CONFIDENCE REGIONS IN TERMS OF STATISTICAL CURVATURE FOR AR（q） NONLINEAR REGRESSION MODELS

This paper constructs a set of confidence regions of parameters in terms of statistical curvatures for AR(q) nonlinear regression models. The geometric frameworks are proposed for the model. Then several confidence regions for parameters and parameter subsets in terms of statistical curvatures are given based on the likelihood ratio statistics and score statistics. Several previous results,, such as [1] and [2] are extended to AR(q)nonlinear regression models.     

Generalized empirical likelihood inference in semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data

In this paper, we consider the semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data. Due to the correlation within groups, a generalized empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown parameters in the model is suggested by introducing the working covariance matrix. It is proved that the proposed statistic is asymptotically standard chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters. A simulation study is conducted to compare the proposed method with the generalized least squares method in terms of coverage accuracy and average lengths of the confidence intervals.     

Bootstrap approximation of wavelet estimates in a semiparametric regression model

The inference for the parameters in a semiparametric regression model is studied by using the wavelet and the bootstrap methods. The bootstrap statistics are constructed by using Efron＇s resampling technique, and the strong uniform convergence of the bootstrap approximation is proved. Our results can be used to construct the large sample confidence intervals for the parameters of interest. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the bootstrap method and to compare it with the normal approximation-based method.     

ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF ESTIMATORS IN PARTIALLY LINEAR SINGLE-INDEX MODEL FOR LONGITUDINAL DATA

In this article, a partially linear single-index model /or longitudinal data is investigated. The generalized penalized spline least squares estimates of the unknown parameters are suggested. All parameters can be estimated simultaneously by the proposed method while the feature of longitudinal data is considered. The existence, strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators are proved under suitable conditions. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the finite sample performance of the proposed method. Our approach can also be used to study the pure single-index model for longitudinal data.     

Empirical likelihood for mixed-effects error-in-variables model

This paper mainly introduces the method of empirical likelihood and its applications on two different models. We discuss the empirical likelihood inference on fixed-effect parameter in mixed-effects model with error-in-variables. We first consider a linear mixed-effects model with measurement errors in both fixed and random effects. We construct the empirical likelihood confidence regions for the fixed-effects parameters and the mean parameters of random-effects. The limiting distribution of the empirical log likelihood ratio at the true parameter is X2p＋q, where p, q are dimension of fixed and random effects respectively. Then we discuss empirical likelihood inference in a semi-linear error-in-variable mixed-effects model. Under certain conditions, it is shown that the empirical log likelihood ratio at the true parameter also converges to X2p＋q. Simulations illustrate that the proposed confidence region has a coverage probability more closer to the nominal level than normal approximation based confidence region.     

MULTI-SCALE METHODS FOR INVERSE MODELING IN 1-D MOS CAPACITOR

In this paper,we investigate multi-scale methods for the inverse modeling in 1-D Metal-Oxide-Silicon(MOS) capactior,First,the mathematical model of the device is given and the numerical simulation for the forward problem of the model is implemented using finite element method with adaptive moving mesh. Then numerical analysis of these parameters in the model for the inverse problems is presented .Some matrix analysis tools are applied to explore the parameters‘ sensitivities,And thired,the parameters are extracted using Levenberg-Marquardt optimization method.The essential difficulty arises from the effect of multi-scale physical differeence of the parameters.We explore the relationship between the parameters‘ sensitivitites and the sequencs for optimization,which can seriously affect the final inverse modeling results.An optimal sequence can efficiently overcome the multip-scale problem of these parameters,Numerical experiments show the efficiency of the proposed methods.     

Randomly Weighted LAD-Estimation for Partially Linear Errors-in-Variables Models

The authors consider the partially linear model relating a response Y to predictors(x, T) with a mean function x Tβ0+ g(T) when the x s are measured with an additive error. The estimators of parameter β0are derived by using the nearest neighbor-generalized randomly weighted least absolute deviation(LAD for short) method. The resulting estimator of the unknown vector β0is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. In addition, the results facilitate the construction of confidence regions and the hypothesis testing for the unknown parameters. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings. The proposed methods are also applied to a data set from the study of an AIDS clinical trial group.     

