上市公司自愿性披露与证券信用关系的实证研究

目前，证券市场对上市公司自愿性披露和信用建设日益重视，因此，对我国上市公司自愿性披露的状况及与公司证券信用的关系的研究，十分具有现实意义。本文抽取沪市60家上市公司作为研究对象，选取20个自愿信息披露评价指标，利用其2004年年报，计算出上市公司自愿性披露指数，并对上市公司自愿披露程度与公司证券信用之间关系进行实证分析。实证结果对证券信用评级参考指标有些启示。     

高新技术上市公司财务特征的实证分析

运用SPSS软件对高新技术企业与非高新技术企业进行财务指标的实证比较研究，得出高新技术上市公司区别于非高新技术上市公司的财务特征，以加强高新技术上市公司的财务冶理。     

中国上市公司资本结构特征分析

本文从中国上市公司平均资产负债表、融资趋势、外部融资来源比较和融资行为等方面对上市公司资本结构特征进行分析。发现中国上市公司资本结构中负债比重偏低，流动负债比重偏高。长期负债比重偏低；中国上市公司过分依赖外部融资，在外部融资中以权益融资为主，存在强烈的股权融资偏好。     

“酒”的活力

2010年的上市公司活力评价即将拉开帷幕，可以预见，在新一期的活力考查中，品牌酒类上市公司将走在稳定增长的路上，而“提价”则是酒类上市公司未来几年的重要活力来源。这既是优质酒类上市公司资本高收益的内在特征，也是引来外部资本追逐的重要原因。     

基于主成分分析的投资决策

本文首先运用多元统计分析中的主成分分析法对上市公司投资价值的多项指标进行了综合聚集，其次在理想点的基础上建立了综合优化决策模型，并对通讯行业上市公司进行了投资分析，从而为管理者和决策者提供了一种科学而合理的决策依据和决策方法。     

上市公司经营业绩的多因素层次模糊评价

本在全面分析上市公司财务报告的基础上，引用模糊数学中的评价方法提出了评价上市公司经营业绩的指标体系，并应用隶属矩阵及其相关概念建立了多因素层次模糊评价模型，进而给出了评价的一般方法，能更客观地评价上市公司的经营业绩。     

中国上市公司资本结构行业差异的实证研究--统计检验、成因分析及合理性研究

本以国内部分上市公司为样本，利用多种统计分析方法从行业差异角度对其资本结构进行实证研究，目的是检验国内上市公司资本结构行业差异的显性，并分析其成因及行业资本结构选择的合理性。研究结果表明：我国不同行业上市公司资本结构存在显差异，且公用事业与其他行业的差异最为突出；行业的竞争程度及风险性、资产结构、资产运营能力及行业的成长性会在较大程度上导致行业差异的存在；我国上市公司普遍存在行业收益风险和资本结构不相匹配的现象。同时提出了有关政策建议。     

“关系”的价值

与2007年股份鸡犬升天完全不同，2008年我国上市公司普遍承受着巨大的压力，上市公司才真正意识到投资者关系管理的价值与意义。     

公司活力三道坎

企业经营是长跑，若以一时一事看上市公司活力评价，有时难免失之偏颇。因此，考查较长时段上市公司活力的演变，分析其中的原因，不仅能够更深入地掌握公司活力的内在规律，亦可以进一步预知未来发展。新理财活力评价专家组研究发现，上市公司活力的提升至少需要迈过三道坎：一是公司治理，二是行业环境，三是资源获取。     

刘国芳：市值管理需要创造性

各位CFO朋友：你们好! 市值管理在中国仍是一个新事物，创造性的市值管理行为还是显得较为罕见。作为上市公司市值管理重要决策人与执行人之一的CFO，如何立足公司自身情况，根据经济、行业和市场环境变化。采取灵活和创造性市值管理措施，无疑对提升上市公司竞争力，实现股东价值最大化，具有重要意义。     

Utilization and maintenance in a model with scrapping

We consider a productive asset, called equipment or capital good, and we examine the properties of, as well as the interactions between, the operating policies, which are determined by its optimal utilization and maintenance, and the capital policy of scrapping, which defines the optimal time when the productive asset is retired from its current use. Starting with an abstract model and using the approach of optimal control, initially we characterize the various types of equipment by assigning to them a single total profit index, which indicates how the above policies affect the flow of operating revenues plus capital gains or losses. This index is a function of market-determined prices. So using it we then investigate how the operating and capital policies are influenced by the rate of discount, the price of new equipment, and the rise or fall of the price of new equipment relative to the value of its output. Among other interesting results, we find that the effects of these prices on the nature and interactions of optimal policies depend crucially on whether the equipment is of the usual profit making type, where output is the main source of revenue, or of the antique type, where the main source of revenue is capital gains.     

