Fuzzy periodic review system with fuzzy random variable demand

In this paper, a periodic review inventory system has been analyzed in a mixed imprecise and uncertain environment where fuzziness and randomness appear simultaneously. A model has been developed with customer demand assumed to be a fuzzy random variable. The lead-time has been assumed to be a constant. The lead-time demand and the lead-time plus one period’s demand have also been assumed to be fuzzy random variables. A methodology has been developed to determine the optimal inventory level and the optimal period of review such that the total expected annual cost in the fuzzy sense is minimized. A numerical example has been presented to illustrate the model.     

A multi-objective wholesaler–retailers inventory-distribution model with controllable lead-time based on probabilistic fuzzy set and triangular fuzzy number

This paper develops a single wholesaler and multi retailers mixture inventory distribution model for a single item involving controllable lead-time with backorder and lost sales. The retailers purchase their items from the wholesaler in lots at some intervals throughout the year to meet the customers’ demand. Not to loose the demands, the retailers offer a price discount to the customers on the stock-out items. Here, it is assumed that the lead-time demands of retailers are uncertain in both stochastic and fuzzy sense, i.e., these are simultaneously random and imprecise. To implement this behavior of the lead-time demands, at first, these demands are assumed to be random, say following a normal distribution. With these random demands, the expected total cost for each retailer is obtained. Now, the mean lead-time demands (which are crisp ones) of the retailers are fuzzified. This fuzzy nature of the lead-time demands implies that the annual average demands of the retailers must be fuzzy numbers, suppose these are triangular fuzzy numbers. Using signed distance technique for defuzzification, the estimate of total costs for each retailer is derived. Therefore, the problem is reduced to optimize the crisp annual costs of wholesaler and retailers separately. The multi-objective model is solved using Global Criteria method. Numerical illustrations have been made with the help of an example taking two retailers into consideration. Mathematical analyses have been made for global pareto-optimal solutions of the multi-objective optimization problem. Sensitivity analyses have been made on backorder ratio and pareto-optimal solutions for wholesaler and different retailers are compared graphically.     

Setup cost reduction in (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Q,r</Emphasis>) policy with lot size,setup time and lead-time interactions

It is often assumed in most deterministic and stochastic inventory models that lead-time is a given parameter and the optimal operating policy is determined on the basis of this unrealistic assumption. However, the manufacturing lead-time is made up of several components (moving time, waiting time, setup time, lot size, and rework time) most of which should be treated as controllable variables. In this paper the effect of setup cost reduction is addressed in a stochastic continuous review inventory system with lead-time depending on lot size and setup time. An efficient iterative procedure is developed to determine the near optimal lot size, reorder point and setup time. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is carried out to assess the cost savings that can be realised by investing in setup.     

模糊随机需求的连续盘点存储策略研究

考虑到需求的模糊随机性,建立模糊随机需求情况下连续盘点存储策略的模糊随机成本模型。利用模糊随机变量的期望值理论,推导出了其成本期望值模型的解析表达式,进而给出了最优再订货点所属区间的判别条件以及最优再订货点和经济订货量的计算式;基于此,设计了一模糊随机需求的连续盘点最优存储策略算法。最后结合数值算例,分析了模糊随机需求概率分布及缺货成本对最优存储策略的影响。     

Fuzzy mixture two warehouse inventory model involving fuzzy random variable lead time demand and fuzzy total demand

This paper considers a two-warehouse fuzzy-stochastic mixture inventory model involving variable lead time with backorders fully backlogged. The model is considered for two cases—without and with budget constraint. Here, lead-time demand is considered as a fuzzy random variable and the total cost is obtained in the fuzzy sense. The total demand is again represented by a triangular fuzzy number and the fuzzy total cost is derived. By using the centroid method of defuzzification, the total cost is estimated. For the case with fuzzy-stochastic budget constraint, surprise function is used to convert the constrained problem to a corresponding unconstrained problem in pessimistic sense. The crisp optimization problem is solved using Generalized Reduced Gradient method. The optimal solutions for order quantity and lead time are found in both cases for the models with fuzzy-stochastic/stochastic lead time and the corresponding minimum value of the total cost in all cases are obtained. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the models and results in both cases are compared.     

A stochastic inventory problem with fuzzy shortage cost

Up to now, many inventory models have been considered in the literature. Some assume stochastic demands and others consider the deterministic case. Though they include a shortage cost due to lost sales, it is usually assumed to be known concretely and a priori. This paper introduces fuzziness of shortage cost explicitly into the classical newsboy problem. That is, we investigate the so-called fuzzy newsboy problem where its shortage cost is vague and given by an L shape fuzzy number. Then the total expected profit function also becomes a fuzzy number. Finally, we find an optimal ordering quantity realizing the fuzzy max order of the profit function (fuzzy min order considering the profit function) and compare it with the optimal ordering quantity of the non-fuzzy newsboy problem.     

