ANALYSIS OF AN SI EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH NONLINEAR TRANSMISSION AND STAGE STRUCTURE

A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are investigated.     

一类具有时滞的生态流行病模型的稳定性与Hopf分支（英文）

In this paper, an eco-epidemiological model with time delay is studied. The local stability of the four equilibria, the existence of stability switches about the predation-free equilibrium and the coexistence equilibrium are discussed. It is found that Hopf bifurcations occur when the delay passes through some critical values. Formulae are obtained to determine the direction of bifurcations and the stability of bifurcating periodic solutions by using the normal form theory and center manifold th...     

Optimal Harvesting and Stability for a Predator-prey System with Stage Structure

The dynamics of a predator-prey system, where prey population has two stages, an immature stage and a mature stage with harvesting, the growth of predator population is of Lotka-Volterra nature, are modelled by a system of retarded functional differential equations. We obtain conditions for global asymptotic stability of three nonnegative equilibria and a threshold of harvesting for the mature prey population. The effect of delay on the population at positive equilibrium and the optimal harvesting of the mature prey population are also considered.     

具有时滞和毒素系统的动力学分析

In this paper, a toxin producing phytoplankton-zooplankton model with inhibitory substrate and time delay is investigated. A discrete time delay is induced to both of the consume response function and distribution of toxic substance term. Moreover, Tissiet type function is used for zooplankton grazing to account for the effect of toxication by the TPP population. The conditions to guarantee the coexistence of two species and stability of coexistence equilibrium are given. In particular, we show that there exist critical values of the delay parameters below which the coexistence equilibrium is stable and above which it is unstable. Hopf bifurcation occurs when the delay parameters cross their critical values. Some numerical simulations are executed to validate the analytical findings.     

Stability and bifurcation analysis of a delayed innovation diffusion model

In this article, a nonlinear mathematical model for innovation diffusion with stage structure which incorporates the evaluation stage(time delay) is proposed. The model is analyzed by considering the effects of external as well as internal influences and other demographic processes such as emigration, intrinsic growth rate, death rate, etc. The asymptotical stability of the various equilibria is investigated. By analyzing the exponential characteristic equation with delay-dependent coefficients obtained through the variational matrix, it is found that Hopf bifurcation occurs when the evaluation period(time delay, τ) passes through a critical value. Applying the normal form theory and the center manifold argument, we derive the explicit formulas determining the properties of the bifurcating periodic solutions. To illustrate our theoretical analysis, some numerical simulations are also included.     

ASYMPTOTICAL ANALYSIS OF A REACTIONDIFFUSION EQUATIONS D-SIS EPIDEMIC MODEL

By monotone methods and invariant region theory,a reaction-diffusion equa- tions D-SIS epidemic model with bilinear rate is studied.The existence and uniqueness of the solution of the model are proved.The basic reproductive number which determines whether the disease is extinct or not is found.The globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are obtained.Some results of the ordinary differential equations model are extended to the present partial differential equations model.     

A Mathematical Model with Delays for Schistosomiasis Japonicum Transmission

A dynamic model of schistosoma japonicum transmission is presented that incorporates effects of the prepatent periods of the different stages of schistosoma into Baxbour＇s model. The model consists of four delay differential equations. Stability of the disease free equilibrium and the existence of an endemic equilibrium for this model are stated in terms of a key threshold parameter. The study of dynamics for the model shows that the endemic equilibrium is globally stable in an open region if it exists and there is no delays, and for some nonzero delays the endemic equilibrium undergoes Hopf bifurcation and a periodic orbit emerges. Some numerical results are provided to support the theoretic results in this paper. These results suggest that prepatent periods in infection affect the prevalence of schistosomiasis, and it is an effective strategy on schistosomiasis control to lengthen in prepatent period on infected definitive hosts by drug treatment （or lengthen in prepatent period on infected intermediate snails by lower water temperature）.     

Reduced differential transform and Sumudu transform methods for solving fractional financial models of awareness

In that paper, we new study has been carried out on previous studies of one of the most important mathematical models that describe the global economic movement, and that is described as a non-linear fractional financial model of awareness, where the studies are represented at the steps following:One:The schematic of the model is suggested. Two:The disease-free equilibrium point (DFE) and the stability of the equilibrium point are discussed.Three:The stability of the model is fulfilled by drawin...     

Influence of noise and delay on reaction-diffusion recurrent neural networks

In this paper, the influence of the noise and delay upon the stability property of reaction-diffusion recurrent neural networks （RNNs） with the time-varying delay is discussed. The new and easily verifiable conditions to guarantee the mean value exponential stability of an equilibrium solution are derived. The rate of exponential convergence can be estimated by means of a simple computation based on these criteria.     

TIME INCONSISTENCY AND REPUTATION IN MONETARY POLICY： A STRATEGIC MODELLING IN CONTINUOUS TIME

This article develops a model to examine the equilibrium behavior of the time inconsistency problem in a continuous time economy with stochastic and endogenized distortion. First, the authors introduce the notion of sequentially rational equilibrium, and show that the time inconsistency problem may be solved with trigger reputation strategies for stochastic setting. The conditions for the existence of sequentially rational equilibrium are provided. Then, the concept of sequentially rational stochastically stable equilibrium is introduced. The authors compare the relative stability between the cooperative behavior and uncooperative behavior, and show that the cooperative equilibrium in this monetary policy game is a sequentially rational stochastically stable equilibrium and the uncooperative equilibrium is sequentially rational stochastically unstable equilibrium. In the long run, the zero inflation monetary policies are inherently more stable than the discretion rules, and once established, they tend to persist for longer periods of the time.     

