半变系数模型的变窗宽和一步局部M-估计

讨论了半变系数模型的变窗宽一步局部M-估计.用一步局部M-估计给出了未知函数的估计,用平均法给出了未知参数的估计,并在其中嵌入一个变窗宽加以提高,得到了未知函数和未知参数的渐近正态性.     

关于半参数函数关系模型的渐近正态性

本文研究固定设计的半参数函数关系模型.利用权函数和广义最小二乘法得出未知参数和未知函数的估计,在一定的条件下证明了估计是强相合的,并且渐近地服从正态分布.     

Copula函数中参数的矩估计方法

Copula函数是将多维随机变量的联合分布和其边缘分布连接起来的一种函数.关于Copula函数的理论和应用已有不同深度的研究,特别是Copula函数中未知参数的估计问题.本文研究了Gumbel Copula函数的参数估计,提出了矩估计和近似矩估计两种方法,分别得到了未知参数的估计结果,并通过模拟研究对这两种方法进行了比较,结果显示矩估计方法更为合理.     

缺失数据下非线性半参数EV模型的估计

考虑解释变量带有测量误差且响应变量随机缺失情形下的非线性半参数EV模型. 利用核实数据,构造了未知参数和非参数函数的两种估计.证明了未知参数估计的渐近正态性,给出了非参数函数估计的最优收敛速度.     

核实数据下误差在反映变量的非线性半参数模型的降维估计

考虑响应变量带有一般测量误差的非线性半参数模型.在核实数据的帮助下,利用半参数降维技术构造未知参数和非参数函数的估计.在一定条件下证明未知参数估计的渐近正态性和非参数函数估计的最优收敛速度.通过数值模拟说明所提估计方法在有限样本下的有效性.     

固定设计下半参函数关系模型参数估计的相合性

对于固定设计下的半参数函数关系模型,利用广义最小二乘法和一般的非参数权估计方法,得出了未知参数和未知函数的估计.在一定条件下,证明了它们的强相合性及其p(≥2)阶平均相合性.     

纵向数据下部分线性EV模型的渐近性质

研究了纵向数据下部分线性EV函数关系模型.应用一般非参数权函数法和广义最小二乘法给出了未知参数β,误差方差σ2以及未知函数g(·)的估计.在一般的条件下,证明了β,σ2估计的渐近正态性,同时也给出了未知函数g(·)估计的收敛速度,其结果是独立数据情形下相应结果的推广.     

相依数据下一般函数核估计的一致收敛速度

不论数据是独立的还是相依的,在非参数和半参数模型中,都涉及到对未知均值函数或者对某函数的未知条件期望的估计.本文针对这一问题,在比较弱的条件下,给出在数据是α-混合相依时一般函数的条件数学期望的估计,并讨论了它的一致收敛速度.     

均匀分布参数的无偏估计及其分布

讨论了均匀分布未知参数无偏估计量的分布密度,利用无偏估计量构造出一些新的样本函数,并且利用给出的样本函数推导出了未知参数的置信区间.所得到结果改善了现有的估计,易于计算.     

部分线性回归模型的M-估计

本文讨论部分线性回归模型的M-估计．用局部线性方法给出未知函数的M-估计，用两步估计方法给出参数的M-估计．进一步证明了未知函数的M-估计的弱一致性和渐近正态性，参数的M-估计的弱一致性．     

On the plausibility transformation method for translating belief function models to probability models

In this paper, we propose the plausibility transformation method for translating Dempster–Shafer (D–S) belief function models to probability models, and describe some of its properties. There are many other transformation methods used in the literature for translating belief function models to probability models. We argue that the plausibility transformation method produces probability models that are consistent with D–S semantics of belief function models, and that, in some examples, the pignistic transformation method produces results that appear to be inconsistent with Dempster’s rule of combination.     

MAXIMUM INFORMATION AND OPTIMUM ESTIMATING FUNCTION

In order to construct estimating functions in some parametric models, this paper introduces two classes of information matrices. Some necessary and sufficient conditions for the information matrices achieving their upper bounds are given. For the problem of estimating the median, some optimum estimating functions based on the information matrices are acquired. Under some regularity conditions, an approach to carrying out the best basis function is introduced. In nonlinear regression models, an optimum estimating function based on the information matrices is obtained. Some examples are given to illustrate the results. Finally, the concept of optimum estimating function and the methods of constructing optimum estimating function are developed in more general statistical models.     

