基于加权可能性均值的亚式期权模糊定价

主要探讨不确定环境下用模糊集理论处理亚式期权的定价问题.运用梯形模糊数来表示标的资产价格、无风险利率、红利率和波动率,建立了亚式期权的加权可能性均值模糊定价模型,得到连续几何和算术亚式期权的模糊价格公式.最后通过数值例子表明:亚式期权的加权可能性均值模糊定价模型具有很大的灵活性,更符合现实的不确定情况,具有较强的实用价值.     

Hurst指数属于(1/3,1/2)的分数模型的期权定价

本文建立了由一类分数Brown运动驱动的新的随机微分方程模型,当基础资产价格运动服从该随机微分方程时,推导出了欧式期权的解析公式.     

Multifactor Heston's stochastic volatility model for European option pricing

In this study, we extend the multiscale stochastic volatility model of [Fouque J‐P, Lorig MJ, SIAM J Financial Math. 2011;2(1):221‐254] by incorporating a slow varying factor of volatility. The resulting model can be viewed as a multifactor extension of the Heston model with two additional factors driving the volatility levels. An asymptotic analysis consisting of singular and regular perturbation expansions is developed to obtain an approximation to European option prices. We also find explicit expressions for some essential functions that are available only in integral formulas in the work of [Fouque J‐P, Lorig MJ, SIAM J Financial Math. 2011;2(1):221‐254]. This finding basically leads to considerable reduction in computational time for numerical calculation as well as calibration problems. An accuracy result of the asymptotic approximation is also provided. For numerical illustration, the multifactor Heston model is calibrated to index options on the market, and we find that the resulting implied volatility surfaces fit the market data better than those produced by the multiscale stochastic volatility model of [Fouque J‐P, Lorig MJ, SIAM J Financial Math. 2011;2(1):221‐254], particularly for long‐maturity call options.     

沪铜期货及其期权的量化定价实证研究

作为最大的铜消费市场,铜在我国占据着最重要地位。随着2018年9月沪铜期货期权正式登陆上海期货交易所,我国铜交易产品进一步与国际接轨。虽然拥有世界领先的铜交易市场,但我国学术领域尚缺乏采用量化方法对沪铜期货及其期权的深入实证研究。在大宗商品量化领域,Schwartz二因子模型^[1]被看作是量化期货定价的基准模型,本文通过实证分析发现经典二因子模型在中国市场应用时会产生“水土不服”,因此本文采用波动参数的思想,修正了Schwartz二因子模型在中国沪铜市场的“水土不服”。另外,根据早期文献对认购期货期权的量化定价模型^[2,3],本文明确了认沽期货期权的量化定价公式,并通过对沪铜期货期权定价模型的实证分析,发现目前沪铜期货期权存在套利空间。     

Duality and martingales: a stochastic programming perspective on contingent claims

The hedging of contingent claims in the discrete time, discrete state case is analyzed from the perspective of modeling the hedging problem as a stochastic program. Application of conjugate duality leads to the arbitrage pricing theorems of financial mathematics, namely the equivalence of absence of arbitrage and the existence of a probability measure that makes the price process into a martingale. The model easily extends to the analysis of options pricing when modeling risk management concerns and the impact of spreads and margin requirements for writers of contingent claims. However, we find that arbitrage pricing in incomplete markets fails to model incentives to buy or sell options. An extension of the model to incorporate pre-existing liabilities and endowments reveals the reasons why buyers and sellers trade in options. The model also indicates the importance of financial equilibrium analysis for the understanding of options prices in incomplete markets. Received: June 5, 2000 / Accepted: July 12, 2001?Published online December 6, 2001     

企业经营者股票期权薪酬机制的模型探讨

采用 Black-Scholes期权定价理论 ,建立了激励机制下企业经营者股票期权薪酬机制的分析、操作模型     

基于实物期权的油气开采许可证策略分析

石油与天然气作为我国最重要的矿产资源,其矿权管理采用许可证制度.基于我国的石油与天然气许可证体系结构,分析了石油天然气勘查与开采许可证的实物期权特性,采用实物期权思想对油气勘探开发项目进行战略经济评价,针对传统方法在颁发开采许可证时忽略了时间灵活性价值这一问题,提出了估算颁发开采许可证价值和对投资开发时机进行选择的办法.为资源管理部门和石油公司的决策提供科学依据.最后,应用实物期权法对一个算例进行了分析.     

Power Penalty Method for a Linear Complementarity Problem Arising from American Option Valuation

In this paper, we present a power penalty function approach to the linear complementarity problem arising from pricing American options. The problem is first reformulated as a variational inequality problem; the resulting variational inequality problem is then transformed into a nonlinear parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) by adding a power penalty term. It is shown that the solution to the penalized equation converges to that of the variational inequality problem with an arbitrary order. This arbitrary-order convergence rate allows us to achieve the required accuracy of the solution with a small penalty parameter. A numerical scheme for solving the penalized nonlinear PDE is also proposed. Numerical results are given to illustrate the theoretical findings and to show the effectiveness and usefulness of the method. This work was partially supported by a research grant from the University of Western Australia and the Research Grant Council of Hong Kong, Grants PolyU BQ475 and PolyU BQ493.     

不确定性投资决策中的期权博弈分析

本文应用期权博弈理论方法分析了存在竞争条件下的不确定性投资决策问题.建立了一个对称双寡头模型,用实物期权方法计算了模型中的领先者、跟随者和同时投资者的价值函数和投资临界点.     

On the asymptotic free boundary for the American put option problem

In practical work with American put options, it is important to be able to know when to exercise the option, and when not to do so. In computer simulation based on the standard theory of geometric Brownian motion for simulating stock price movements, this problem is fairly easy to handle for options with a short lifespan, by analyzing binomial trees. It is considerably more challenging to make the decision for American put options with long lifespan. In order to provide a satisfactory analysis, we look at the corresponding free boundary problem, and show that the free boundary—which is the curve that separates the two decisions, to exercise or not to—has an asymptotic expansion, where the coefficient of the main term is expressed as an integral in terms of the free boundary. This raises the perspective that one could use numerical simulation to approximate the integral and thus get an effective way to make correct decisions for long life options.