The impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain

This paper presents a study on the impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain with one capacitated supplier and multiple retailers. Using a computer simulation model, this study examines demand forecasting and inventory replenishment decisions by the retailers, and production decisions by the supplier under different demand patterns and capacity tightness. Analyses of the simulation output indicate that the selection of the forecasting model significantly influences the performance of the supply chain and the value of information sharing. Furthermore, demand patterns faced by retailers and capacity tightness faced by the supplier also significantly influence the value of information sharing. The result also shows that substantial cost savings can be realized through information sharing and thus help to motivate trading partners to share information in the supply chain. The findings can also help supply chain managers select suitable forecasting models to improve supply chain performance.     

Stock Rationing in a Continuous Review Two-Echelon Inventory Model

In this paper we consider a 1-warehouse, N-retailer inventory system where demand occurs at all locations. We introduce an inventory model which allows us to set different service levels for retailers and direct customer demand at the warehouse. For each retailer a critical level is defined, such that a retailer replenishment order is delivered from warehouse stock if and only if the stock level exceeds this critical level. It is assumed that retailer replenishment orders, which are not satisfied from warehouse stock, are delivered directly from the outside supplier, instead of being backlogged. We present an analytical upper bound on the total cost of the system, and develop a heuristic method to optimize the policy parameters. Numerical experiments indicate that our technique provides a very close approximation of the exact cost. Also, we show that differentiating among the retailers and direct customer demand can yield significant cost reductions.     

Stock Control with Two Suppliers and Normal Lead Times

This paper helps practitioners to compute the mean and variance of the lead time demand distribution when two suppliers are used simultaneously to replenish stock of a single item. The lead times of each supplier are assumed to be normally distributed and two replenishment orders are placed, one with each supplier, at the same time. The results indicate that the reorder level required to give a specific probability of no stock-out during replenishment is lower when using two suppliers simultaneously. Tables have also been prepared to help practitioners determine the minimum sizes of replenishment orders when two suppliers are used and replenishment orders are placed at the same time.     

带短期价格折扣和允许两次特殊补货的库存决策模型

针对供应商提供短期价格折扣且允许零售商两次特殊补货的库存系统,建立了以零售商库存效益最大化为目标的库存决策模型,分析了模型的性质,根据经济订单批量补货决策下补货时间点与折扣时段的关系,确定了零售商在不同补货策略下的库存效益增值函数.据此给出零售商相应的最优补货策略函数表达式,提出了该模型的一个全局优化算法,并通过数值算例验证了模型和算法的有效性与可行性.     

Analysis of a Continuous Review Stock-control Model with Multiple Suppliers

This paper analyses the use of multiple suppliers to replenish one stock item. The replenishment order is split into several portions, one for each supplier, and orders for these portions are placed simultaneously with the respective suppliers. Approximate expressions are derived for the mean and variance of the effective lead time, which is the minimum of the individual lead times of each supplier. These results give effective lead-time-demand mean and variance that are smaller than those of the individual suppliers. The results can be used to lower the operating cost of the stocking policy.     

Linear programming based decomposition methods for inventory distribution systems

We consider an inventory distribution system consisting of one warehouse and multiple retailers. The retailers face random demand and are supplied by the warehouse. The warehouse replenishes its stock from an external supplier. The objective is to minimize the total expected replenishment, holding and backlogging cost over a finite planning horizon. The problem can be formulated as a dynamic program, but this dynamic program is difficult to solve due to its high dimensional state variable. It has been observed in the earlier literature that if the warehouse is allowed to ship negative quantities to the retailers, then the problem decomposes by the locations. One way to exploit this observation is to relax the constraints that ensure the nonnegativity of the shipments to the retailers by associating Lagrange multipliers with them, which naturally raises the question of how to choose a good set of Lagrange multipliers. In this paper, we propose efficient methods that choose a good set of Lagrange multipliers by solving linear programming approximations to the inventory distribution problem. Computational experiments indicate that the inventory replenishment policies obtained by our approach can outperform several standard benchmarks by significant margins.     

