Permanence and stability of a predator–prey system with stage structure for predator

A stage-structured predator–prey system with delays for prey and predator, respectively, is proposed and analyzed. Mathematical analysis of the model equations with regard to boundedness of solutions, permanence and stability are analyzed. Some sufficient conditions which guarantee the permanence of the system and the global asymptotic stability of the boundary and positive equilibrium, respectively, are obtained.     

一类SIRS传染病模型

This paper considers an SIRS epidemic model that incorporates constant immigration rate, a general population-size dependent contact rate and proportional transfer rate from the infective class to susceptible class. A threshold parameter a is identified. If σ≤1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable. If σ＞1, a unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. For two important special cases of mass action incidence and standard incidence,global stability of the endemic equilibrium is proved provided the threshold is larger than unity. Some previous results are extended and improved.     

Global analysis of a periodic epidemic model on cholera in presence of bacteriophage

We propose and analyze a recurrent epidemic model of cholera in the presence of bacteriophage. The model is extended by general periodic incidence functions for low‐infectious bacterium and high‐infectious bacterium, respectively. A general periodic shedding function for two infected class (phage‐positive and phage‐negative) and a generalized contact and intrinsic growth function for susceptible class are also considered. Under certain biological assumptions, we derive the basic reproduction number (R₀) in a periodic environment for the proposed model. We also observe the global stability of the disease‐free equilibrium, existence, permanence, and global stability of the positive endemic periodic solution of our proposed model. Finally, we verify our results with specific functional form. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Stochastic dynamics of an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatment

Abstract

We investigate a stochastic HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatment. The model allows for two stages of infection namely the asymptomatic phase and the symptomatic phase. We prove existence of global positive solutions. We show that the solutions are stochastically ultimately bounded and stochastically permanent. We also study asymptotic behaviour of the solution to the stochastic model around the disease-free equilibrium of the underlying deterministic model. Our theoretical results are illustrated by way of numerical simulations.     

Effect of emergent carrying capacity in an eco‐epidemiological system

The paper explores an eco‐epidemiological model of a predator–prey type, where the prey population is subject to infection. The model is basically a combination of S‐I type model and a Rosenzweig–MacArthur predator–prey model. The novelty of this contribution is to consider different competition coefficients within the prey population, which leads to the emergent carrying capacity. We explicitly separate the competition between non‐infected and infected individuals. This emergent carrying capacity is markedly different to the explicit carrying capacities that have been considered in many eco‐epidemiological models. We observed that different intra‐class and inter‐class competition can facilitate the coexistence of susceptible prey‐infected prey–predator, which is impossible for the case of the explicit carrying capacity model. We also show that these findings are closely associated with bi‐stability. The present system undergoes bi‐stability in two different scenarios: (a) bi‐stability between the planner equilibria where susceptible prey co‐exists with predator or infected prey and (b) bi‐stability between co‐existence equilibrium and the planner equilibrium where susceptible prey coexists with infected prey; have been discussed. The conditions for which the system is to be permanent and the global stability of the system around disease‐free equilibrium are worked out. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The stability of the equilibrium of a nonlinear planar system and application to the relativistic oscillator

In this paper we present a sufficient condition for the stability of the equilibrium of a nonlinear planar system. The proof is based on the computation of the corresponding Birkhoff normal forms. The result does not involve small parameters. Applications to the relativistic oscillator are also given.     

The Mackey–Glass model of respiratory dynamics: Review and new results

Since the celebrated Mackey–Glass model of respiratory dynamics was introduced in 1977, many results on its qualitative behavior have been obtained, including oscillation, stability and chaos. The paper reviews some known properties and presents new results for more general models: equations with time-dependent parameters, several delays, a positive periodic equilibrium and distributed delays. The problems considered in the paper involve existence, positivity and permanence of solutions, oscillation and global asymptotic stability. In addition, some general approaches to the study of nonlinear nonautonomous scalar delay equations are outlined. The paper generalizes and unifies existing results and provides an outlook on further studies.     

