一类多维指数分布的参数估计

考虑生存函数为(F)(x1,x2,…,xn)=P{X1＞x1,…,Xn＞xn}=exp{-[n∑i=1(xi/θi)1/δ]δ}(0＜xi＜∞,0＜δ≤ 1,0＜θi＜∞,i=(1,n))的一类多维指数分布,给出了它的密度函数的表示式,并讨论了它的性质.提出了相关参数δ的估计(^δ),证明了(^δ)有相合性和渐近正态性,得到了(^δ)的渐近方差σ2δ.最后还给出了若干随机模拟的结果.     

说说我们的家园——地球的命运

国人大概都知道杞人忧天的故事．相传战国时列御寇所撰《列子》一书中的《天瑞》篇载有“杞国有人，忧天地崩坠，身亡所寄，废寝食者”；唐朝大诗人李白《梁甫吟》一诗中也提到这件事：“白日不照吾精诚，杞国无事忧天倾”；清李汝珍所著《镜花缘》第二十七回也有言：“杞人忧天，伯虑愁眠”．说的都是古时候杞国有个人，老爱瞎操心，明明不用担忧的事情，他也是不放心，特别是害怕天会塌下来，弄得自己无处安身．     

Quadratic data envelopment analysis

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) offers a piece-wise linear approximation of the production frontier. The approximation tends to be poor if the true frontier is not concave, eg in case of economies of scale or of specialisation. To improve the flexibility of the DEA frontier and to gain in empirical fit, we propose to extend DEA towards a more general piece-wise quadratic approximation, called Quadratic Data Envelopment Analysis (QDEA). We show that QDEA gives statistically consistent estimates for all production frontiers with bounded Hessian eigenvalues. Our Monte-Carlo simulations suggest that QDEA can substantially improve efficiency estimation in finite samples relative to standard DEA models.     

A Language for Teaching Discrete-event Simulation

Courses which teach discrete-event simulation are based on many different simulation languages. The requirements for a language to support teaching simulation are discussed. In particular, it is recommended that such languages separate into distinct modules those aspects of simulation which are taught as separate topics. Implementation of the separation is discussed. The SEESIM language, developed as a teaching aid, is described, and examples of its use are given. Straightforward use of SEESIM can be learned quickly, yet the language provides facilities for a staged introduction to advanced concepts of simulation.     

The study and applications of photochemical-dynamical gravity wave model I

A two-dimensional, nonlinear, compressible, diabatic, nonhydrostatic photochemical-dynamical gravity wave model has been advanced. The model includes diabetic process produced by photochemistry and the effect of gravity wave on atmospheric chemical species. In the horizontal direction, the pseudospectral method is used. The finite difference approximations are used in vertical direction z and time t. The FICE method is used to solve the model. The model results on small amplitude fluctuation are very close to those of linear theory, which demonstrates the correctness of the model.

     

Concentration-cancellation for the velocity fields in two dimensional incompressible fluid flows

We show that the weak-L ² limit of a sequence of solutions of the two dimensional incompressible Euler equation is still a solution, provided that a (strong) concentration set for the reduced defect measure has locally finite one dimensional Hausdorff measure in space and time.     

科学和艺术

科学与完美是不是一致的？科学家们是否有权使用完美这个词？至少，对于物理学家和数学家来说答案是肯定的“是”．2002年，温伯格（Steven Weinberg）写道：“近代物理学的一些重要方程式是科学知识的永久部分，甚至比它们较早出现的美丽大教堂还要经久不衰．”1960年代，狄拉克（Paul A．M．Dirac）有句名言：“完整的方程式之完美较之它们适合实验结果更为重要．”1965年诺贝尔物理学奖获得者费因曼（Richard P．Feynman）也坚信他提出的一项理论，即使该理论显得与实验数据有矛盾．1957年，他写道：“理论是优雅和完美的，重大事件是短暂的闪光．”