An empirical likelihood method in a partially linear single-index model with right censored data

Empirical-likelihood-based inference for the parameters in a partially linear single-index model with randomly censored data is investigated. We introduce an estimated empirical likelihood for the parameters using a synthetic data approach and show that its limiting distribution is a mixture of central chi-squared distribution. To attack this difficulty we propose an adjusted empirical likelihood to achieve the standard χ2-limit. Furthermore, since the index is of norm 1, we use this constraint to reduce the dimension of parameters, which increases the accuracy of the confidence regions. A simulation study is carried out to compare its finite-sample properties with the existing method. An application to a real data set is illustrated.     

Parameter estimation of the WMTD model

The MTD （mixture transition distribution） model based on Weibull distribution （WMTD model） is proposed in this paper, which is aimed at its parameter estimation. An EM algorithm for estimation is given and shown to work well by some simulations. And bootstrap method is used to obtain confidence regions for the parameters. Finally, the results of a real example--predicting stock prices--show that the WMTD model proposed is able to capture the features of the data from thick-tailed distribution better than GMTD （mixture transition distribution） model.     

Empirical likelihood-based subset selection for partially linear autoregressive models

Based on the empirical likelihood method, the subset selection and hypothesis test for parameters in a partially linear autoregressive model are investigated. We show that the empirical log-likelihood ratio at the true parameters converges to the standard chi-square distribution. We then present the definitions of the empirical likelihood-based Bayes information criteria （EBIC） and Akaike information criteria （EAIC）. The results show that EBIC is consistent at selecting subset variables while EAIC is not. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed empirical likelihood confidence regions have better coverage probabilities than the least square method, while EBIC has a higher chance to select the true model than EAIC.     

Statistical inference in partially-varying-coefficient single-index model

Consider a varying-coefficient single-index model which consists of two parts: the linear part with varying coefficients and the nonlinear part with a single-index structure, and are hence termed as varying-coefficient single-index models. This model includes many important regression models such as single-index models, partially linear single-index models, varying-coefficient model and varying-coefficient partially linear models as special examples. In this paper, we mainly study estimating problems of the varying-coefficient vector, the nonparametric link function and the unknown parametric vector describing the single-index in the model. A stepwise approach is developed to obtain asymptotic normality estimators of the varying-coefficient vector and the parametric vector, and estimators of the nonparametric link function with a convergence rate. The consistent estimator of the structural error variance is also obtained. In addition, asymptotic pointwise confidence intervals and confidence regions are constructed for the varying coefficients and the parametric vector. The bandwidth selection problem is also considered. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the proposed methods, and real data analysis is also used to illustrate our methods.     

Empirical likelihood inference in partially linear single-index models for longitudinal data

The empirical likelihood method is especially useful for constructing confidence intervals or regions of parameters of interest. Yet, the technique cannot be directly applied to partially linear single-index models for longitudinal data due to the within-subject correlation. In this paper, a bias-corrected block empirical likelihood (BCBEL) method is suggested to study the models by accounting for the within-subject correlation. BCBEL shares some desired features: unlike any normal approximation based method for confidence region, the estimation of parameters with the iterative algorithm is avoided and a consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is not needed. Because of bias correction, the BCBEL ratio is asymptotically chi-squared, and hence it can be directly used to construct confidence regions of the parameters without any extra Monte Carlo approximation that is needed when bias correction is not applied. The proposed method can naturally be applied to deal with pure single-index models and partially linear models for longitudinal data. Some simulation studies are carried out and an example in epidemiology is given for illustration.     

A constructive hypothesis test for the single-index models with two groups

Comparison of two-sample heteroscedastic single-index models, where both the scale and location functions are modeled as single-index models, is studied in this paper. We propose a test for checking the equality of single-index parameters when dimensions of covariates of the two samples are equal. Further, we propose two test statistics based on Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramér–von Mises type functionals. These statistics evaluate the difference of the empirical residual processes to test the equality of mean functions of two single-index models. Asymptotic distributions of estimators and test statistics are derived. The Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramér–von Mises test statistics can detect local alternatives that converge to the null hypothesis at a parametric convergence rate. To calculate the critical values of Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramér–von Mises test statistics, a bootstrap procedure is proposed. Simulation studies and an empirical study demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedures.     