A simple mathematical model for genetic effects in pneumococcal carriage and transmission

Streptococcus pneumoniae (S. pneumoniae) is a bacterium commonly found in the throat of young children. Pneumococcal serotypes can cause a variety of invasive and non-invasive diseases such as meningitis and pneumonia. In 2000 a vaccine was introduced in the USA that not only prevents vaccine type disease but has also been shown to eliminate carriage of the vaccine serotypes. One key problem with the vaccine is that it has been observed that the same sequence types (genetic material found in the serotypes) are able to manifest in more than one serotype. This is a potential problem if sequence types associated with invasive disease may express themselves in multiple serotypes.We present a basic differential equation mathematical model for exploring the relationship between sequence types and serotypes where a sequence type is able to manifest itself in one vaccine serotype and one non-vaccine serotype. An expression for the effective reproduction number is found and an equilibrium and then a global stability analysis carried out. We illustrate our analytical results by using simulations with realistic parameter values.     

Global dynamics of an SEI model with acute and chronic stages

A model with acute and chronic stages in a population with exponentially varying size is proposed. An equivalent system is obtained, which has two equilibriums: a disease-free equilibrium and an endemic equilibrium. The stability of these two equilibriums is controlled by the basic reproduction number _R0$R_0$. When _R0<1$R_0<1$, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable. When _R0>1$R_0>1$, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the unique endemic equilibrium is locally stable. When _R0>1$R_0>1$ and γ=0,α=0$\gamma =0,\alpha =0$, the endemic equilibrium is globally stable in Γ⁰${\Gamma }^0$.     

Clustering and asymptotic behavior in opinion formation

We investigate the long time behavior of models of opinion formation. We consider the case of compactly supported interactions between agents which are also non-symmetric, including for instance the so-called Krause model. Because of the finite range of interaction, convergence to a unique consensus is not expected in general. We are nevertheless able to prove the convergence to a final equilibrium state composed of possibly several local consensus. This result had so far only been conjectured through numerical evidence. Because of the non-symmetry in the model, the analysis is delicate and is performed in two steps: First using entropy estimates to prove the formation of stable clusters and then studying the evolution in each cluster. We study both discrete and continuous in time models and give rates of convergence when those are available.     

Global dynamics of Nicholsonʼs blowflies equation revisited: Onset and termination of nonlinear oscillations

We revisit Nicholson?s blowflies model with natural death rate incorporated into the delay feedback. We consider the delay as a bifurcation parameter and examine the onset and termination of Hopf bifurcations of periodic solutions from a positive equilibrium. We show that the model has only a finite number of Hopf bifurcation values and we describe how branches of Hopf bifurcations are paired so the existence of periodic solutions with specific oscillation frequencies occurs only in bounded delay intervals. The bifurcation analysis and the Matlab package DDE-BIFTOOL developed by Engelborghs et al. guide some numerical simulations to identify ranges of parameters for coexisting multiple attractive periodic solutions.     

On global stability of an HIV pathogenesis model with cure rate

In this paper, applying both Lyapunov function techniques and monotone iterative techniques, we establish new sufficient conditions under which the infected equilibrium of an HIV pathogenesis model with cure rate is globally asymptotically stable. By giving an explicit expression for eventual lower bound of the concentration of susceptible CD4⁺ T cells, we establish an affirmative partial answer to the numerical simulations investigated in the recent paper [Liu, Wang, Hu and Ma, Global stability of an HIV pathogenesis model with cure rate, Nonlinear Analysis RWA (2011) 12 : 2947–2961]. Our monotone iterative techniques are applicable for the small and large growth rate in logistic functions for the proliferation rate of healthy and infected CD4⁺ T cells. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Global dynamics of a delay differential equation with spatial non-locality in an unbounded domain

In this paper, we study the global dynamics of a class of differential equations with temporal delay and spatial non-locality in an unbounded domain. Adopting the compact open topology, we describe the delicate asymptotic properties of the nonlocal delayed effect and establish some a priori estimate for nontrivial solutions which enables us to show the permanence of the equation. Combining these results with a dynamical systems approach, we determine the global dynamics of the equation under appropriate conditions. Applying the main results to the model with Ricker?s birth function and Mackey-Glass?s hematopoiesis function, we obtain threshold results for the global dynamics of these two models. We explain why our results on the global attractivity of the positive equilibrium in C₊?{0} under the compact open topology becomes invalid in C₊?{0} with respect to the usual supremum norm, and we identify a subset of C₊?{0} in which the positive equilibrium remains attractive with respect to the supremum norm.     

