Chinese regional energy efficiency change and its determinants analysis: Malmquist index and Tobit model

China becomes the largest energy consumer in 2010 but its energy productivity is well below the world average. To meet China’s fast growing energy using, energy efficiency should be especially emphasized under China’s energy policy. This paper focuses on the regional level of energy efficiency change in China. And we analyze total factor energy efficiency for 30 Chinese provinces over the period 1998–2009 using Malmquist index method and Tobit analysis. The Malmquist estimation results suggest there is a dropping change trend of energy productivity growth. Chinese energy efficiency still faces with huge regional disparity, but the energy technical efficiency reflects convergence in the nationwide and west region. As a result of Tobit regression, we find that industrial structure, energy consumption structure and institutional factor have different influences on energy efficiency.     

Almost Sure Approximation of the Superposition of the Random Processes

This article presents sufficient conditions, which provide almost sure (a.s.) approximation of the superposition of the random processes S(N(t)), when càd-làg random processes S(t) and N(t) themselves admit a.s. approximation by a Wiener or stable Lévy processes. Such results serve as a source of numerous strong limit theorems for the random sums under various assumptions on counting process N(t) and summands. As a consequence we obtain a number of results concerning the a.s. approximation of the Kesten–Spitzer random walk, accumulated workload input into queuing system, risk processes in the classical and renewal risk models with small and large claims and use such results for investigation the growth rate and fluctuations of the mentioned processes.     

Penultimate Approximations in Statistics of Extremes and Reliability of Large Coherent Systems

In reliability theory any coherent system can be represented as either a series-parallel or a parallel-series system. Its lifetime can thus be written as the minimum of maxima or the maximum of minima. For large-scale coherent systems it is sensible to assume that the number of system components goes to infinity. Then, the possible non-degenerate extreme value laws either for maxima or for minima are eligible candidates for the system reliability or at least for the finding of adequate lower and upper bounds for the reliability. The identification of the possible limit laws for the system reliability of homogeneous series-parallel (or parallel-series) systems has already been done under different frameworks. However, it is well-known that in most situations such non-degenerate limit laws are better approximated by an adequate penultimate distribution. Dealing with regular and homogeneous parallel-series systems, we assess both theoretically and through Monte-Carlo simulations the gain in accuracy when a penultimate approximation is used instead of the ultimate one.     

Stochastic Equations and Inclusions with Mean Derivatives and Some Applications

The paper is devoted to a brief introduction into the theory of equations and inclusions with mean derivatives and to investigation of a special type of such inclusions called inclusions of geometric Brownian motion type. The existence of optimal solutions maximizing some cost criteria, is proved.     

Estimation Problems for Periodically Correlated Isotropic Random Fields

Spectral theory of isotropic random fields in Euclidean space developed by M. I. Yadrenko is exploited to find a solution to the problem of optimal linear estimation of the functional

$$ A\zeta ={\sum\limits_{t=0}^{\infty}}\,\,\,{\int_{S_n}} \,\,a(t,x)\zeta (t,x)\,m_n(dx) $$

which depends on unknown values of a periodically correlated (cyclostationary with period T) with respect to time isotropic on the sphere S _n in Euclidean space E ⁿ random field ζ(t, x), t?∈?Z, x?∈?S _n . Estimates are based on observations of the field ζ(t, x)?+?θ(t, x) at points (t, x), t?=???1,???2, ..., x?∈?S _n , where θ(t, x) is an uncorrelated with ζ(t, x) periodically correlated with respect to time isotropic on the sphere S _n random field. Formulas for computing the value of the mean-square error and the spectral characteristic of the optimal linear estimate of the functional Aζ are obtained. The least favourable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functional Aζ are determined for some special classes of spectral densities.