Moment information for probability distributions,without solving the moment problem,II: Main-mass,tails and shape approximation

How much information does a small number of moments carry about the unknown distribution function? Is it possible to explicitly obtain from these moments some useful information, e.g., about the support, the modality, the general shape, or the tails of a distribution, without going into a detailed numerical solution of the moment problem? In this, previous and subsequent papers, clear and easy to implement answers will be given to some questions of this type. First, the question of how to distinguish between the main-mass interval and the tail regions, in the case we know only a number of moments of the target distribution function, will be addressed. The answer to this question is based on a version of the Chebyshev–Stieltjes–Markov inequality, which provides us with upper and lower, moment-based, bounds for the target distribution. Then, exploiting existing asymptotic results in the main-mass region, an explicit, moment-based approximation of the target probability density function is provided. Although the latter cannot be considered, in general, as a satisfactory solution, it can always serve as an initial approximation in any iterative scheme for the numerical solution of the moment problem. Numerical results illustrating all the theoretical statements are also presented.     

卷烟材料组合搭配对主流烟气量及过滤效率的影响

为研究卷烟纸、成型纸、接装纸及嘴棒组合搭配对"中式卷烟"焦油量、烟气烟碱量、烟气水分、烟气一氧化碳量及过滤效率的影响,尝试采用L_(27)(3~(13))裂区正交设计方法对RR卷烟进行在线试验和取样.检测结果经过直观分析、方差分析及贡献率分析,结果表明:嘴棒长度、吸阻及接装纸透气度是影响试验指标的高度显著因素及重要因素.所以重点对嘴棒长度、吸阻及接装纸透气度进行调整和控制,可以很好地实现卷烟产品的质量控制,减少产品质量波动,降低产品成本.使用该方法可快捷、高效、经济、准确地寻找并确定卷烟材料多因素对卷烟主流烟气量及过滤效率的影响规律及卷烟产品的材料搭配优化方案.从而实现卷烟产品材料搭配精益化,满足烟草企业的实际需求.     

Variation of the structure and permeability of tensioned fiber layers during impregnation with a thermoplastic polymer melt

The influence of displacements of tensioned fibers on the impregnation of fibrous layers with a polymer melt and on the final composite structure is studied. Using computer simulation, it is shown that, during impregnation, the structure of tensioned fibrous layers changes considerably depending on the initial arrangement and tensioning of fibers. The consolidated regions formed under the melt front move inside the impregnated layer with the advancing melt front. Displacement of the tensioned fibers as well as the formation of “washouts” favors the impregnation of internal layers, but cause significant inhomogeneity of the polymer structure. The surface (on the side of the melt flow) regions are more saturated with the polymer than the internal ones. A difference in the melt percolation mechanisms at various impregnation regimes is revealed. The effective permeability coefficients of a tensioned fiber layer are not constant but depend on the conditions and regimes of impregnation. Submitted to the 11th Conference on the Mechanics of Composite Materials (Riga, June 11–15, 2000). Translated from Mekhanika Kompozitnykh Materialov, Vol. 36, No. 2, pp. 259–270, March–April, 2000.     

演化博弈视角下XBRL技术采纳的监管策略研究

通过构建政府与企业的非对称博弈模型,研究了二者在XBRL技术采纳的监管过程中的互动策略,并用MATLAB仿真演示了不同参数变化中模型的演化均衡结果。结果表明XBRL技术的成本效益、政府的监管力度、惩罚力度和补贴系数是影响双方博弈系统的关键因素。通过降低技术成本,提高惩罚力度和监管力度,增加对企业的补贴力度,有助于提高企业采纳XBRL的积极性。最后,从降低技术成本、实施不同时期的阶段性监管策略以及变革强制采纳的推广模式,促进多主体协调发展等方面提出推动XBRL技术采纳的管理建议。     

A general theoretical model for the magnetohydrodynamic flow of micropolar magnetic fluids. Application to Stokes flow

