Principal components and spatial patterns of rain over Northern Italy, in relation to wind and geopotential fields

Summary A statistical study of precipitation over the Po Valley and the Alps during four winters, based on the application of a principal component (p.c.) method, exhibited a good correlation between the first three rotated eigenvectors of the cross-product matrix (between time series of data recorded at 70 stations) and three typical atmospheric circulation schemes over Northern Italy. The study is here continued, by relating these results to meteorological fields evaluated over a region wider than the area previously considered. Our attention mainly concentrated on the fields of time trend of geopotential height at 850 hPa over Europe, between latitude 34.5 and 51 degrees North and longitudes 0 and 21 degrees East. This was suggested by some peculiar relationships shown by the statistical distributions of geopotential height and wind direction and speed with respect to the first three p.c.’s. These relationships made us think of the possibility to use those trends as predictors of precipitation fields. Our analysis puts into evidence that three spatial patterns of geopotential, height time trend can be safely associated to the first three p.c.’s and, as a consequence, to the three precipitation modes corresponding to the spatial distributions of the eigenvectors, previously identified by us. They can therefore be considered meaningful precursors of precipitation field patterns over Northern Italy and Alpine regions.

---

Riassunto Uno studio statistico della precipitazione sulla pianura padana e sulle Alpi durante quattro inverni, basato sull’applicazione del metodo delle componenti principali (c.p.), ha mostrato una buona correlazione fra i primi tre autovettori rotati della matrice dei prodotti incrociati (fra le serie temporali dei dati registrati in 70 stazioni) e tre tipici schemi di circolazione atmosferica sull’Italia del Nord. Lo studio viene qui prosequito, mettendo in relazione tali risultati con campi meteorologici valutati su una zona piú ampia di quella precedentemente considerata. La nostra attenzione si è prevalentemente concentrata sui campi di tendenza temporale dell’altezza di geopotenziale a 850 hPa sull’Europa, a latitudini comprese tra 34.5 e 51 gradi Nord e longitudini fra 0 e 21 gradi Est. Ciò è stato suggerito da alcune relazioni peculiari mostrate dalle distribuzioni statistiche di altezza di geopotenziale e di direzione ed intensità del vento rispetto alle prime tre c.p., che ci hanno fatto pensare alla possibilità di usare tali tendenze come predittori del campo di precipitazione. La nostra analisi ha messo in evidenza il fatto che tre distribuzioni spaziali di tendenza temporale del campo di altezza di geopotenziale possono essere con sicurezza associate alle prime tre c.p. e., quindi, ai tre modi di precipitazione corrispondenti alle distribuzioni spaziali degli autovettori precedentemente da noi identificati. Essi possono pertanto essere considerati significativi precursori del campo di precipitazione sull’Italia del Nord e sulle regioni alpine.

---

Резюме Статистическое исследование выпадения осадков над долиной реки По и Альпами в течение четырех зим, основанное на применении метода главных компонент, обнаруживает хорошую корреляцию между первыми тремя вращающимися собственными векторами матрицы векторного произведения (между временными последовательностями данных, зарегистрированных на 70 станциях) и тремя схемами типичной атмосферной циркуляции над Северной Италией. В этой работе продолжены исследования. Полученные результаты связывайотся с метеорологическими полями, вычисленными над областью, которая шире ранее рассмотренной области. Главное внимание мы обращаем на поля временного хода для геопотенциальной высоты при 850гПа над Европой, между 34.5^щ и 51^щ северной широты и между 0^щ и 21^щ восточной долготы. Это следует из специальных соотношений, полученных с помощью статистических распределений геопотенциальной высоты и направления и скорости ветра относительно первых трех главных компонент. Эти соотношения позволяют нам использовать исследованные тенденции, как предсказатели полей вьшадения осадков. Нам анализ подтверждает, что три пространственным распределения временного хода для геопотенциальной высоты могут быть связаны с первыми тремя главными компонентами и, как следствие, с тремя моделями выцадения осадков, которые соответствуют пространственным распределениям собственных векторов, ранее идентифицированных в работе [Ш]. Следовательно, они могут рассматриватяся как предвестники для распределений полей осадков над Северной Италией и над Альпами.

     

Synthesis and characteristics of NiO nanoparticles by thermal decomposition of nickel dimethylglyoximate rods

Arrays of NiO nanoparticles have been synthesized via thermal decomposition of nickel dimethylglyoximate precursor. The structure, morphology and properties of the products were characterized by XRD, TEM, SAED and UV-vis spectrophotometry. TEM reveals that one-dimensional arrays consist of NiO nanoparticles. XRD and SAED indicate that these NiO nanoparticles crystallize with a polycrystalline structure. The optical absorption band gap of NiO nanoparticles is 3.51 eV.     

