Estimation of a common parameter for pooled samples from the uniform distributions

Summary The problem to estimate a common parameter for the pooled sample from the uniform distributions is discussed in the presence of nuisance parameters. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and others are compared and it is shown that the MLE based on the pooled sample is not (asymptotically) efficient.     

带有结构变化的线性模型中参数估计的一些结果

本文在一些纯量损失和矩阵损失下研究带有结构变化的正态线性模型中参数的估计问题．分别给出 了存在回归系数的一致最小风险无偏（ＵＭＲＵ）估计和一致最小风险同变（ＵＭＲＥ）估计的充要条件, 证明了不存在误差方差在仿射变换群下的ＵＭＲＥ估计．导出了回归系数的最小二乘估计的可容许性 和极小极大性．     

正态条件下带AR(1)-型方差结构GMANOVA-MANOVA模型极大似然估计的小样本特征

研究了一类带一阶自回归(AR(1))-型方差结构的广义多元方差分析-多元方差分析(GMANO VA-MANOVA)模型参数极大似然估计的小样本特征.对带AR(1)-型方差结构GMANOVA-MANOVA模型,文章在正态条件下给出了参数极大似然估计存在的一个充分必要条件,讨论了极大似然估计唯一的充分条件.在该充分条件下,文章证明了相关系数极大似然估计的精确分布只与相关系数有关,并依此给出了自相关系数简单假设H0:ρ=0v.s.H1:ρ≠0的一个不需要叠代计算估计的检验,同时模拟表明该检验为无偏检验且势函数与似然比检验势函数无太大差异.     

协方差的二次型容许估计

本文研究方差的二次型估计的容许性,在平方损失下,我们给出了一个二次型估计在二次型估计类中是协方差的容许估计的充要条件。     

具有特殊协方差结构的 SURE 模型中参数估计的若干结果

本文讨论具有特殊协方差结构似乎不相关回归方程（SURE）模型中参数的估计问题．除非另有说明,损失函数将取为二次损失和矩阵损失．本文证明了回归系数的线性可估函数的最小二乘估计是极小极大的且在矩阵损失函数下是可容许的;还分别在仿射交换群和平移群下导出了存在回归系数的线性可估函数的一致最小风险同变（UMRE）估计的充要条件,并证明了在仿射交换和二次损失下不存在协方差阵和方差的UMRE估计．     

Estimation of a Multivariate Normal Covariance Matrix with Staircase Pattern Data

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating a multivariate normal covariance matrix with staircase pattern data. Two kinds of parameterizations in terms of the covariance matrix are used. One is Cholesky decomposition and another is Bartlett decomposition. Based on Cholesky decomposition of the covariance matrix, the closed form of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the covariance matrix is given. Using Bayesian method, we prove that the best equivariant estimator of the covariance matrix with respect to the special group related to Cholesky decomposition uniquely exists under the Stein loss. Consequently, the MLE of the covariance matrix is inadmissible under the Stein loss. Our method can also be applied to other invariant loss functions like the entropy loss and the symmetric loss. In addition, based on Bartlett decomposition of the covariance matrix, the Jeffreys prior and the reference prior of the covariance matrix with staircase pattern data are also obtained. Our reference prior is different from Berger and Yang’s reference prior. Interestingly, the Jeffreys prior with staircase pattern data is the same as that with complete data. The posterior properties are also investigated. Some simulation results are given for illustration.     

Consistency conditions on the least squares estimator in single common factor analysis model

Summary This paper is concerned with the consistency of estimators in a single common factor analysis model when the dimension of the observed vector is not fixed. In the model several conditions on the sample sizen and the dimensionp are established for the least squares estimator (L.S.E.) to be consistent. Under some assumptions,p/n→0 is a necessary and sufficient condition that the L.S.E. converges in probability to the true value. A sufficient condition for almost sure convergence is also given.     

Joint modeling of cointegration and conditional heteroscedasticity with applications

A cointegrated vector AR-GARCH time series model is introduced. Least squares estimator, full rank maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and reduced rank MLE of the model are presented. Monte Carlo experiments are conducted to illustrate the finite sample properties of the estimators. Its applicability is then demonstrated with the modeling of international stock indices and exchange rates. The model leads to reasonable financial interpretations.     

受约束回归模型参数的统一几乎无偏估计

考虑实际回归问题中存在更多受约束条件的情况,提出了带约束的统一几乎无偏估计类,统一了常见的具有线性约束的回归模型的几乎无偏估计,进一步的研究给出了在均方误差和均方误差矩阵意义下,带约束的统一几乎无偏估计优于一般带约束的最小二乘估计的充分条件和椭球范围.     

A projection method of estimation for a subfamily of exponential families

Summary This paper is concerned with estimation for a subfamily of exponential-type, which is a parametric model with sufficient statistics. The family is associated with a surface in the domain of a sufficient statistic. A new estimator, termed a projection estimator, is introduced. The key idea of its derivation is to look for a one-to-one transformation of the sufficient statistic so that the subfamily can be associated with a flat subset in the transformed domain. The estimator is defined by the orthogonal projection of the transformed statistic onto the flat surface. Here the orthogonality is introduced by the inverse of the estimated variance matrix of the statistic on the analogy of Mahalanobis's notion (1936,Proc. Nat. Inst. Sci. Ind.,2, 49–55). Thus the projection estimator has an explicit representation with no iterations. On the other hand, the MLE and classical estimators have to be sought as numerical solutions by some algorithm with a choice of an initial value and a stopping rule. It is shown that the projection estimator is first-order efficient. The second-order property is also discussed. Some examples are presented to show the utility of the estimator.