Global stability and Hopf bifurcation of a delayed eco‐epidemiological model with Holling type II functional response

In this paper, a delayed eco‐epidemiological model with Holling type II functional response is investigated. By analyzing corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of each of the feasible equilibria and the existence of Hopf bifurcations at the disease‐free equilibrium, the susceptible predator‐free equilibrium and the endemic‐coexistence equilibrium are established, respectively. By means of Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, sufficient conditions are derived for the global stability of the endemic‐coexistence equilibrium, the disease‐free equilibrium, the susceptible predator‐free equilibrium and the predator‐extinction equilibrium of the system, respectively. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Comment on “Existence and stability of periodic solution of a Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with state dependent impulsive effects” [J. Comput. Appl. Math. 224 (2009) 544-555]

In this paper, according to integrated pest management principles, a class of Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with state dependent impulsive effects is presented. In this model, the control strategies by releasing natural enemies and spraying pesticide at different thresholds are considered. The sufficient conditions for the existence and stability of the positive order-1 periodic solution are given by the Poincaré map and the properties of the LambertW function.     

Global asymptotic behaviour for a Nicholson model with patch structure and multiple delays

For a Nicholson’s blowflies model with patch structure and multiple discrete delays, we study some aspects of its global dynamics. Conditions for the absolute global asymptotic stability of both the trivial equilibrium and a positive equilibrium (when it exists) are given. The existence of positive heteroclinic solutions connecting the two equilibria is also addressed. We further consider a diffusive Nicholson-type model with patch structure, and establish a criterion for the existence of positive travelling wave solutions, for large wave speeds. Several applications illustrate the results, improving some criteria in the recent literature.     

Versal unfoldings of predator-prey systems with ratio-dependent functional response

In this paper we study the versal unfolding of a predator-prey system with ratio-dependent functional response near a degenerate equilibrium in order to obtain all possible phase portraits for its perturbations. We first construct the unfolding and prove its versality and degeneracy of codimension 2. Then we discuss all its possible bifurcations, including transcritical bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation, and heteroclinic bifurcation, give conditions of parameters for the appearance of closed orbits and heteroclinic loops, and describe the bifurcation curves. Phase portraits for all possible cases are presented.     

Permanence and extinction of a three-species ratio-dependent food chain model with delay and prey diffusion

In this paper, we study a diffusive three-species ratio-dependent food chain model, using differential inequality, to obtain sufficient conditions that ensure the permanence of the system and the extinction of predator species. Our results reinforce the main result of Sun Wen, Shihua Chen and Huihai Mei [Positive periodic solution of a more realistic three-species Lotka-Volterra model with delay and density regulation, Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, in press].     

Qualitative analysis and applications of a kind of state-dependent impulsive differential equations

This paper analyzes a certain type of impulsive differential equations (IDEs). Several useful theorems for its periodic solutions and their stabilities are given. The key idea is that a periodically time-dependent IDE can be transformed into the state-dependent IDE. As applications of our theory, the optimization problems in population dynamics are studied. That is, the maximum sustainable yields of single population models with periodically impulsive constant harvesting are discussed. Furthermore, we apply these results to the studies of the order-1 periodic solutions and their stability of a single population model with stage structure in which the mature is impulsively proportionally harvested while the immature is impulsively added with the constant.     

Dynamic Hopf bifurcations generated by nonlinear terms

We consider the so-called delayed loss of stability phenomenon for singularly perturbed systems of differential equations in case that the associated autonomous system with a scalar parameter undergoes the Hopf bifurcation at the zero equilibrium point. It is assumed that the linearization of the associated system is independent of the parameter and the next terms in the expansion of the right-hand parts at zero are positive homogeneous of order α>1. Simple formulas are presented to estimate the asymptotic delay for the delayed loss of stability phenomenon. More precisely, we suggest sufficient conditions which ensure that zeros of a simple function ψ defined by the positive homogeneous nonlinear terms are the Hopf bifurcation points of the associated system, the sign of ψ at other points determines stability of the zero equilibrium, and the asymptotic delay equals the distance between the bifurcation point and a zero of some primitive of ψ.