Many practical applications, which have an inherent interest of physical and mathematical nature, involve the hydrodynamic flow in the presence of a magnetic field. Magnetic fluids comprise a novel class of engineering materials, where the coexistence of liquid and magnetic properties provides us with the opportunity to solve problems with high mathematical and technical complexity. Here, our purpose is to examine the micropolar magnetohydrodynamic flow of magnetic fluids by considering a colloidal suspension of ferromagnetic material (usually non‐conductive) in a carrier magnetic liquid, which is in general electrically conductive. In this case, the ferromagnetic particles behave as rigid magnetic dipoles. Thus, the application of an external magnetic field, apart from the creation of an induced magnetic field of minor significance, will prevent the rotation of each particle, increasing the effective viscosity of the fluid and will cause the appearance of an additional magnetic pressure. Despite the fact that the general consideration consists of rigid particles of arbitrary shape, the assumption of spherical geometry is a very good approximation as a consequence of their small size. Our goal is to develop a general three‐dimensional theoretical model that conforms to physical reality and at the same time permits the analytical investigation of the partial differential equations, which govern the micropolar hydrodynamic flow in such magnetic liquids. Furthermore, in the aim of establishing the consistency of our proposed model with the principles of both ferrohydrodynamics and magnetohydrodynamics, we take into account both magnetization and electrical conductivity of the fluid, respectively. Under this consideration, we perform an analytical treatment of these equations in order to obtain the three‐dimensional effective viscosity and total pressure in terms of the velocity field, the total (applied and induced) magnetic field and the hydrodynamic and magnetic properties of the fluid, independently of the geometry of the flow. Moreover, we demonstrate the usefulness of our analytical approach by assuming a degenerate case of the aforementioned method, which is based on the reduction of the partial differential equations to a simpler shape that is similar to Stokes flow for the creeping motion of magnetic fluids. In view of this aim, we use the potential representation theory to construct a new complete and unique differential representation of magnetic Stokes flow, valid for non‐axisymmetric geometries, which provides the velocity and total pressure fields in terms of easy‐to‐find potentials, via an analytical fashion. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

绩效度量的一致性、敏感性及准确性关系研究

将环境的波动性和度量噪音看作是影响绩效度量的两类不同的随机误差,在Linear-exponential-normal框架下,建立了以价值绩效度量和补偿绩效度量的线性组合为基础的收益激励模型,并分析了激励强度与绩效度量的一致性、敏感性和准确性之间的关系,以及环境波动性对上述关系的影响.研究发现,在确定性环境条件下,激励强度与绩效度量的"信号噪音比"成正比关系,但绩效度量的一致性的提高并不必然增加该度量指标在激励契约中的权重,而要视敏感性或噪音相对于一致性的变化幅度来定.特别地,在绩效度量的敏感性与一致性之间并不存在权衡取舍关系.研究还发现,波动性与激励强度之间存在负向关系,且波动性的存在降低了绩效度量的一致性和敏感性,但波动性对绩效度量的准确性的影响则呈非单调性变化.     

基于评价信息随机化的群体评价方法与应用

针对群体评价中共识集结的相关问题,从仿真的视角讨论了评价信息随机化的群体共识聚合求解方法。首先,面向实数类型的评价信息,将精确性的数据给予一定的宽松性处理,进一步结合正态分布的3σ原则,利用随机模拟的方式集结出带有概率特征的可能性排序;其次,面向区间数类型的评价信息,整合出各子区间发生概率不同的区间数评价信息,在充分随机模拟的情况下,给出了带有优胜概率特征的可能性排序。最后,通过相应的算例进行求解分析,说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。基于群体共识视角,针对实数和区间数两种类型的评价信息,分别进行相应的随机化处理,并为进一步探索区间数的分布形式提供了一种新的研究思路。     

基于ISM与M-F模型的公务员工资普调频率研究

以普调频率为核心的工资增长机制,是我国公务员工资制度改革悬而未决的难点问题,其关键在于分析影响因素并确定普调周期。文章采用ISM、M-F等方法,对我国公务员工资普调频率影响因素进行量化分析,旨在通过研究各因素影响时效的衍变规律,寻求长期稳态下最适宜的普调周期。研究发现,基于时效周期的工资普调影响指标体系包含24项因素,其中CPI等8项流量因素构成短期时效层,自身变化及影响时效短,易波动,综合影响期为1.55年;平均任职时间等13项存量因素构成中期时效层,指标变动具有长期累积性,综合影响期为3.11年;工资差异结构等3项支配因素构成长期时效层,反映工资供求矛盾状态,综合影响期为4.53年;在24项因素综合作用下,系统于2.34年达到了长期稳态水平,各项影响因素实现了最佳平衡,可近似将2.50年设计为普调周期。