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91.
In participating life insurance, management decisions regarding the asset composition can substantially impact the value of a policy from the policyholders’ perspective as well as the insurer’s risk situation. Due to the long-term guarantees often embedded in these contracts, life insurers typically invest a considerable portion of their capital in long-term assets such as corporate and government bonds. Besides interest rate risk, the value of these bond investments is thus particularly influenced by credit risk. Thus, the aim of this paper is to examine the impact of market risk associated with the asset composition on fair valuation and risk assessment with focus on credit risk and its interaction with equity risk and interest rate risk. Our analysis emphasizes that the consideration of credit risk associated with bonds has a strong impact on the fair valuation and risk measurement in the context of participating life insurance contracts, even in case of higher grade bond exposures. 相似文献
92.
Some research on cyber risk has been conducted in the field of information technology, but virtually no research exists in the actuarial domain. As a first step toward a more profound actuarial discussion, we use multidimensional scaling and goodness-of-fit tests to analyze the distribution of data breach information. Our results show that different types of data breaches need to be modeled as distinct risk categories. For severity modeling, the log-skew-normal distribution provides promising results. The findings add to the recent discussion on the use of skewed distributions in actuarial modeling (Vernic, 2006; Bolancé et al., 2008; Eling, 2012). Moreover, they provide useful insights for actuaries working on the implementation of cyber insurance policies. We illustrate the usefulness of our results in two applications on risk measurement and pricing. 相似文献
93.
94.
WANG Ling-ling DU Zhen-wu LIU Jia-nan WU Mei SONG Yang JIANG Ri-hua ZHANG Gui-zhen 《高等学校化学研究》2012,28(2)
We observed the polymorphism distribution and coaction of uncoupling protein 3(UCP3)-55C/T,adiponectin(APN)+45T/G and tumor necrosis factor(TNF)-a-308G/A on the onset and development of T2DM in a North... 相似文献
95.
In this paper we study a family of stochastic orders of random variables defined via the comparison of their percentile residual life functions. Some interpretations of these stochastic orders are given, and various properties of them are derived. The relationships to other stochastic orders are also studied. Finally, some applications in reliability theory and finance are described. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
96.
This article considers a Markov-dependent risk model with a constant dividend barrier. A system of integro-differential equations with boundary conditions satisfied by the expected discounted penalty function, with given initial environment state, is derived and solved. Explicit formulas for the discounted penalty function are obtained when the initial surplus is zero or when all the claim amount distributions are from rational family. In two state model, numerical illustrations with exponential claim amounts are given. 相似文献
97.
Let F be a distribution function (d.f.) on [0, ) with finite first moment m >0. We define the integrated tail distribution function F
1 of F by F
1(t)=m-1
0
t
(1- F(u))du, t0. In this paper, we obtain sufficient conditions under which implications FSF
1S and F
1S FS hold, where S is the class of subexponential distributions. 相似文献
98.
In this paper, we derive a stochastic model for the HIV epidemic in homosexual populations involving age and race. To account for effects of different mixing patterns, a low risk selection rule is introduced. The model is then formulated in terms of chain multinomial distributions by means of which the means are derived. Some simulation studies by computer indicate clearly that age and race have a significant impact on the HIV epidemic. 相似文献
99.
M. Nussbaum 《Journal of multivariate analysis》1984,14(3):300-314
We consider estimation of the parameter B in a multivariate linear functional relationship Xi=ξi+ξ1i, Yi=Bξi+ξ2i, i=1,…,n, where the errors (ζ1i′, ζ2i′) are independent standard normal and (ξi, i
) is a sequence of unknown nonrandom vectors (incidental parameters). If there are no substantial a priori restrictions on the infinite sequence of incidental parameters then asymptotically the model is nonparametric but does not fit into common settings presupposing a parameter from a metric function space. A special result of the local asymptotic minimax type for the m.1.e. of B is proved. The accuracy of the normal approximation for the m.l.e. of order n−1/2 is also established. 相似文献
100.
Jan Grandell 《Stochastic Processes and their Applications》1979,8(3):243-255
We consider the classical model for an insurance business where the claims occur according to a Poisson process and where the distribution for the cost of each claim fulfills Cramér's tail-condition. Under these conditions Lundberg's constant R is of fundamental importance for ruin calculations.We derive estimates of R, based on an observation of the insurance business and investigate the statistical properties of those estimates. We further derive bounds and confidence intervals for ruin probabilities. 相似文献