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杨昕 《数学的实践与认识》2012,42(16):21-28
在对DOW,Nasdaq,S&P500和FTSE100等四个证券市场指数进行实证分析基础上,展示了证券市场指数的对数收益率具有尖峰厚尾的分布特征,并利用Logistic分布得到了很好的拟合,同时给出了基于Logistic分布的风险量VaR和CVaR的估计公式,以此计算证券市场指数的对数收益率的风险量VaR和CVaR的估计值. 相似文献
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APARCH 模型在证券投资风险分析中的应用 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本首先描述金融时间序列的一般特性,从收益率的波动性与分布两方面进行考虑,建立起计算时变风险值的VaR—APARCH模型,并应用VaR—APARCH模型在多种分布情形下测算了上证综合指数的风险,结果表明基于GED分布的VaR—APARCH模型能够较好地刻画高频时间序列的尖峰肥尾性及杠杆效应等特性。 相似文献
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VaR和CVaR是目前两种主流风险度量工具。条件VaR和条件CVaR是基于市场风险因子在已知条件(或信息)下的分布来计量和测算VaR和CVaR,能够及时地根据变化的条件来重新估计风险进而进行有效的风险管理,是对传统的基于边际分布的VaR和CVaR指标的有益补充。另外一方面,近年来非参数核估计方法因模型设定灵活、方便处理变量相依结构等优点备受关注。在本文,我们用条件VaR和条件CVaR的非参数核估计法,对我国A股市场的风险进行测算。结果得出:条件VaR和条件CVaR能揭示出深证成指和上证综指之间的不同风险特征;条件VaR和条件CVaR的测算结果并非总是一致;系统风险估计值对已知条件的敏感性高于深发展A和万科A两只股票的个股风险。以上风险特征在边际VaR和边际CVaR下无法得到。 相似文献
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陈玲俐 《数学的实践与认识》2014,(18)
针对多元投资组合的风险预测,采用GJR-Skewt模型刻画单资产的厚尾、有偏特征,以及Copula模型刻画多元投资组合的非线性相关结构,用Monte Carlo方法模拟金融资产的随机分布,并结合滚动时间窗法,对投资组合的未来风险进行样本外动态预测.实证结果表明,Copula-GJR-Skewt模型对资产收益的风险预测能取得满意的效果;在VaR预测性能上,以GJR-Skewt模型作为边缘分布函数时,即使存在系统偏差,也能取得最优预测结果;预设残差服从有偏学生分布时,VaR的预测结果优于正态分布;传统的Garch-Guassian模型预测能力最差. 相似文献
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利用多元阿基米德Copula捕捉多个金融资产间的相关结构,并利用非参数核密度估计描述单个金融资产的边缘分布,建立Copula-Kernel模型。利用该模型和VaR风险测度,结合Mente Carlo模拟技术,对我国股票型开放式基金-华夏成长基金的投资组合进行风险分析。 相似文献
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《数学学报(英文版)》2014,(10)
<正>Submission Authors must use LaTeX for typewriting,and visit our website www.actamath.com to submit your paper.Our address is Editorial Office of Acta Mathematica Sinica,Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,P.R.China. 相似文献
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《运筹学学报》2014,(3)
正August 10-14,2015Beijin,China The International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics(ICIAM)is the premier international congress in the field of applied mathematics held every four years under the auspices of the International Council for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.From August 10 to 14,2015,mathematicians,scientists 相似文献
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ZhouSongping YaoKui SuWeiyi 《分析论及其应用》2004,20(4):332-341
The present paper investigates the fractal structure of fractional integrals of Weierstrass functions. The ezact box dimension for such functions many important cases is established. We need to point out that, although the result itself achieved in the present paper is interesting, the new technique and method should be emphasized. These novel ideas might be useful to establish the box dimension or Hausdorff dimension (especially for the lower bounds) for more general groups of functions. 相似文献
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《应用数学学报(英文版)》2014,(4)
正1 Aims and Scope Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica(English Series)is a quarterly journal established by the Chinese Mathematical Society.The journal publishes high quality research papers from all branches of applied mathematics,particularly welcomes those from partial differential equations,computational mathematics,applied probability,mathematical finance,statistics,dynamical systems,optimization and management science. 相似文献
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We characterize congruence lattices of standard QBCC-algebras and their connection with the congruence lattices of congruence
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Work on the paper was supported by Council of Czech Government No J14/98:153100011. 相似文献
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A new class of sets in ideal topological spaces is introduced and using these sets, a decomposition of continuity is given.
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We obtain (a) necessary and sufficient conditions and (b) sufficient conditions for a compact (countably compact) set to be closed in products (sequential products) and subspaces (sequential subspaces) of normal spaces. As a consequence of these, sufficient conditions are obtained for (i) the closedness of arbitrary (countable) union of closed sets and (ii) the equality of the union of the closures and the closure of the union of arbitrary (countable) families of sets in these spaces. It is also shown that these results do not hold for quotients of even T
4,-spaces. 相似文献
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A. Barkhudaryan R. Barkhudaryan A. Poghosyan 《分析论及其应用》2007,23(3):228-242
The current paper considers the problem of recovering a function using a limited number of its Fourier coefficients. Specifically, a method based on Bernoulli-like polynomials suggested and developed by Krylov, Lanczos, Gottlieb and Eckhoff is examined. Asymptotic behavior of approximate calculation of the so-called "jumps" is studied and asymptotic L2 constants of the rate of convergence of the method are computed. 相似文献