共查询到18条相似文献,搜索用时 78 毫秒
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本文将工具变量分位数回归模型(IVQR)应用到面板数据中,结合Canay对面板分位数回归的两步估计法以及Chernozhukov对IVQR模型的估计方法,提出了两步面板分位数工具变量估计法(2S-IVFEQR),并给出相应的参数估计。本文提出的方法较已有的方法计算复杂度低,蒙特卡洛模拟结果显示在数据量不大或者处理长面板数据时,2S-IVFEQR方法要优于传统的IVFEQR方法,且运算时间短。 相似文献
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本文应用最优化理论,对固定效应的面板数据分位数回归模型,提出一种模式搜索方法,此方法可以同时估计出所有分位点处的解释变量系数和所有个体的固定效应值。进一步利用蒙特卡洛模拟比较现有文献中涉及的面板数据分位数回归方法,结果显示无论误差项是否满足经典假设,模式搜索分位数回归法较之其他分位数回归估计方法更为有效. 相似文献
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《数学的实践与认识》2017,(18)
基于分位数回归及其变量选择模型,利用2011年中国健康与营养调查数据(CHNS)实证分析了医疗消费的影响因素.通过Lasso方法从多个影响因素中选取出了对医疗消费影响较大的因素,发现个人收入、年龄、受教育程度、患病程度和地区变量对医疗消费的影响较大,通过分位数回归模型,对影响医疗消费诸因素的作用方式与程度进行了研究. 相似文献
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分位数变系数模型是一种稳健的非参数建模方法.使用变系数模型分析数据时,一个自然的问题是如何同时选择重要变量和从重要变量中识别常数效应变量.本文基于分位数方法研究具有稳健和有效性的估计和变量选择程序.利用局部光滑和自适应组变量选择方法,并对分位数损失函数施加双惩罚,我们获得了惩罚估计.通过BIC准则合适地选择调节参数,提出的变量选择方法具有oracle理论性质,并通过模拟研究和脂肪实例数据分析来说明新方法的有用性.数值结果表明,在不需要知道关于变量和误差分布的任何信息前提下,本文提出的方法能够识别不重要变量同时能区分出常数效应变量. 相似文献
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《数学的实践与认识》2013,(20)
车辆保险产品的定价一般会考虑保单持有人的索赔概率和期望索赔额等两个因素,零调整逆高斯回归模型作为解决这类问题的一个有力工具,由于变量分布的限定,从而具有一定的局限性.针对该问题,本文基于零调整逆高斯回归模型和分位数回归模型的思想,提出零调整分位数回归模型,并结合实际数据进行了拟合分析.与零调整逆高斯回归模型拟合的结果比较表明,零调整分位数回归模型可以作为研究车辆保险中索赔额的一个有力工具. 相似文献
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在带有罚函数的变量选择中,调节参数的选择是一个关键性问题,但遗憾的是,在大多数文献中,调节参数选择的方法较为模糊,多凭经验,缺乏系统的理论方法.本文基于含随机效应的面板数据模型,提出分位回归中适应性LASSO调节参数的选择标准惩罚交叉验证准则(PCV),并讨论比较了该准则与其他选择调节参数的准则的效果.通过对不同分位点进行模拟,我们发现当残差E来自尖峰分布和厚尾分布时,该准则能更好地估计模型参数,尤其对于高分位点和低分位点而言.选取其他分位点时,PCV的效果虽稍逊色于Schwarz信息准则,但明显优于A1kaike 信息准则和交叉验证准则.且在选择变量的准确性方面,该准则比Schwarz信息准则、Akaike信息准则等更加有效.文章最后对我国各地区多个宏观经济指标的面板数据进行建模分析,展示了惩罚交叉验证准则的性能,得到了在不同分位点处宏观经济指标之间的回归关系. 相似文献
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Based on the data-cutoff method,we study quantile regression in linear models,where the noise process is of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type with possible jumps.In single-level quantile regression,we allow the noise process to be heteroscedastic,while in composite quantile regression,we require that the noise process be homoscedastic so that the slopes are invariant across quantiles.Similar to the independent noise case,the proposed quantile estimators are root-n consistent and asymptotic normal.Furthermore,the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)is applied for the purpose of variable selection.As a result,the quantile estimators are consistent in variable selection,and the nonzero coefficient estimators enjoy the same asymptotic distribution as their counterparts under the true model.Extensive numerical simulations are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed approaches and foreign exchange rate data are analyzed for the illustration purpose. 相似文献
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纵向数据常常用正态混合效应模型进行分析.然而,违背正态性的假定往往会导致无效的推断.与传统的均值回归相比较,分位回归可以给出响应变量条件分布的完整刻画,对于非正态误差分布也可以给稳健的估计结果.本文主要考虑右删失响应下纵向混合效应模型的分位回归估计和变量选择问题.首先,逆删失概率加权方法被用来得到模型的参数估计.其次,结合逆删失概率加权和LASSO惩罚变量选择方法考虑了模型的变量选择问题.蒙特卡洛模拟显示所提方法要比直接删除删失数据的估计方法更具优势.最后,分析了一组艾滋病数据集来展示所提方法的实际应用效果. 相似文献
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Linjun Tang Zhangong Zhou Changchun Wu 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computing》2012,40(1-2):399-413