Optimal production inventory policy for defective items with fuzzy time period

In this paper, an optimal production inventory model with fuzzy time period and fuzzy inventory costs for defective items is formulated and solved under fuzzy space constraint. Here, the rate of production is assumed to be a function of time and considered as a control variable. Also the demand is linearly stock dependent. The defective rate is taken as random, the inventory holding cost and production cost are imprecise. The fuzzy parameters are converted to crisp ones using credibility measure theory. The different items have the different imprecise time periods and the minimization of cost for each item leads to a multi-objective optimization problem. The model is under the single management house and desired inventory level and product cost for each item are prescribed. The multi-objective problem is reduced to a single objective problem using Global Criteria Method (GCM) and solved with the help of Fuzzy Riemann Integral (FRI) method, Kuhn–Tucker condition and Generalised Reduced Gradient (GRG) technique. In optimum results including production functions and corresponding optimum costs for the different models are obtained and then are presented in tabular forms.     

提前期需求为模糊随机条件下的连续库存补货策略

考虑提前期内需求为模糊随机变量且提前期为可缩短情形下,建立由购买商和供应商所组成的简单供应链连续库存补货策略优化模型,其中订单量、再订货点和提前期为决策变量.首先推导出模糊随机需求条件下购买商和供应链的成本函数,然后,进一步考虑总需求为三角模糊数,推导出供应商、购买商和供应链的模糊成本函数.在此基础上分别从购买商成本最小和供应链成本最小角度对模型进行求解,结合具体算例对模型进行应用分析和比较分析,结果表明模型具有有效性和实用性,并得出如下结论:从购买商本身角度考虑订购策略所产生的供应链成本总是大于从供应链整体角度考虑订货策略所产生的供应链成本,同时从购买商本身角度考虑订货策略所产生的最优订购量、购买商成本低于从供应链整体角度考虑订货策略所产生的最优订购量、购买商成本.     

A two warehouse inventory model for a deteriorating item with partially/fully backlogged shortage and fuzzy lead time

An optimization inventory policy for a deteriorating item with imprecise lead-time, partially/fully backlogged shortages and price dependent demand is developed under two-warehouse system. For display and storage, the retailer hires one warehouse of finite capacity at market place, treated as own warehouse (OW) and another warehouse of large capacity as it may be required at a distance place from the market, treated as rented warehouse (RW). Holding cost at RW decreases with the increase of distance from the market place. Units are transferred from RW to OW in bulk release pattern and sold from OW. Using the nearest interval approximation method the estimated fuzzy average profit function is defuzzified and transformed to multiple crisp objective functions which are solved by Global Criteria Method. The models are illustrated numerically. Sensitivity of the inventory costs on the location of RW has been depicted graphically. Also loss in profit due to deteriorations for both models have been presented.     

An application of Genetic Algorithm in solving an inventory model with advance payment and interval valued inventory costs

The purpose of this research is to solve the mixed integer constrained optimization problem with interval coefficient by a real-coded genetic algorithm (RCGA) with ranking selection, whole arithmetical crossover and non-uniform mutation for non-integer decision variables. In the ranking selection, as well as in finding the best solution in each generation of RCGA, recently developed modified definitions of order relations between interval numbers with respect to decision-making are used. Also, for integer decision variables, new types of crossover and mutation are introduced. This methodology is applied to solve a finite time horizon inventory model with constant lead-time, uniform demand rate and a discount by paying an amount of money in advance. Moreover, different inventory costs are considered to be interval valued. According to the consumption of items during lead-time and reorder level, two cases may arise. For each case, the mathematical model becomes a constrained nonlinear mixed integer problem with interval objective. Our objective is to determine the optimal number of cycles in the finite time horizon, lot-size in each cycle and optimal profit. The model is illustrated with some numerical examples and sensitivity analysis has been done graphically with the variation of different inventory parameters.     

Integrated vendor–buyer cooperative inventory models with controllable lead time and ordering cost reduction

This study deals with the lead time and ordering cost reduction problem in the single-vendor single-buyer integrated inventory model. We consider that buyer lead time can be shortened at an extra crashing cost which depends on the lead time length to be reduced and the ordering lot size. Additionally, buyer ordering cost can be reduced through further investment. Two models are presented in this study. The first model assumes that the ordering cost reduction has no relation to lead time crashing. The second model assumes that the lead time and ordering cost reduction are interacted. An iterative procedure is developed to find the optimal solution and numerical examples are presented to illustrate the results of the proposed models.     