Efficient empirical-likelihood-based inferences for the single-index model

This article proposes the efficient empirical-likelihood-based inferences for the single component of the parameter and the link function in the single-index model. Unlike the existing empirical likelihood procedures for the single-index model, the proposed profile empirical likelihood for the parameter is constructed by using some components of the maximum empirical likelihood estimator (MELE) based on a semiparametric efficient score. The empirical-likelihood-based inference for the link function is also considered. The resulting statistics are proved to follow a standard chi-squared limiting distribution. Simulation studies are undertaken to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed confidence intervals. An application to real data set is illustrated.     

纵向数据单指标模型中参数的经验似然置信域

考虑纵向数据单指标模型,针对纵向数据组间独立的特点,提出了模型中未知参数的三种经验对数似然比统计量.在适当条件下,证明了所提出的统计量依分布收敛于x~2分布,所得结果可以构造未知参数的置信域.进一步证明了所提出的纠偏的经验对数似然比有许多优良的性质.通过模拟研究对所提方法进行了说明.     

Empirical Likelihood for Varying Coefficient EV Models under Longitudinal Data

In this paper, a varying coefficient errors-in-variables model under longitudinal data is investigated. An empirical likelihood based bias-correction approach is proposed. It is proved that the proposed statistics are asymptotically chi-squared under some mild conditions, and hence can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters of interest. Finite sample performance of the proposed method is illustrated in a simulation study. The proposed methods are applied to an AIDS clinical trial dataset.     

缺失数据下非线性EV模型参数的经验似然置信域

考虑解释变量带有测量误差且响应变量随机缺失情形下的非线性EV模型.通过利用核实数据, 构造了未知参数的两种经验对数似然比统计量. 证明了所构造统计量的分布渐近于χ²分布, 所得结果可以用来构造未知参数的渐近置信域.     

Partially linear single-index beta regression model and score test

An important model in handling the multivariate data is the partially linear single-index regression model with a very flexible distribution—beta distribution, which is commonly used to model data restricted to some open intervals on the line. In this paper, the score test is extended to the partially linear single-index beta regression model. The penalized likelihood estimation based on P-spline is proposed. Based on the estimation, the score test statistics about varying dispersion parameter is given. Its asymptotical property is investigated. Both simulated examples are used to illustrate our proposed methods.     

核实数据下非线性半参数EV模型的经验似然推断

考虑带有协变量误差的非线性半参数模型,借助于核实数据,本文构造了未知参数的三种经验对数似然比统计量,证明了所提出的统计量具有渐近X2分布,此结果可以用来构造未知参数的置信域．另外,本文也构造了未知参数的最小二乘估计量,并证明了它的渐近性质．仅就置信域及其覆盖概率的大小方面,通过模拟研究比较了经验似然方法与最小二乘法的优劣．     

Semi-parametric estimation of partially linear single-index models

One of the most difficult problems in applications of semi-parametric partially linear single-index models (PLSIM) is the choice of pilot estimators and complexity parameters which may result in radically different estimators. Pilot estimators are often assumed to be root-n consistent, although they are not given in a constructible way. Complexity parameters, such as a smoothing bandwidth are constrained to a certain speed, which is rarely determinable in practical situations.In this paper, efficient, constructible and practicable estimators of PLSIMs are designed with applications to time series. The proposed technique answers two questions from Carroll et al. [Generalized partially linear single-index models, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 92 (1997) 477-489]: no root-n pilot estimator for the single-index part of the model is needed and complexity parameters can be selected at the optimal smoothing rate. The asymptotic distribution is derived and the corresponding algorithm is easily implemented. Examples from real data sets (credit-scoring and environmental statistics) illustrate the technique and the proposed methodology of minimum average variance estimation (MAVE).