广义非参数回归的B样本贝叶斯估计

本文主要研究广义非参数模型B样条Bayes估计 .将回归函数按照B样条基展开 ,我们不具体选择节点的个数 ,而是节点个数取均匀的无信息先验 ,样条函数系数取正态先验 ,用B样条函数的后验均值估计回归函数 .并给出了回归函数B样条Bayes估计的MCMC的模拟计算方法 .通过对Logistic非参数回归的模拟研究 ,表明B样条Bayes估计得到了很好的估计效果     

Rank tests for a class of semi-Markov models with censored matched pairs

Semi-Markov models are used in a study of censored, matched pairs. A partial likelihood function is obtained in the presence of univariate censoring for a class of semi-Markov models. A test statistics is derived for testing treatment effects of matched-pairs based on this partial likelihood function. Some directions for further generalization are also outlined.     

Universal optimality of digital nets and lattice designs

This article considers universal optimality of digital nets and lattice designs in a regression model. Based on the equivalence theorem for matrix means and majorization theory,the necessary and sufficient conditions for lattice designs being φp-and universally optimal in trigonometric function and Chebyshev polynomial regression models are obtained. It is shown that digital nets are universally optimal for both complete and incomplete Walsh function regression models under some specified conditions,and are...     

ALLEE EFFECTS: POPULATION GROWTH,CRITICAL DENSITY,AND THE CHANCE OF EXTINCTION

This paper develops mathematical models to describe the growth, critical density, and extinction probability in sparse populations experiencing Allee effects. An Allee effect (or depensation) is a situation at low population densities where the per-individual growth rate is an increasing function of population density. A potentially important mechanism causing Allee effects is a shortage of mating encounters in sparse populations. Stochastic models are proposed for predicting the probability of encounter or the frequency of encounter as a function of population density. A negative exponential function is derived as such an encounter function under very general biological assumptions, including random, regular, or aggregated spatial patterns. A rectangular hyperbola function, heretofore used in ecology as the functional response of predator feeding rate to prey density, arises from the negative exponential function when encounter probabilities are assumed heterogeneous among individuals. These encounter functions produce Allee effects when incorporated into population growth models as birth rates. Three types of population models with encounter-limited birth rates are compared: (1) deterministic differential equations, (2) stochastic discrete birth-death processes, and (3) stochastic continuous diffusion processes. The phenomenon of a critical density, a major consequence of Allee effects, manifests itself differently in the different types of models. The critical density is a lower unstable equilibrium in the deterministic differential equation models. For the stochastic discrete birth-death processes considered here, the critical density is an inflection point in the probability of extinction plotted as a function of initial population density. In the continuous diffusion processes, the critical density becomes a local minimum (antimode) in the stationary probability distribution for population density. For both types of stochastic models, a critical density appears as an inflection point in the probability of attaining a small population density (extinction) before attaining a large one. Multiplicative (“environmental”) stochastic noise amplifies Allee effects. Harvesting also amplifies those effects. Though Allee effects are difficult to detect or measure in natural populations, their presence would seriously impact exploitation, management, and preservation of biological resources.     

Qualities of goods in the models of production

In this paper the models of production in which the qualities of goods are considered are presented. Such models are completely described by the families of matrices or by a function which has some properties which are natural from the economic point of view. The special cases of the models are the well known linear model of production and the van Neumann-Gale's model.     

Solving the Likelihood Equations

Given a model in algebraic statistics and data, the likelihood function is a rational function on a projective variety. Algebraic algorithms are presented for computing all critical points of this function, with the aim of identifying the local maxima in the probability simplex. Applications include models specified by rank conditions on matrices and the Jukes–Cantor models of phylogenetics. The maximum likelihood degree of a generic complete intersection is also determined.     

Admissibilities of linear estimator in a class of linear models with a multivariate t error variable

This paper discusses admissibilities of estimators in a class of linear models,which include the following common models:the univariate and multivariate linear models,the growth curve model,the extended growth curve model,the seemingly unrelated regression equations,the variance components model,and so on.It is proved that admissible estimators of functions of the regression coefficient β in the class of linear models with multivariate t error terms,called as Model II,are also ones in the case that error terms have multivariate normal distribution under a strictly convex loss function or a matrix loss function.It is also proved under Model II that the usual estimators of β are admissible for p 2 with a quadratic loss function,and are admissible for any p with a matrix loss function,where p is the dimension of β.