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1.
The dependence structure in the tails of bivariate random variables is studied by means of appropriate copulae. Weak convergence results show that these copulae are natural dependence structures for joint tail events. The results obtained apply to particular types of copulae such as archimedean copulae and the Gaussian copula. Further, connections to multivariate extreme value theory are investigated and a two-dimensional Pickands–Balkema–de Haan Theorem type is derived. Finally, a counterexample showing that the tail dependence coefficients do not completely determine the dependence structure of bivariate rare events is provided.  相似文献   

2.
We show that copulae and kernel estimation can be mixed to estimate the risk of an economic loss. We analyze the properties of the Sarmanov copula. We find that the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation of the dependence parameter associated with the copula with double transformed kernel estimation to estimate marginal cumulative distribution functions is a useful method for approximating the risk of extreme dependent losses when we have large data sets. We use a bivariate sample of losses from a real database of auto insurance claims.  相似文献   

3.
The aim of this paper is to introduce a new methodology for operational risk management, based on Bayesian copulae. One of the main problems related to operational risk management is understanding the complex dependence structure of the associated variables. In order to model this structure in a flexible way, we construct a method based on copulae. This allows us to split the joint multivariate probability distribution of a random vector of losses into individual components characterized by univariate marginals. Thus, copula functions embody all the information about the correlation between variables and provide a useful technique for modelling the dependency of a high number of marginals. Another important problem in operational risk modelling is the lack of loss data. This suggests the use of Bayesian models, computed via simulation methods and, in particular, Markov chain Monte Carlo. We propose a new methodology for modelling operational risk and for estimating the required capital. This methodology combines the use of copulae and Bayesian models.   相似文献   

4.
Archimedean copulae and positive dependence   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
In this paper, we consider different issues related to Archimedean copulae and positive dependence. In the first part, we characterize Archimedean copulae that possess positive dependence properties such as multivariate total positivity of order 2 (MTP2) and conditionally increasingness in sequence. In the second part, we investigate conditions for exchangeable binary sequences to admit an Archimedean copula, and we show that they depend on the extendibility of the sequence, and therefore on its positive-dependence properties.  相似文献   

5.
The notion of quasi-copula was introduced by C. Alsina, R. B. Nelsen, and B. Schweizer (Statist. Probab. Lett.(1993), 85–89) and was used by these authors and others to characterize operations on distribution functions that can or cannot be derived from operations on random variables. In this paper, the concept of quasi-copula is characterized in simpler operational terms and the result is used to show that absolutely continuous quasi-copulas are not necessarily copulas, thereby answering in the negative an open question of the above mentioned authors.  相似文献   

6.
It has been proved (Sklar, 1959, Publ. Inst. Statist. Univ. Paris 8 229–231) that any multivariate distribution function depends on its arguments only through its marginal distributions. An analogous result will be proved in the general framework of probability measures on (Polish) product spaces. Many properties, holding for distribution functions, still hold in the more general situation. Some results related to convergence in probability will be examined.  相似文献   

7.
We propose a method for defining and measuring spatial contagion between two financial markets via conditional copulas. Some theoretical results on monotonicity and asymptotic properties of Gaussian copulas with respect to conditioning are presented. Next, we combine the spatial contagion approach with time series models. We investigate which model from a large family of multivariate GARCH is the best tool for modelling spatial contagion. In an empirical study, we show that among models designed for general fit, a two‐step model fitting procedure reduces the ability to describe the contagion effect. This is a feature of copula‐GARCH models. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

8.
The dependence orderings, more associated and more regression dependent, due to Schriever (1986, Order Dependence, Centre for Mathematics and Computer Sciences, Amsterdam; 1987, Ann. Statist., 15, 1208–1214) and Yanagimoto and Okamoto (1969, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 21, 489–505) respectively, are studied in detail for continuous bivariate distributions. Equivalent forms of the orderings under some conditions are given so that the orderings are more easily checkable for some bivariate distributions. For several parametric bivariate families, the dependence orderings are shown to be equivalent to an ordering of the parameter. A study of functionals that are increasing with respect to the more associated ordering leads to inequalities, measures of dependence as well as a way of checking that this ordering does not hold for two distributions.This research has been supported by NSERC Canada grants and a Scientific Grant of the University of Science and Technology of China.  相似文献   

9.
The purpose of this study is to implement Adomian–Pade (Modified Adomian–Pade) technique, which is a combination of Adomian decomposition method (Modified Adomian decomposition method) and Pade approximation, for solving linear and nonlinear systems of Volterra functional equations. The results obtained by using Adomian–Pade (Modified Adomian–Pade) technique, are compared to those obtained by using Adomian decomposition method (Modified Adomian decomposition method) alone. The numerical results, demonstrate that ADM–PADE (MADM–PADE) technique, gives the approximate solution with faster convergence rate and higher accuracy than using the standard ADM (MADM).  相似文献   

10.
Cerdà  Joan  Hudzik  Henryk  Kamińska  Anna  MastyŁo  MieczysŁaw 《Positivity》1998,2(4):311-337
We deal with the basic convexity properties –rotundity, and uniform, local uniform and full rotundity –- for symmetric spaces. A characterization of Orlicz–Lorentz spaces with the Kadec–Klee property for pointwise convergence is given. These results are applied to obtain criteria of convexity properties for Orlicz–Lorentz sequence spaces, and some new proofs of the sufficiency part of criteria for rotundity and uniform rotundity for Orlicz–Lorentz function spaces.  相似文献   

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