An inventory model for a deteriorating item with displayed stock dependent demand under fuzzy inflation and time discounting over a random planning horizon

An inventory model for a deteriorating item (seasonal product) with linearly displayed stock dependent demand is developed in imprecise environment (involving both fuzzy and random parameters) under inflation and time value of money. It is assumed that time horizon, i.e., period of business is random and follows exponential distribution with a known mean. The resultant effect of inflation and time value of money is assumed as fuzzy in nature. The particular case, when resultant effect of inflation and time value is crisp in nature, is also analyzed. A genetic algorithm (GA) is developed with roulette wheel selection, arithmetic crossover, random mutation. For crisp inflation effect, the total expected profit for the planning horizon is maximized using the above GA to derive optimal inventory decision. On the other hand when inflationary effect is fuzzy then the above expected profit is fuzzy in nature too. Since optimization of fuzzy objective is not well defined, the optimistic/pessimistic return of the expected profit is obtained using possibility/necessity measure of fuzzy event. Fuzzy simulation process is proposed to determine this optimistic/pessimistic return. Finally a fuzzy simulation based GA is developed and is used to maximize the above optimistic/pessimistic return to get optimal decision. The models are illustrated with some numerical examples and some sensitivity analyses have been presented.     

An interactive method for inventory control with fuzzy lead-time and dynamic demand

Normally, the real-world inventory control problems are imprecisely defined and human interventions are often required to solve these decision-making problems. In this paper, a realistic inventory model with imprecise demand, lead-time and inventory costs have been formulated and an inventory policy is proposed to minimize the cost using man–machine interaction. Here, demand increases with time at a decreasing rate. The imprecise parameters of lead-time, inventory costs and demand are expressed through linear/non-linear membership functions. These are represented by different types of membership functions, linear or quadratic, depending upon the prevailing supply condition and marketing environment. The imprecise parameters are first transformed into corresponding interval numbers and then following the interval mathematics, the objective function for average cost is changed into respective multi-objective functions. These functions are minimized and solved for a Pareto-optimum solution by interactive fuzzy decision-making procedure. This process leads to man–machine interaction for optimum and appropriate decision acceptable to the decision maker’s firm. The model is illustrated numerically and the results are presented in tabular forms.     

Integrated inventory problem under trade credit in fuzzy random environment

This paper is concerned with an integrated inventory problem under trade credit where both the demand rate and deteriorating rate are assumed to be uncertain and characterized as fuzzy random variables with known distributions. The objective of this paper is to determine the optimal inventory policy by optimizing simultaneously the replenishment cycle length and trade credit period. At first, three decision criteria are given: (1) expected value criterion, (2) chance-constrained criterion and (3) chance maximization criterion. Then, after building the fuzzy random models based on the above decision criterion, a hybrid intelligent algorithm by integrating fuzzy random simulation and genetic algorithm is employed to deal with these models. At the end, three numerical examples are given to illustrate the benefits of the models and show the effectiveness of the algorithms.     

Dynamic pricing inventory control under fixed cost and lost sales

This paper studies a periodic review pricing and inventory replenishment problem which encounters stochastic demands in multiple periods. In many inventory control problems, the unsatisfied demand is traditionally assumed to be backlogged but in this paper is assumed to be lost. In many practical problems, a consumer who could not buy what he/she wants in one store is not willing to wait until that store restocks it but tries to buy alternatives in other stores. Also, in this paper, the random variable for the demand function is assumed to be general, which means that any probability function for the random variable can be applied to our result. Cost terms consist of the holding cost by the leftover, the shortage cost by lost sales, and the strictly positive fixed ordering cost. The objective of this paper is to dynamically and simultaneously decide the optimal selling price and replenishment in each period by maximizing the expected profit over the finite selling horizon. We show that, under the general assumption on the random variable for the demand, the objective function is K$K$-concave, an (s,S)$(s\text{,}S)$ policy is optimal for the replenishment and the optimal price is determined based on the inventory level after the replenishment in each period.     

A distance-based statistical analysis of fuzzy number-valued data

Real-life data associated with experimental outcomes are not always real-valued. In particular, opinions, perceptions, ratings, etc., are often assumed to be vague in nature, especially when they come from human valuations. Fuzzy numbers have extensively been considered to provide us with a convenient tool to express these vague data. In analyzing fuzzy data from a statistical perspective one finds two key obstacles, namely, the nonlinearity associated with the usual arithmetic with fuzzy data and the lack of suitable models and limit results for the distribution of fuzzy-valued statistics. These obstacles can be frequently bypassed by using an appropriate metric between fuzzy data, the notion of random fuzzy set and a bootstrapped central limit theorem for general space-valued random elements. This paper aims to review these ideas and a methodology for the statistical analysis of fuzzy number data which has been developed along the last years.     

