Error analysis: a tool for selecting travel demand models

In developing travel demand models it is generally assumed that the base-year data used in developing the parameters, as well as the forecasted data to be used as independent variables for the design year, are of acceptable quality. The purpose of this paper is to present the application of error propagation theory in assesing the predictive quality of one type of travel demand forecasting model (multinomial logit models) and to demonstrate how error considerations can be used as a tool for identifying the optimal model. The general conclusions of this study are that: (1) it is indeed possible to quantify errors in dependent variables in logit models as a consequence of errors in independent variables; and (2) error consideration can be used as a tool for identifying the optimal model from a set of candidate models. Further research is recommended to develop better insights into the phenomenon of error propagation so that the consideration of errors can be a factor in decisions on model selection.     

Impact of particle size on conductivity and storage capacity as derived from the core–space charge model

The impact of interfaces on variety of materials properties scales with the density of interfaces within a material. This statement holds true independent of the specific interfacial mechanism, as long as the density of interfaces is rather low. If the spacing between interfaces is being further reduced, interesting non-trivial effects are expected and have also been observed. In this paper, the ionic conductivity in ionic conductors and the storage capacity (non-stoichiometry) of mixed conductors as a function of size are considered. The discussion is based on the core–space charge model in which we assume that only the core of an interface exhibits its own defect energetics, while the energetics of the space charge layers remain unaltered (compared to the bulk). It is shown that in the case of Schottky profiles anomalous conductivity effects are predicted. As regards the non-stoichiometry effects, it is demonstrated that at sizes small compared to the Debye length the difference between a composite consisting of an ionic and an electronic conductor and a «true» mixed conductor becomes blurred. The latter effect has recently been detected in the field of Li-batteries and is here commented on.     

Incubation time based testing of materials

Some principal features of the behavior of materials subjected to pulsed actions are common for a number of seemingly quite different physical processes, such as dynamic fracture (starting cracks and scabbing), cavitation in liquids, and electrical breakdown in solids. In this paper, we analyze examples illustrating typical dynamic effects inherent in these processes. We propose a unified interpretation for the fracture of solids and liquids and electrical breakdown in insulators using the structural-time approach based on the concept of the fracture incubation time. The examples of different physical processes considered in the paper show the fundamental importance of investigating incubation processes preparing abrupt structural changes (fracture and phase transitions) in continua under intense pulsed actions. The fracture incubation time is evidently a universal basic characteristic of the dynamic strength and must become one of the main material parameters to be experimentally determined (measured).     

An analysis of migration paths of Li+ cations in ternary oxygen-containing compounds Li p X q O r

A new method was developed for studying voids and channels in crystal structures based on the Voronoi-Dirichlet partition of crystal space, and 822 structurally characterized ternary compounds Li ^p X ^q O ^r were analyzed for the first time. For these compounds, the dimensionality was determined and the migration patterns of channel systems capable of providing lithium-ion transport were constructed. The calculated coordinates of lithium atoms in the centers of the voids are consistent (within 0.4 ?) with the known structural data. Among these compounds, 113 compounds have infinite channel systems, 60 compounds (18 structural types, STs) have been described earlier in the literature as solid electrolytes, and 53 compounds (23 STs) can be considered as potential one-, two-, or three-dimensional ionic conductors (13, 3, and 7 STs, respectively). Original Russian Text ? N.A. Anurova, V.A. Blatov, G.D. Ilyushin, O.A. Blatova, A.K. Ivanov-Shitz, L.N. Dem’yanets, 2008, published in Kristallografiya, 2008, Vol. 53, No. 6, pp. 987–993.     

Buckling of a stiff thin film on a compliant substrate in large deformation

A finite-deformation theory is developed to study the mechanics of thin buckled films on compliant substrates. Perturbation analysis is performed for this highly nonlinear system to obtain the analytical solution. The results agree well with experiments and finite element analysis in wavelength and amplitude. In particular, it is found that the wavelength depends on the strain. Based on the accurate wavelength and amplitude, the membrane and peak strains in thin films, and stretchability and compressibility of the system are also obtained analytically.     

Multi-layer thin films/substrate system subjected to non-uniform misfit strains

Current methodologies used for the inference of thin film stress through curvature measurement are strictly restricted to stress and curvature states that are assumed to remain uniform over the entire film/substrate system. These methodologies have recently been extended to a single layer of thin film deposited on a substrate subjected to the non-uniform misfit strain in the thin film. Such methodologies are further extended to multi-layer thin films deposited on a substrate in the present study. Each thin film may have its own non-uniform misfit strain. We derive relations between the stresses in each thin film and the change of system curvatures due to the deposition of each thin film. The interface shear stresses between the adjacent films and between the thin film and the substrate are also obtained from the system curvatures. This provides the basis for the experimental determination of thin film stresses in multi-layer thin films on a substrate.     

复注及多孔注浆理论研究

针对柱面注浆方式，研究了有关渗透注浆的单孔复注及不同方式布孔时多孔注浆的相互影响等问题，推导出一些有价值的岩体注浆理论公式，可用于指导现场注浆工程的设计与施工．     

Determination of flutter derivatives via a neural network approach

A neural-network-based method is offered to determine the flutter derivatives of section models under smooth and turbulent flows. The approach uses the observed dynamic responses to train an appropriate neural network. Subsequently, the modal parameters of the model for different mean velocities of wind flow are directly estimated using weight matrices in the neural network. The flutter derivatives can then be determined accurately. The validity of the present method is verified through numerical studies. Finally, the procedure is employed to process experimental data from an inverted-U-type section model, obtained from wind tunnel tests.