GI／G／1单重休假随机服务系统的马氏骨架方法

文献[1]引入一类具有广泛应用前景的随机过程-Markov骨架过程。借助Markov骨架过程的方法研究GI/G/1单重休假服务系统队长，及t时刻到达顾客等待时间的瞬时概率分布。     

关于DHMM转化为齐次马尔可夫链的一个定理及其证明

本给出一个将DHMM转化为齐次马尔可夫链的定理，该定理提供了利用在理论上比较完善的齐次马尔可夫链来研究DHMM的一个方法．     

Limit Regimes of Braking of Disc-Type Composite Flywheels Made by Filament Winding

A set of invariants describing the limit regimes of braking disk-type wound composite flywheels is suggested. The limit regime is determined by using a linear failure criterion. It is shown that, for generating short-time impulses of very high power, a set of small identical flywheels is more effective than one large flywheel with an equivalent mass. Particular examples illustrating the theory considered are discussed.     

有向图上的随机游动

设G=(V,Г)是有向图,G上的随机游动X(G)定义如下:位于某个顶点上的一个粒子将以等概率转移到该顶点的所有后继顶点.令M(j,n)表示随机游动X(G)在前n步内访问顶点j的平均次数,用W(j)表示随机游动X(G)到达顶点j所需要的平均步效.我们对M(j,n)和W(j)的值进行了估计,证明了M(j,n)=O(n),并给出了W(j)的上界.     

Optimal volume-corrected laplace-metropolis method

The article provides a refinement for the volume-corrected Laplace-Metropolis estimator of the marginal likelihood of DiCiccioet al. The correction volume of probability α in DiCiccioet al. is fixed and suggested to take the value α=0.05. In this article α is selected based on an asymptotic analysis to minimize the mean square relative error (MSRE). This optimal choice of α is shown to be invariant under linear transformations. The invariance property leads to easy implementation for multivariate problems. An implementation procedure is provided for practical use. A simulation study and a real data example are presented.     

A Generalized Markov Sampler

A recent development of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique is the emergence of MCMC samplers that allow transitions between different models. Such samplers make possible a range of computational tasks involving models, including model selection, model evaluation, model averaging and hypothesis testing. An example of this type of sampler is the reversible jump MCMC sampler, which is a generalization of the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. Here, we present a new MCMC sampler of this type. The new sampler is a generalization of the Gibbs sampler, but somewhat surprisingly, it also turns out to encompass as particular cases all of the well-known MCMC samplers, including those of Metropolis, Barker, and Hastings. Moreover, the new sampler generalizes the reversible jump MCMC. It therefore appears to be a very general framework for MCMC sampling. This paper describes the new sampler and illustrates its use in three applications in Computational Biology, specifically determination of consensus sequences, phylogenetic inference and delineation of isochores via multiple change-point analysis.     

Analysis of a Multiserver Queue with Setup Times

This paper deals with the analysis of an M/M/c queueing system with setup times. This queueing model captures the major characteristics of phenomena occurring in production when the system consists in a set of machines monitored by a single operator. We carry out an extensive analysis of the system including limiting distribution of the system state, waiting time analysis, busy period and maximum queue length. AMS subject classification: 90B22, 60K25     

Time-Reversed Dynamical Entropy and Irreversibility in Markovian Random Processes

A concept of time-reversed entropy per unit time is introduced in analogy with the entropy per unit time by Shannon, Kolmogorov, and Sinai. This time-reversed entropy per unit time characterizes the dynamical randomness of a stochastic process backward in time, while the standard entropy per unit time characterizes the dynamical randomness forward in time. The difference between the time-reversed and standard entropies per unit time is shown to give the entropy production of Markovian processes in nonequilibrium steady states.     

随机环境中的马氏链状态分类

给出了随机环境中马氏链的特征数和状态的定义,讨论了状态间的传递性,自反性,对称性,是经典马氏链相应结果的一般化.并运用位势方法研究了状态间的关系,它们在极限理论的研究中非常有用.     

D—^3He聚变动力可行性研究

本文首先简要地讨论D-3He聚变的物理要求并与D-T聚变作相应的比较,然后运用目前的约束定律和第一稳定区β极限,对计划的近期ETR规模装置(如CIT,TIBER,FER,NET)进行D-3He得失相当和点火实验的可行性研究,并对高径比第二稳定区D-3He托卡马克堆进行参数学研究,最后指出潜在的缩短商用化进程可能性。