Optimal ordering policies in inventory systems with random demand and random deal offerings

In this paper, we determine the optimal order policies for a firm facing random demand and random deal offerings. In a periodic review setting, a firm may first place an order at the regular price. Later in the period, if a price promotion is offered by the supplier (with a certain probability), the firm may decide to place another order. We consider two models in the paper. In the first model, the firm does not share the cost savings (due to the promotion offered by the supplier) with its own customers, i.e. its demand distribution remains fixed. In the second model, the cost savings are shared with the final customers. As a result, the demand distribution shifts to the right. For both the models, in a dynamic finite-horizon problem, the order policy structure is divided into three regions and is as follows. If the initial inventory level for the firm exceeds a certain threshold level, it is optimal not to order anything. If it is in the medium range, it is optimal to wait for the promotion and order only if it is offered. The order quantity when the promotion is offered has an ‘order up to’ policy structure. Finally, if the inventory level is below another threshold, it is optimal to place an order at the regular price, and to place a second order if the promotion is offered. The low initial inventory level makes it risky to just wait for the promotion to be offered. The sum of the order quantities in this case has an ‘order up to’ structure. Finally, we model the supplier's problem as a Stackelberg game and discuss the motivation for the supplier to offer a promotion for the case of uniform demand distribution for the firm. In the first model (when the firm does not share the cost savings with its customers), we show that it is rarely optimal for the supplier to offer a promotion. In the second model, the supplier may offer a promotion depending on the price elasticity of the product.     

A possibilistic decision model for new product supply chain design

This paper models supply chain (SC) uncertainties by fuzzy sets and develops a possibilistic SC configuration model for new products with unreliable or unavailable SC statistical data. The supply chain is modeled as a network of stages. Each stage may have one or more options characterized by the cost and lead-time required to fulfill required functions and may hold safety stock to prevent an inventory shortage. The objective is to determine the option and inventory policy for each stage to minimize the total SC cost and maximize the possibility of fulfilling the target service level. A fuzzy SC model is developed to evaluate the performance of the entire SC and a genetic algorithm approach is applied to determine near-optimal solutions. The results obtained show that the proposed approach allows decision makers to perform trade-off analysis among customer service levels, product cost, and inventory investment depending on their risk attitude. It also provides an alternative tool to evaluate and improve SC configuration decisions in an uncertain SC environment.     

Time and inventory dependent optimal maintenance policies for single machine workstations: An MDP approach

In this work the problem of obtaining an optimal maintenance policy for a single-machine, single-product workstation that deteriorates over time is addressed, using Markov Decision Process (MDP) models. Two models are proposed. The decision criteria for the first model is based on the cost of performing maintenance, the cost of repairing a failed machine and the cost of holding inventory while the machine is not available for production. For the second model the cost of holding inventory is replaced by the cost of not satisfying the demand. The processing time of jobs, inter-arrival times of jobs or units of demand, and the failure times are assumed to be random. The results show that in order to make better maintenance decisions the interaction between the inventory (whether in process or final), and the number of shifts that the machine has been working without restoration, has to be taken into account. If this interaction is considered, the long-run operational costs are reduced significantly. Moreover, structural properties of the optimal policies of the models are obtained after imposing conditions on the parameters of the models and on the distribution of the lifetime of a recently restored machine.     

Long-term inventory policy-making through fuzzy decision-making models

The inventory policy, meant as a replenishment rule, has a considerable impact on most firms. The paper considers the determination of optimal inventory policy of firms from a global viewpoint of top management. The inventory is represented as a fuzzy system with the fuzzy inventory level as the output, the fuzzy replenishment as the input and fuzzy demand. The control problem is formulated in terms of decision-making in a fuzzy environment with fuzzy constraints imposed on replenishments, a fuzzy goal for preferable inventory levels to be attained and the fuzzy decision as the intersection of fuzzy constraints and the fuzzy goal at subsequent stages. The planning horizon is infinite. The problem is to find an optimal time-invariant strategy relating the optimal replenishments to the current inventory levels, maximizing the membership function of fuzzy decision. The existence of such a strategy is proved and an algorithm for its determination is given. The optimal time-invariant strategy obtained is represented as a fuzzy conditional statement equated with a fuzzy relation which is the firm's optimal fuzzy replenishment rule.