compared with Artificial Bee Colony and Whales Optimization algorithms separately. Also, proposed method when compared with the benchmark work shows significant improvements of 50%, 25% and 60% in terms of Energy, Time Delay and Best cost, respectively. 相似文献
887.
《Operations Research Letters》2023,51(4):446-452
We study a dynamic vector bin packing (DVBP) problem. We show hardness for shrinking arbitrary DVBP instances to size polynomial in the number of request types or in the maximal number of requests overlapping in time. We also present a simple polynomial-time data reduction algorithm that allows to recover -approximate solutions for arbitrary . It shrinks instances from Microsoft Azure and Huawei Cloud by an order of magnitude for . 相似文献