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11.
12.
传统理论认为个体是风险厌恶的,展望理论提出个体是损失厌恶的,对于损失的感受程度比赢得要强烈得多。本文通过实验表明,大部分个体对于股票投资是风险追求,而不是风险厌恶的,而且在两个参考点之外的区间个体更偏好风险,而在两个参考点之内的区间对风险的偏好程度相对要小。 相似文献
13.
We present a general risk model where the aggregate claims, as well as the premium function, evolve by jumps. This is achieved by incorporating a Lévy process into the model. This seeks to account for the discrete nature of claims and asset prices. We give several explicit examples of Lévy processes that can be used to drive a risk model. This allows us to incorporate aggregate claims and premium fluctuations in the same process. We discuss important features of such processes and their relevance to risk modeling. We also extend classical results on ruin probabilities to this model. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
14.
带息力更新风险模型的一个极值分布 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文讨论了带息力的更新风险模型,得到了破产前最大盈余分布的递推公式,且在此基础上还给出了它满足的积分方程. 相似文献
15.
带干扰的Erlang(2)风险模型的不破产概率 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文讨论了带干扰的Erlang(2)风险模型,通过构造一个延迟更新过程,我们得到了不破产概率满足的积分-微分方程,进而得到了不破产概率的明确表达式. 相似文献
16.
相关系数与相关性度量 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
研究了度量相关性的两个主要工具:线性相关系数和尾部相关系数.线性相关系数反映了变量间的线性相关性,这对于一般的椭圆型分布是合适的.但如果随机变量具有不对称的尾部变化特征时,要用尾部相关系数描述它们之间的相关性.通过相关函数C opu la,对沪深股市的尾部相关系数进行了定量分析.结果表明:沪深股市具有较强的相关性. 相似文献
17.
We consider a trader who wants to direct his or her portfolio towards a set of acceptable wealths given by a convex risk measure. We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm, whose inputs are the joint law of stock prices and the convex risk measure, and whose outputs are the numerical values of initial capital requirement and the functional form of a trading strategy for achieving acceptability. We also prove optimality of the capital obtained. Explicit theoretical evaluations of hedging strategies are extremely difficult, and we avoid the problem by resorting to such computational methods. The main idea is to utilize the finite Vapnik–C?ervonenkis dimension of a class of possible strategies. 相似文献
18.
Roberto D. Galvão Luis Gonzalo Acosta Espejo Brian Boffey 《Annals of Operations Research》2006,143(1):31-44
A study has been carried out aimed at reducing perinatal mortality in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro through a better
distribution of health care facilities. The algorithmic aspects are detailed elsewhere and here the emphasis is on practical
issues and difficulties encountered.
A 3-level hierarchical model was developed. Both uncapacitated and capacitated versions are briefly described together with
some results based on actual data. The project brought to light many contradictions between OR theory and practice in developing
countries and, unfortunately, the models developed were not implemented by the municipality health authorities. Possible reasons
for this outcome are analysed. 相似文献
19.
Based on the matrix-analytic approach to fluid flows initiated by Ramaswami, we develop an efficient time dependent analysis
for a general Markov modulated fluid flow model with a finite buffer and an arbitrary initial fluid level at time 0. We also
apply this to an insurance risk model with a dividend barrier and a general Markovian arrival process of claims with possible
dependencies in successive inter-claim intervals and in claim sizes. We demonstrate the implementability and accuracy of our
algorithms through a set of numerical examples that could also serve as test cases for comparing other solution approaches.
相似文献
20.
Stathis Chadjiconstantinidis 《Insurance: Mathematics and Economics》2007,41(1):41-52
We obtain lower and upper bounds for the severity of ruin in the renewal (Sparre Andersen) model of risk theory. We present two types of bounds: (i) bounds applicable generally; and (ii) exponential bounds for the case where the adjustment coefficient of the risk process exists. Many of these bounds are obtained using existing bounds and the integral equation for the severity of ruin. 相似文献