A mathematical model for a capacity reservation contract

It is common practice in many industries to use a replenishment contract with a mechanism of capacity reservation. In this paper, we focus on a multi-period capacity reservation contract practiced between a buyer, who buys a single type of product and sells it to end-customers, and two or more heterogeneous suppliers, who produce and replenish the product as agreed upon contractually.In this paper, a mathematical model including several key features of a real contract is developed for a single supplier situation from the buyer’s perspective. It is then extended to a multiple supplier model for a system in which there are several heterogeneous suppliers with different capacities and prices. A rolling-horizon implementation strategy is suggested for the efficient application of the models. Extensive computational experiments demonstrate that the model and strategy can produce cost effective contractual terms for the buyer within a few seconds.     

随机需求下多供应商和多零售商的生产-库存-运输联合优化模型

考虑随机需求下多供应商和多零售商的生产-库存-运输联合优化问题.在联合优化时,首先利用最近邻算法将各零售商分成不同区域,分区后问题转化为随机需求下单供应商对多零售商的生产-库存-运输联合优化问题.在每个分区内,由供应商统一决策其分区内各零售商的送货量和送货时间.利用粒子群算法和模拟退火算法相结合的两阶段算法求出最优送货量、最优运输路径和最大期望总利润.然后采用收入共享契约将增加的利润合理分配给各供应商和各零售商,使各方利润都得到增加,从而促使各方愿意合作.通过数值算例验证了联合优化模型优于独立决策模型.     

Minimizing the Total Cost in an Integrated Vendor—Managed Inventory System

In this paper we consider a complex production-distribution system, where a facility produces (or orders from an external supplier) several items which are distributed to a set of retailers by a fleet of vehicles. We consider Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) policies, in which the facility knows the inventory levels of the retailers and takes care of their replenishment policies. The production (or ordering) policy, the retailers replenishment policies and the transportation policy have to be determined so as to minimize the total system cost. The cost includes the fixed and variable production costs at the facility, the inventory costs at the facility and at the retailers and the transportation costs, that is the fixed costs of the vehicles and the traveling costs. We study two different types of VMI policies: The order-up-to level policy, in which the order-up-to level quantity is shipped to each retailer whenever served (i.e. the quantity delivered to each retailer is such that the maximum level of the inventory at the retailer is reached) and the fill-fill-dump policy, in which the order-up-to level quantity is shipped to all but the last retailer on each delivery route, while the quantity delivered to the last retailer is the minimum between the order-up-to level quantity and the residual transportation capacity of the vehicle. We propose two different decompositions of the problem and optimal or heuristic procedures for the solution of the subproblems. We show that, for reasonable initial values of the variables, the order in which the subproblems are solved does not influence the final solution. We will first solve the distribution subproblem and then the production subproblem. The computational results show that the fill-fill-dump policy reduces the average cost with respect to the order-up-to level policy and that one of the decompositions is more effective. Moreover, we compare the VMI policies with the more traditional Retailer-Managed Inventory (RMI) policy and show that the VMI policies significantly reduce the average cost with respect to the RMI policy.     

Value of supplier’s capacity information in a two-echelon supply chain

In traditional supply chain models it is generally assumed that full information is available to all parties involved. Although this seems reasonable, there are cases where chain members are independent agents and possess different levels of information. In this study, we analyze a two-echelon, single supplier-multiple retailers supply chain in a single-period setting where the capacity of the supplier is limited. Embedding the lack of information about the capacity of the supplier in the model, we aim to analyze the reaction of the retailers, compare it with the full-information case, and assess the value of information and the effects of information asymmetry using game theoretic analysis. In our numerical studies, we conclude that the value of information is highly dependent on the capacity conditions and estimates of the retailers, and having information is not necessarily beneficial to the retailers.