增长曲线模型中一致最小风险无偏估计的存在性

考虑协方差阵任意，或具有均匀协方差结构，或具有序列协方差结构的正态增长曲线模型本文将文[19]在设计矩阵满秩，且仅估计回归系数矩阵的情形获得的结果推广到设计矩阵不必列满秩，且同时估计回归系数矩阵的线性可估函数和协方差阵（或有关参数）的情形；在凸损失函数类和矩阵损失函数下，给出存在一致最小风险无偏估计的充分必要条件．     

Minimax estimation of means of multivariate normal mixtures

Assume X = (X₁, …, X_p)′ is a normal mixture distribution with density w.r.t. Lebesgue measure, , where Σ is a known positive definite matrix and F is any known c.d.f. on (0, ∞). Estimation of the mean vector under an arbitrary known quadratic loss function _Q(θ, a) = (a − θ)′ Q(a − θ), Q a positive definite matrix, is considered. An unbiased estimator of risk is obatined for an arbitrary estimator, and a sufficient condition for estimators to be minimax is then achieved. The result is applied to modifying all the Stein estimators for the means of independent normal random variables to be minimax estimators for the problem considered here. In particular the results apply to the Stein class of limited translation estimators.     

具有特殊协方差结构的 SURE 模型中参数估计的若干结果

本文讨论具有特殊协方差结构似乎不相关回归方程（SURE）模型中参数的估计问题．除非另有说明,损失函数将取为二次损失和矩阵损失．本文证明了回归系数的线性可估函数的最小二乘估计是极小极大的且在矩阵损失函数下是可容许的;还分别在仿射交换群和平移群下导出了存在回归系数的线性可估函数的一致最小风险同变（UMRE）估计的充要条件,并证明了在仿射交换和二次损失下不存在协方差阵和方差的UMRE估计．     

增长曲线模型中UMRE估计和UMRU估计的存在性

对于一般的增长曲线模型,在一般的矩阵损失和二次损失下,用统一的方法分别给出了回归系数矩阵的任一指定可估函数存在一致最小风险同变（ＵＭＲＥ）估计（分别在仿真变换群和转换变换群下）和一致最小风险无编（ＵＭＲＵ）估计的充要条件,以及所有可估函数恒存在ＵＭＲＥ估计和ＵＭＲＵ估计的允要条件。最后将结果应用于一些特殊模型。     

Improving Penalized Least Squares through Adaptive Selection of Penalty and Shrinkage

Estimation of the mean function in nonparametric regression is usefully separated into estimating the means at the observed factor levels—a one-way layout problem—and interpolation between the estimated means at adjacent factor levels. Candidate penalized least squares (PLS) estimators for the mean vector of a one-way layout are expressed as shrinkage estimators relative to an orthogonal regression basis determined by the penalty matrix. The shrinkage representation of PLS suggests a larger class of candidate monotone shrinkage (MS) estimators. Adaptive PLS and MS estimators choose the shrinkage vector and penalty matrix to minimize estimated risk. The actual risks of shrinkage-adaptive estimators depend strongly upon the economy of the penalty basis in representing the unknown mean vector. Local annihilators of polynomials, among them difference operators, generate penalty bases that are economical in a range of examples. Diagnostic techniques for adaptive PLS or MS estimators include basis-economy plots and estimates of loss or risk.     

Other Classes of Minimax Estimators of Variance Covariance Matrix in Multivariate Normal Distribution

It is well known that the best equivariant estimator of the variance covariance matrix of the multivariate normal distribution with respect to the full affine group of transformation is not even minimax. Some minimax estimators have been proposed. Here we treat this problem in the framework of a multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) model and give other classes of minimax estimators.     

非对称损失函数下Burr Ⅻ型分布可靠性指标的Bayes估计

本文研究了R=P(Y＜X)在两种非对称损失函数下的Bayes估计问题,其中随机变量X和Y相互独立且服从不同的Burr XII型分布.利用Lindley近似方法,获得了Bayes估计的显式近似表达式,通过随机模拟比较了不同损失函数下的Bayes估计的性质.     

矩阵损失函数下回归系数矩阵的非齐次线性估计的可容许性

在二次矩阵损失函数下研究了协方差矩阵未知的多元线性模型中回归系数矩阵的可估线性函数的矩阵非齐次线性估计的可容许性,给出了矩阵非齐次线性估计在线性估计类中可容许的一个充要条件.     

Existence of the uniformly minimum risk equivariant estimators of parameters in a class of normal linear models

In this paper, we study the existence of the uniformly minimum risk equivariant (UMRE) estimators of parameters in a class of normal linear models, which include the normal variance components model, the growth curve model, the extended growth curve model, and the seemingly unrelated regression equations model, and so on. The necessary and sufficient conditions are given for the existence of UMRE estimators of the estimable linear functions of regression coefficients, the covariance matrixV and (trV)^α, where α > 0 is known, in the models under an affine group of transformations for quadratic losses and matrix losses, respectively. Under the (extended) growth curve model and the seemingly unrelated regression equations model, the conclusions given in literature for estimating regression coefficients can be derived by applying the general results in this paper, and the sufficient conditions for non-existence of UMRE estimators ofV and tr(V) are expanded to be necessary and sufficient conditions. In addition, the necessary and sufficient conditions that there exist UMRE estimators of parameters in the variance components model are obtained for the first time.     

多元线性模型中回归系数的线性可容许估计

基于Zellner的平衡损失的思想,本文提出了矩阵形式的平衡损失函数,并在该损失函数下讨论了多元回归系数线性估计的可容许性.给出了六种不同形式的可容许定义,证明了这六种容许性在齐次和非齐次线性估计类中是一致的,且得到了其共同的可容许估计的充要条件.