In this paper, a self-weighted composite quantile regression estimation procedure is developed to estimate unknown parameter in an infinite variance autoregressive (IVAR) model. The proposed estimator is asymptotically normal and more efficient than a single quantile regression estimator. At the same time, the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for variable selection are also suggested. We show that the adaptive LASSO based on the self-weighted composite quantile regression enjoys the oracle properties. Simulation studies and a real data example are conducted to examine the performance of the proposed approaches. 相似文献
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We propose a two-step variable selection procedure for censored quantile regression with high dimensional predictors. To account for censoring data in high dimensional case, we employ effective dimension reduction and the ideas of informative subset idea. Under some regularity conditions, we show that our procedure enjoys the model selection consistency. Simulation study and real data analysis are conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed approach. 相似文献
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为解决大规模数据在进行回归分析时存在的计算内存不足和运行时间较长的问题,提出两个新的回归分析方法:先筛选后抽样的大规模数据L1惩罚分位数回归方法(FSSLQR)和先抽样后筛选的大规模数据L1惩罚分位数回归方法(SFSLQR),其数值模拟和实际应用结果表明:FSSLQR和SFSLQR方法不仅能够显著降低计算内存和运行时间,而且其估计预测和变量选择的结果与全量L1惩罚分位数回归基本一致。此外,与Xu等(2018)提出的大规模数据的L1惩罚分位数回归方法(SLQR)相比,FSSLQR和SFSLQR方法在估计预测、变量选择和运行时间等方面都更具优势。 相似文献
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This paper develops a Bayesian approach to analyzing quantile regression models for censored dynamic panel data. We employ
a likelihood-based approach using the asymmetric Laplace error distribution and introduce lagged observed responses into the
conditional quantile function. We also deal with the initial conditions problem in dynamic panel data models by introducing
correlated random effects into the model. For posterior inference, we propose a Gibbs sampling algorithm based on a location-scale
mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution. It is shown that the mixture representation provides fully
tractable conditional posterior densities and considerably simplifies existing estimation procedures for quantile regression
models. In addition, we explain how the proposed Gibbs sampler can be utilized for the calculation of marginal likelihood
and the modal estimation. Our approach is illustrated with real data on medical expenditures. 相似文献
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《高校应用数学学报(英文版)》2020,(2)
This paper provides a selective review of the recent developments on econometric/statistical modeling in quantile treatment effects under both selection on observables and on unobservables.First,we discuss identification,estimation and inference of quantile treatment effects under the framework of selection on observables.Then,we consider the case where the treatment variable is endogenous or self-selected,for which an instrumental variable method provides a powerful tool to tackle this problem.Finally,some extensions are discussed to the data-rich environments,to the regression discontinuity design,and some other approaches to identify quantile treatment effects are also discussed.In particular,some future research works in this area are addressed. 相似文献