     

Using a cognitive architecture with a physiological substrate to represent effects of a psychological stressor on cognition

Adding a physiological representation to a cognitive architecture offers an attractive approach to modeling the effects of stress on cognition. We introduce ACT-R/Φ, an extended version of the ACT-R cognitive architecture that includes an integrative model of physiology. The extension allows the representation of how physiology and cognition interact. This substrate was used to represent potential effects of a startle response and task-based stress during a mental arithmetic (subtraction) task. We compare predictions from two models loaded into the new hybrid architecture to models previously developed within ACT-R. General behavior differed between models in that the ACT-R/Φ models had dynamic declarative memory noise over the course of the task based on varying epinephrine levels. They attempted more subtractions but were less accurate; this more closely matched human performance than the previous ACT-R models. Using ACT-R/Φ allows a more tractable integration of current physiological and cognitive perspectives on stress. ACT-R/Φ also permits further exploration of the interaction between cognition and physiology, and the emergent effects on behavior caused by the interaction among physiological subsystems. This extension is useful for anyone exploring how the human mind can occur in and be influenced by the physical universe.     

Deformations of Charged Axially Symmetric Initial Data and the Mass–Angular Momentum–Charge Inequality

We show how to reduce the general formulation of the mass–angular momentum–charge inequality, for axisymmetric initial data of the Einstein–Maxwell equations, to the known maximal case whenever a geometrically motivated system of equations admits a solution. It is also shown that the same reduction argument applies to the basic inequality yielding a lower bound for the area of black holes in terms of mass, angular momentum, and charge. This extends previous work by the authors (Cha and Khuri, Ann Henri Poincaré, doi: 10.1007/s00023-014-0332-6, arXiv:1401.3384, 2014), in which the role of charge was omitted. Lastly, we improve upon the hypotheses required for the mass–angular momentum–charge inequality in the maximal case.     

Synthesis of amphidinolide Y precursors

The Negishi coupling between a chiral C3 synthon and an iodoalkene arising from 3-butyn-1-ol, which gave the C3–C9 fragment of amphidinolide Y, was the starting point of a formal total synthesis of this marine natural product. By means of Sharpless ADH and TADDOL-mediated crotylation, the full western fragment (C1–C11) was obtained, which was coupled with the eastern fragment (3-hydroxyoxolane derivative). The penultimate step (ring-closing metathesis, with G-II, H–G-II, or Nitro-Grela reagents, under several conditions) posed great difficulties. The cyclization was achieved with 15c (7,9-bis-O-TES) and 15d (7-O-TES, 9-O-TBS); more than stoichiometric amounts of the H–G-II Ru complex were required for complete conversion.     

Development and characterization of a small electromembrane extraction probe coupled with mass spectrometry for real-time and online monitoring of in vitro drug metabolism

A small and very simple electromembrane extraction probe (EME-probe) was developed and coupled directly to electrospray ionization mass spectrometry (ESI-MS), and this system was used to monitor in real time in vitro metabolism by rat liver microsomes of drug substances from a small reaction (incubation) chamber (37 °C). The drug-related substances were continuously extracted from the 1.0 mL metabolic reaction mixture and into the EME-probe by an electrical potential of 2.5 V. The extraction probe consisted of a 1-mm long and 350-μm ID thin supported liquid membrane (SLM) of 2-nitrophenyl octyl ether. The drugs and formed metabolites where extracted through the SLM and directly into a 3 μL min^?1 flow of 60 mM HCOOH inside the probe serving as the acceptor solution. The acceptor solution was directed into the ESI-MS-system, and the MS continuously monitored the drug-related substances extracted by the EME-probe. The extraction efficiency of the EME-probe was dependant on the applied electrical potential and the length of the SLM, and these parameters as well as the volume of the reaction chamber were set to the values mentioned above to avoid serious depletion from the reaction chamber (soft extraction). Soft extraction was mandatory in order not to affect the reaction kinetics by sample composition changes induced by the EME-probe. The EME-probe/MS-system was used to establish kinetic profiles for the in vitro metabolism of promethazine, amitriptyline and imipramine as model substances.