Mathematical analysis of an eco-epidemiological predator–prey model with stage-structure and latency

In this paper, an eco-epidemiological predator–prey model with stage structure for the prey and a time delay describing the latent period of the disease is investigated. By analyzing corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of the trivial equilibrium, the predator-extinction equilibrium, the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium is addressed. The existence of Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium is established. By using Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle’s invariance principle, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of the trivial equilibrium, the predator-extinction equilibrium, the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium of the model.     

一类捕食者-食饵模型的稳定性及Hopf分支

研究一类具有时滞和阶段结构的捕食模型的稳定性和Hopf分支.以滞量为参数,得到了系统正平衡点的稳定性和Hopf分支存在的充分条件.利用规范型和中心流形定理,给出了确定Hopf分支方向和分支周期解的稳定性的计算公式.     

Dynamical behavior in a stage-structured differential-algebraic prey-predator model with discrete time delay and harvesting

A differential-algebraic model system which considers a prey-predator system with stage structure for prey and harvest effort on predator is proposed. By using the differential-algebraic system theory and bifurcation theory, dynamic behavior of the proposed model system with and without discrete time delay is investigated. Local stability analysis of the model system without discrete time delay reveals that there is a phenomenon of singularity induced bifurcation due to variation of the economic interest of harvesting, and a state feedback controller is designed to stabilize the proposed model system at the interior equilibrium; Furthermore, local stability of the model system with discrete time delay is studied. It reveals that the discrete time delay has a destabilizing effect in the population dynamics, and a phenomenon of Hopf bifurcation occurs as the discrete time delay increases through a certain threshold. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to show the consistency with theoretical analysis obtained in this paper.     

具有阶段结构和时滞的捕食系统

§ 1　IntroductionThe competitive,cooperative and predator-prey models have been studied by many au-thors.[1— 4] The permanence (or strong persistence) and extinction are significant conceptsof those models.However,the stage structure of species has been considered very little.Inthe real world,almost all animals have the stage structure of immature and mature.Re-cently,papers[5— 7] studied the stage structure of species,the transformation rate of ma-ture population is proportional to the ex…     

Dynamics of a ratio‐dependent stage‐structured predator‐prey model with delay

In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of a time‐delay ratio‐dependent predator‐prey model with stage structure for the predator. This predator‐prey system conforms to the realistically biological environment. The existence and stability of the positive equilibrium are thoroughly analyzed, and the sufficient and necessary conditions for the stability and instability of the positive equilibrium are obtained for the case without delay. Then, the influence of delay on the dynamics of the system is investigated using the geometric criterion developed by Beretta and Kuang. 26 We show that the positive steady state can be destabilized through a Hopf bifurcation and there exist stability switches under some conditions. The formulas determining the direction and the stability of Hopf bifurcations are explicitly derived by using the center manifold reduction and normal form theory. Finally, some numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and expand our theoretical results.     

Stability and Hopf bifurcation of a delayed epidemic model with stage structure and nonlinear incidence rate

In this paper, a stage‐structured SI epidemic model with time delay and nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an endemic equilibrium and a disease‐free equilibrium, and the existence of Hopf bifurcations are established. By comparison arguments, it is proved that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, by means of an iteration technique, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

一类含时滞SIS流行病模型的全局稳定性

该文研究了一类含有限分布时滞的SIS流行病模型, 利用李亚普诺夫泛函的方法,得到了地方病平衡点和无病平衡点全局稳定的充要条件. 揭示了时滞对平衡点稳定性的影响 .      

一类具有阶段结构和分布时滞的种群-传染病模型

讨论了一类具有阶段结构和分布时滞的种群-传染病模型.在模型中,假设染病者没有生育能力.通过分析讨论,得到了地方病平衡点存在的阈值条件及平衡点稳定性和持续生存的充分条件.     

Dynamical behavior of a delay virus dynamics model with CTL immune response

In this paper, the dynamical behavior of a virus dynamics model with CTL immune response and time delay is studied. Time delay is used to describe the time between the infected cell and the emission of viral particles on a cellular level. The effect of time delay on stability of the equilibria of the CTL immune response model has been studied and sufficient criteria for local asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium, immune-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium and global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium are given. Some conditions for Hopf bifurcation around immune-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium to occur are also obtained by using the time delay as a bifurcation parameter. Numerical simulation with some hypothetical sets of data has been done to support the analytical findings.     

Stability and Hopf bifurcation of a modified delay predator-prey model with stage structure

In this paper, a modified delay predator-prey model with stage structure is established, which involves the economic factor and internal competition of all the prey and predator populations. By the methods of normal form and characteristic equation, we obtain the stability of the positive equilibrium point and the sufficient condition of the existence of Hopf bifurcation. We analyze the influence of the time delay on the equation and show the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation periodic solution. The simulation gives a visual understanding for the existence and direction of Hopf bifurcation of the model.