The evidential reasoning approach for MADA under both probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties

Many multiple attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems are characterised by both quantitative and qualitative attributes with various types of uncertainties. Incompleteness (or ignorance) and vagueness (or fuzziness) are among the most common uncertainties in decision analysis. The evidential reasoning (ER) approach has been developed in the 1990s and in the recent years to support the solution of MADA problems with ignorance, a kind of probabilistic uncertainty. In this paper, the ER approach is further developed to deal with MADA problems with both probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainties.In this newly developed ER approach, precise data, ignorance and fuzziness are all modelled under the unified framework of a distributed fuzzy belief structure, leading to a fuzzy belief decision matrix. A utility-based grade match method is proposed to transform both numerical data and qualitative (fuzzy) assessment information of various formats into the fuzzy belief structure. A new fuzzy ER algorithm is developed to aggregate multiple attributes using the information contained in the fuzzy belief matrix, resulting in an aggregated fuzzy distributed assessment for each alternative. Different from the existing ER algorithm that is of a recursive nature, the new fuzzy ER algorithm provides an analytical means for combining all attributes without iteration, thus providing scope and flexibility for sensitivity analysis and optimisation. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the detailed implementation process of the new ER approach and its validity and wide applicability.     

Completeness and unbiased estimation of mean vector in the multivariate group sequential case

We consider estimation after a group sequential test about a multivariate normal mean, such as a χ² test or a sequential version of the Bonferroni procedure. We derive the density function of the sufficient statistics and show that the sample mean remains to be the maximum likelihood estimator but is no longer unbiased. We propose an alternative Rao-Blackwell type unbiased estimator. We show that the family of distributions of the sufficient statistic is not complete, and there exist infinitely many unbiased estimators of the mean vector and none has uniformly minimum variance. However, when restricted to truncation-adaptable statistics, completeness holds and the Rao-Blackwell estimator has uniformly minimum variance.     

�۱��ƫ��������ˮ��������ǿ�����������о�

By using Fluent software with the Eulerian multiphase model and Non-equilibrium boiling model, the subcooled flow boiling heat transfers was numerically simulated in the plain upward vertical tubes under the condition of one-side heating. The influences of the different mass flux, inlet temperatures and heat flux on the heat transfer coefficient, the void fraction and heat transfer deterioration were investigated.     

Facile route to high-density, ordered ZnO nanowire arrays and their photoluminescence properties

A simple template-directed wet chemistry route based on traditional thermal decomposition technique has been developed for the preparation of high-density, ordered ZnO nanowire arrays. The fabrication was performed at relative low temperature without involving complex procedures, sophisticated equipment and rigorous experiment conditions, thereby providing a straightforward and mild method to produce metal/metal oxide ordered nanostructures. The nanowire array system was evaluated by SEM, XRD, TEM and PL. A stable luminescence at 425 nm was present.     

Effect of a low magnetic field on crystallinity and magnetic susceptibility of molecular magnet {NBu4[FeCr(ox)3]}x (NBu4=tetra( n-butyl) ammonium ion; ox=oxalate ion)

Molecular magnet {NBu₄[Fe Cr(ox)₃]}_x (NBu₄⁺=tetra(n-buty1) ammonium ion; ox²⁻=oxalate ion) was synthesized under an applied low magnetic field of 0.3 T in comparison to that synthesized without a field. Their crystallinities, morphologies and magnetic properties were characterized by using the X-ray diffractionmeter, the transmission electron microscope, and a superconducting quantum interference device. It is found that the average size of particles synthesized under the applied field appears larger than that synthesized without a field. Moreover, its crystallinity, morphology and magnetic susceptibility have also been improved. However, its chemical structure and ferromagnetic phase transition temperature T_c do not change. Possible reasons to explain this effect are also discussed.     

Overgroups of SU(n,K, f) or Ω(n,K, Q) in GL(n,K)

All the overgroups of SU(n, K, f) or (n, K, Q) in GL(n, K) are determined, for arbitrary division rings K and arbitrary forms f or Q with positive Witt indices.     

Preparation and optical properties of Eu(III) complexes J-aggregate formed on the surface of silver nanoparticles

Ag colloidal nanoparticles coated with Eu(TTA)₃ · 2H₂O complexes were prepared, and it was found that Eu(TTA)₃ · 2H₂O complexes J-aggregate was formed on the surface of Ag nanoparticles according to a red shift (18.2 nm) in UV–Vis spectra. However, there had similar excitation wavelength, which was attributed to existence of Ag nanoparticles. Highly luminescent properties of Ag colloidal nanoparticles were observed, and it was believed to result from low energy transfer between Eu(III) complexes and Ag and the large electromagnetic field arising from the excitation of surface plasmon polariton of Ag nanoparticles.